NBA · Mar 18 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies

FinalDEN 118 – MEM 125Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 26 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 12 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 9 actual

Spencer Jones · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Memphis Grizzlies

Cedric Coward · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

GG Jackson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jaylen Wells · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Olivier-Maxence Prosper · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 19 actual

Ty Jerome · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 229 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 26 · 13.5 above the line · played 40.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.90

Spencer Jones · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Cedric Coward · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.87

Ty Jerome · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.78

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 41.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.94

Olivier-Maxence Prosper · points 10.5 → 19 · 8.5 above the line · played 23.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.82

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

GG Jackson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Jaylen Wells · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.56, Under 2.40

Nikola Jokić · assists 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MEM vs DEN · last 23 games · DEN leads · MEM record 6–17 · average score 109.8–117.4 · MEM has lost by 7.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Apr · MEM 119 at DEN 136MEM lost

18 Mar · DEN 118 at MEM 125MEM won

11 Feb · MEM 116 at DEN 122MEM lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 87 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 93 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 103 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 109 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 485 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 624 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 624 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 989 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1134 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1170 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1204 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1220 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1736 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1737 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1739 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1740 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.