NBA · Jan 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat

FinalORL 133 – MIA 124Page updated 14:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Desmond Bane · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Noah Penda · minutes unknown

assists 0.5 → 1 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 12 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 5 actual

Miami Heat

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: ORL 2.31, MIA 1.69

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 125 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Tristan da Silva · points 5.5 → 12 · 6.5 above the line · played 20.9 min · no final price

Noah Penda · assists 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 7.9 min · no final price

Dru Smith · points 6.5 → 13 · 6.5 above the line · played 21.5 min · no final price

Desmond Bane · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · rebounds 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 27 min · no final price

Anthony Black · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.4 min · no final price

Jalen Suggs · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs ORL · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–12 · average score 108.6–108.7 · MIA has lost by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · ORL 121 at MIA 117MIA lost

28 Jan · ORL 133 at MIA 124MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 3, expected total 233.5 (Thu 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 120 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 204 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 211 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 214 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 238 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 242 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 244 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 249 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 257 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 271 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 273 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1455 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2653 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3064 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1304 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1325 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1336 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1337 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1461 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1460 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1735 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.