02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

11 players checked · 8 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 11 players have performed clearly differently and 2 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Brooklyn Netsplaying WAS

Danny Wolf · minutes unknown
rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual
Day'Ron Sharpe · minutes unknown
points 11.5 → 14 actual
Drake Powell · minutes unknown
rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual
Egor Dëmin · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 3 actual
Noah Clowney · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual
Terance Mann · minutes unknown
points 8.5 → 14 actual

Washington Wizardsplaying BKN

Alex Sarr · minutes unknown
points 16.5 → 19 actual
Bilal Coulibaly · minutes unknown
points 10.5 → 11 actual
Justin Champagnie · minutes unknown
rebounds 7.5 → 7 actual
Khris Middleton · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 2 actual
Tre Johnson · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

BKN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 233 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 3 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
11 other players with a posted line
Noah Clowney · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05
Terance Mann · points 8.5 → 14 · 5.5 above the line · played 23.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87
Drake Powell · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · no final price
Khris Middleton · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74
Egor Dëmin · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.71
Day'Ron Sharpe · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96
Tre Johnson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 28 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65
Alex Sarr · points 16.5 → 19 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77
Danny Wolf · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10
Justin Champagnie · rebounds 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67
Bilal Coulibaly · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

WAS vs BKN · last 24 games · BKN leads · WAS record 9–15 · average score 111.0–115.2 · WAS has lost by 4.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · WAS 115 at BKN 121WAS lost
7 Feb · WAS 113 at BKN 127WAS lost
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 16 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 129 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 128 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 130 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 130 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 133 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 135 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 139 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 138 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 141 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 128 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 144 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 655 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 812 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1395 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 49 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 53 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 56 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 159 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 165 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 166 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 218 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 234 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 250 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 496 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 514 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 517 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 542 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 543 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 542 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 543 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 544 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 544 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 676 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 991 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.