NBA · Feb 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks

FinalMIA 128 – ATL 97Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Atlanta Hawks

CJ McCollum · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Corey Kispert · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jock Landale · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA had 9 days off before this game · ATL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 187 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.41, Under 2.78

CJ McCollum · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.82

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Jalen Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Corey Kispert · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Onyeka Okongwu · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Jock Landale · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Dyson Daniels · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs MIA · last 32 games · MIA leads · ATL record 9–22 · average score 104.1–110.8 · ATL has lost by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · ATL 117 at MIA 143ATL lost

20 Feb · MIA 128 at ATL 97ATL lost

3 Feb · ATL 127 at MIA 115ATL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 19 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 75 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 107 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 108 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 123 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 126 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 80 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 372 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 514 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1106 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1118 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1123 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1124 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1124 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1122 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1175 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1178 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1369 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1370 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.