NBA · Jan 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards

FinalMIL 99 – WAS 109Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 19 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 14 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 8 actual

Washington Wizards

Alex Sarr · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Bub Carrington · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Justin Champagnie · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Khris Middleton · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Tre Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIL expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 223 points · odds to win: MIL 1.82, WAS 2.10

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 208 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Myles Turner · rebounds 6.5 → 14 · 7.5 above the line · played 39.4 min · no final price

Alex Sarr · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Justin Champagnie · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.9 min · no final price

Tre Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · no final price

Gary Trent Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · no final price

Bub Carrington · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · no final price

Kyle Kuzma · points 15.5 → 19 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

AJ Green · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Khris Middleton · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 26 min · no final price

Ryan Rollins · assists 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs MIL · last 22 games · MIL leads · WAS record 6–16 · average score 116.1–120.4 · WAS has lost by 4.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Jan · MIL 99 at WAS 109WAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIL expected to win by 2, expected total 223 (Fri 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 126 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 161 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 215 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 370 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 373 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 376 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 398 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 437 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 442 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 450 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 463 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 468 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 468 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 472 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 495 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 501 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 504 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 508 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 513 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 514 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 517 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 529 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 531 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 532 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 556 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 559 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 563 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 988 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 601 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1086 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 768 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 781 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 813 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 814 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 823 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 860 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 861 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 863 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 864 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.