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10 games played · averaging 5.8 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 5.5 · POINTS · 2024–2026
HIT RATE46.8%74 of 158 games
INTERVAL39.2%–54.6%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN+113at that rate
AT THE FLOOR+155if the rate is 39.2%
Ryan has cleared 5.5 points in 46.8% of 158 games since 2024, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +113 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.