NBA · Mar 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalDAL 111 – NOP 129Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 21 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → no final stat available

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Dejounte Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → no final stat available

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 14.5 → 19 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 273 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Zion Williamson · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Max Christie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.63

Trey Murphy III · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Yves Missi · points + rebounds + assists 14.5 → 19 · 4.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Saddiq Bey · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 35 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Cooper Flagg · points 20.5 → 21 · 0.5 above the line · played 30 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → no final stat available · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Dejounte Murray · assists 6.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs DAL · last 27 games · DAL leads · NOP record 10–17 · average score 112.9–118.6 · NOP has lost by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Mar · DAL 111 at NOP 129NOP won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 190 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 200 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 217 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 307 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 315 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 364 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 365 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 400 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 402 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 404 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 405 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 94 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 446 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 442 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 446 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 460 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 530 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 536 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 540 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 542 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 883 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1675 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1438 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1499 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1520 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1521 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1523 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1545 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1738 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1789 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.