NBA · Apr 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

FinalOKC 107 – DEN 127Page updated 10:41 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jared McCain · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 15 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 25.5 → 28 actual

Nikola Topić · minutes unknown

points + assists 23.5 → 25 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → no final stat available

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → no final stat available

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 231.5 points · odds to win: OKC 2.15, DEN 1.74

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Sat 00:49 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:41 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 187 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Julian Strawther · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 3.90, Under 1.22

Jared McCain · points 19.5 → 15 · 4.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Kenrich Williams · points + rebounds + assists 25.5 → 28 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Nikola Topić · points + assists 23.5 → 25 · 1.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Aaron Gordon · points 14.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Cameron Johnson · points 13.5 → no final stat available · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 2.41, Under 1.52

Jamal Murray · points 22.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Nikola Jokić · points 23.5 → no final stat available · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs OKC · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–15 · average score 111.9–112.4 · DEN has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127DEN won

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129DEN lost

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127DEN lost

1 Feb · OKC 121 at DEN 111DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

BetRivers first had DEN expected to win by 10.5, expected total 231.5 (Fri 05:49 UTC) and later DEN expected to win by 3, expected total 222.5 (Sat 00:49 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 77 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 85 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 87 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 264 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 268 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 276 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 304 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 308 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 311 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 316 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 623 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 361 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 773 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 788 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 804 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 851 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 853 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1216 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1005 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.