NBA · Jan 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Charlotte Hornets at Dallas Mavericks

FinalCHA 123 – DAL 121Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Kon Knueppel · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Moussa Diabaté · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Ryan Kalkbrenner · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Sion James · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 8 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 335 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Sion James · rebounds 2.5 → 8 · 5.5 above the line · played 15.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Dwight Powell · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 5 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Brandon Miller · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Daniel Gafford · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.93

Ryan Kalkbrenner · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 15.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.90

Cooper Flagg · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.68

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Caleb Martin · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under 1.97

Kon Knueppel · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Max Christie · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Moussa Diabaté · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs CHA · last 13 games · CHA leads · DAL record 5–8 · average score 110.5–111.8 · DAL has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 Mar · DAL 90 at CHA 117DAL lost

29 Jan · CHA 123 at DAL 121DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 107 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 119 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 112 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 476 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1242 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1681 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 675 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 722 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 726 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 727 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 728 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 806 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 829 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 829 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 830 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 840 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.