NBA · Mar 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets

FinalPHI 96 – DEN 124Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Philadelphia 76ers

Adem Bona · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Dominick Barlow · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Justin Edwards · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

VJ Edgecombe · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 9 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 16 · both teams together expected to score about 236.5 points · odds to win: PHI 9.11, DEN 1.09

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 135 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

VJ Edgecombe · points 18.5 → 9 · 9.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · no final price

Justin Edwards · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.8 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.9 min · no final price

Dominick Barlow · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.7 min · no final price

Adem Bona · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs PHI · last 14 games · DEN leads · DEN record 10–4 · average score 115.1–109.7 · DEN has won by 5.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · PHI 96 at DEN 124DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 16, expected total 236.5 (Wed 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 23 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 35 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 132 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 45 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 156 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 157 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 159 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 160 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 513 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 820 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 776 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 824 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 910 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.