NBA · Feb 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns

FinalOKC 136 – PHX 109Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 28 actual

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Jordan Goodwin · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Mark Williams · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Ryan Dunn · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 213.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.38, PHX 3.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

PHX also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 224 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Alex Caruso · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 7.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.68

Isaiah Hartenstein · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.61

Dillon Brooks · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Jordan Goodwin · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Mark Williams · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 16 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Jalen Williams · points 18.5 → 28 · 9.5 above the line · played 19.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Collin Gillespie · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Ryan Dunn · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.99

Oso Ighodaro · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Devin Booker · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHX vs OKC · last 28 games · OKC leads · PHX record 11–17 · average score 112.4–115.9 · PHX has lost by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Apr · OKC 131 at PHX 122PHX lost

25 Apr · OKC 121 at PHX 109PHX lost

22 Apr · PHX 107 at OKC 120PHX lost

19 Apr · PHX 84 at OKC 119PHX lost

12 Apr · PHX 135 at OKC 103PHX won

11 Feb · OKC 136 at PHX 109PHX lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 8, expected total 213.5 (Thu 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 20 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 49 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 99 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 59 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 176 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 568 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1198 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1257 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1427 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1428 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1432 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1432 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1567 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1568 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1568 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1569 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1600 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.