02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

11 players checked · 6 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 9 players have performed clearly differently and 2 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Brooklyn Netsplaying PHX

Day'Ron Sharpe · minutes unknown
points 7.5 → 7 actual
Drake Powell · minutes unknown
rebounds 2.5 → 0 actual
Egor Dëmin · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual
Michael Porter Jr. · minutes unknown
3-pointers 3.5 → 6 actual
Nolan Traore · minutes unknown
assists 2.5 → no final stat available
Terance Mann · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 7 actual

Phoenix Sunsplaying BKN

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown
points 22.5 → 26 actual
Jordan Goodwin · minutes unknown
points 12.5 → 4 actual
Mark Williams · minutes unknown
rebounds 8.5 → 6 actual
Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 3 actual
Ryan Dunn · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 9 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 151 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
11 other players with a posted line
Drake Powell · rebounds 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 8.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.57
Michael Porter Jr. · 3-pointers 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 37 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.71
Jordan Goodwin · points 12.5 → 4 · 8.5 below the line · played 29 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77
Oso Ighodaro · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 17.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95
Ryan Dunn · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.78
Mark Williams · rebounds 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05
Egor Dëmin · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.34, Under 1.57
Dillon Brooks · points 22.5 → 26 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77
Terance Mann · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71
Day'Ron Sharpe · points 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77
Nolan Traore · assists 2.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.02

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

PHX vs BKN · last 13 games · PHX leads · PHX record 9–4 · average score 119.5–113.5 · PHX has won by 5.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Jan · BKN 102 at PHX 106PHX won
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 41 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 44 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 46 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 140 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 168 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 167 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 173 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 191 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 193 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 195 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 204 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 206 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 519 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 564 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1140 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 255 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 259 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 267 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 382 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 420 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 437 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 446 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 449 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 451 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 455 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 459 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 461 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 463 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 466 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 468 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 475 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 526 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 688 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 688 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 690 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 715 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 756 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 759 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 757 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 781 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 873 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1150 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.