NBA · Mar 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets

FinalMIA 106 – CHA 136Page updated 13:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 0 actual

Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Coby White · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Grant Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Kon Knueppel · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Moussa Diabaté · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Ryan Kalkbrenner · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 233 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Davion Mitchell · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Brandon Miller · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Kon Knueppel · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Grant Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Coby White · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Ryan Kalkbrenner · points 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 14.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Moussa Diabaté · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHA vs MIA · last 25 games · MIA leads · CHA record 7–18 · average score 109.0–115.6 · CHA has lost by 6.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · MIA 106 at CHA 136CHA won

6 Mar · MIA 128 at CHA 120CHA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 11 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 18 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 85 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 94 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 108 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 122 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 851 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1505 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1929 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 421 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 423 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 428 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 430 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 432 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 501 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 931 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 931 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 932 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1035 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1035 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1045 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1047 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1048 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.