NBA · Mar 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat

FinalORL 121 – MIA 117Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Desmond Bane · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Jevon Carter · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 214 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Tristan da Silva · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 31 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Paolo Banchero · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.10

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Pelle Larsson · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jalen Suggs · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Jevon Carter · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Desmond Bane · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs ORL · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–12 · average score 108.6–108.7 · MIA has lost by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · ORL 121 at MIA 117MIA lost

28 Jan · ORL 133 at MIA 124MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 20 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 127 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 141 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 190 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 513 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2658 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 301 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1409 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1435 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1436 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1437 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1436 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1434 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1436 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.