DAL · 2026 season

Daniel Gafford

54 games played · averaging 9.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 9.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE46.6%210 of 451 games

INTERVAL42.0%–51.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+114at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+138if the rate is 42.0%

Daniel has cleared 9.5 points in 46.6% of 451 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +114 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-05

LAL

HOME

19.9MIN

7POINTS

7 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 60.8
USG%: 12.5
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +19
PRA: 14

2026-04-03

ORL

HOME

19.9MIN

7POINTS

3 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 62.1
USG%: 11.2
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +3
PRA: 11

2026-03-31

MIL

AWAY

11.1MIN

7POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 4/0
TS%: 40.5
USG%: 30.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 11

2026-03-30

MIN

HOME

24.4MIN

21POINTS

8 · 2 · 9-11

ABOVE

FG: 9-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-8
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 72.3
USG%: 25.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -23
PRA: 31

2026-03-23

HOME

31.5MIN

20POINTS

7 · 5 · 8-8

ABOVE

FG: 8-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-8
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 86.8
USG%: 16.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 32

2026-03-21

LAC

HOME

25.3MIN

7POINTS

13 · 1 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 6/7
TS%: 39.4
USG%: 16.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 21

2026-03-18

ATL

HOME

22.4MIN

24POINTS

8 · 0 · 9-10

ABOVE

FG: 9-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 91.7
USG%: 25.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 32

2026-03-12

MEM

AWAY

27.3MIN

22POINTS

14 · 1 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 6/8
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 24.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 37

2026-03-10

ATL

AWAY

25.4MIN

14POINTS

10 · 1 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 5/5
TS%: 65.1
USG%: 20.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -22
PRA: 25

2026-03-08

TOR

AWAY

23.3MIN

21POINTS

11 · 3 · 10-10

ABOVE

FG: 10-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 100.6
USG%: 20.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 35

2026-03-05

ORL

AWAY

24.9MIN

12POINTS

13 · 1 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 3/10
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 15.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 26

2026-03-03

CHA

AWAY

21.5MIN

10POINTS

6 · 2 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 18.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 18

2026-03-01

OKC

HOME

21.9MIN

8POINTS

7 · 2 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 40.5
USG%: 21.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 17

2026-02-27

MEM

HOME

20.1MIN

14POINTS

5 · 0 · 7-8

ABOVE

FG: 7-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 82.9
USG%: 20.4
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -20
PRA: 19

2026-02-24

BKN

AWAY

16.6MIN

9POINTS

4 · 1 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 71.2
USG%: 17.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -5
PRA: 14

2026-02-22

IND

AWAY

21.9MIN

8POINTS

6 · 2 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 45.7
USG%: 16.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 16

2026-02-20

MIN

AWAY

23.7MIN

8POINTS

5 · 1 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 13.3
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 14

2026-02-12

LAL

AWAY

27.9MIN

2POINTS

6 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 6.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2026-02-10

PHX

AWAY

17.0MIN

4POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 15.1
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -16
PRA: 8

2026-02-07

AWAY

18.4MIN

9POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 14.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: 0
PRA: 15

2026-02-05

HOME

33.0MIN

16POINTS

10 · 2 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 69.4
USG%: 14.6
STL: 3
BLK: 4
TOV: 0
PF: 6
+/−: +2
PRA: 28

2026-02-03

BOS

HOME

24.7MIN

10POINTS

12 · 1 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 74.0
USG%: 15.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 23

2026-01-31

HOU

AWAY

28.3MIN

16POINTS

11 · 1 · 7-10

ABOVE

FG: 7-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 73.5
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 28

2026-01-29

CHA

HOME

25.2MIN

5POINTS

4 · 3 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 9.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 12

2026-01-28

MIN

HOME

20.9MIN

14POINTS

6 · 0 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 5/1
TS%: 68.6
USG%: 23.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -6
PRA: 20

2026-01-24

LAL

HOME

16.3MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 53.2
USG%: 4.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 5

2026-01-14

DEN

HOME

17.9MIN

6POINTS

10 · 0 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 79.8
USG%: 8.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -6
PRA: 16

2026-01-10

CHI

AWAY

24.7MIN

6POINTS

7 · 0 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 13

2026-01-08

UTAH

AWAY

25.4MIN

0POINTS

7 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 3.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 7

2026-01-06

SAC

AWAY

22.5MIN

10POINTS

13 · 0 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 7/6
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 17.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 23

2026-01-03

HOU

HOME

19.1MIN

9POINTS

8 · 1 · 4-5

BELOW

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 76.5
USG%: 16.8
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 18

2026-01-01

PHI

HOME

11.1MIN

8POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 22.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 13

2025-12-29

POR

AWAY

25.6MIN

17POINTS

10 · 0 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 79.0
USG%: 21.1
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +2
PRA: 27

2025-12-27

SAC

AWAY

23.0MIN

11POINTS

7 · 1 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 73.9
USG%: 17.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 19

2025-12-25

AWAY

15.4MIN

6POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-3

BELOW

FG: 3-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 14.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 11

2025-12-23

DEN

HOME

17.2MIN

4POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 7

2025-12-22

AWAY

14.1MIN

3POINTS

5 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 38.7
USG%: 10.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 8

2025-12-20

PHI

AWAY

14.0MIN

2POINTS

4 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 113.6
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 4
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 6

2025-12-18

DET

HOME

15.6MIN

9POINTS

6 · 1 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 32.8
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 16

2025-12-15

UTAH

AWAY

12.9MIN

2POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 6.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 6

2025-12-03

MIA

HOME

14.1MIN

2POINTS

5 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 53.2
USG%: 12.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +8
PRA: 7

2025-11-28

LAL

AWAY

17.5MIN

5POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 14.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 9

2025-11-24

MIA

AWAY

28.4MIN

11POINTS

11 · 0 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 4/7
TS%: 59.0
USG%: 14.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +20
PRA: 22

2025-11-22

MEM

HOME

27.1MIN

5POINTS

8 · 4 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 38.8
USG%: 13.8
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -13
PRA: 17

2025-11-21

HOME

25.2MIN

8POINTS

7 · 3 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 59.2
USG%: 16.0
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 18

2025-11-19

HOME

24.6MIN

7POINTS

8 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 73.5
USG%: 9.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -11
PRA: 17

2025-11-16

POR

HOME

31.2MIN

20POINTS

6 · 2 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 80.6
USG%: 16.6
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +11
PRA: 28

2025-11-14

LAC

HOME

27.4MIN

10POINTS

8 · 1 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 63.5
USG%: 16.7
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: -1
PRA: 19

2025-11-12

PHX

HOME

26.7MIN

15POINTS

9 · 0 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 81.5
USG%: 17.9
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 24

2025-11-10

MIL

HOME

23.4MIN

7POINTS

8 · 3 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 35.9
USG%: 18.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 18

2025-11-08

WAS

AWAY

18.6MIN

8POINTS

5 · 0 · 4-5

BELOW

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 15.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 13

2025-11-07

MEM

AWAY

12.4MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 3.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -26
PRA: 1

2025-11-05

HOME

24.7MIN

15POINTS

8 · 0 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 80.5
USG%: 19.5
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +8
PRA: 23

2025-11-03

HOU

AWAY

24.9MIN

14POINTS

4 · 1 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 77.8
USG%: 15.4
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 19

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