NBA · Apr 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns

FinalOKC 121 – PHX 109Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes16 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → no final stat available

Jared McCain · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 8.5 → 15 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 8 actual

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 33 actual

Jalen Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Jordan Goodwin · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → no final stat available

Mark Williams · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → no final stat available

Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 9.5 · both teams together expected to score about 214.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.24, PHX 4.27

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Sat 00:38 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 276 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

16 other players with a posted line

Alex Caruso · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Dillon Brooks · points 17.5 → 33 · 15.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

Jaylin Williams · points + rebounds + assists 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 20.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Collin Gillespie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.24, Under 1.63

Oso Ighodaro · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.86

Ajay Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Devin Booker · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.78

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Jalen Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 26 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jared McCain · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.68

Jalen Williams · blocks 0.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.34

Jordan Goodwin · rebounds 4.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Mark Williams · points 6.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHX vs OKC · last 28 games · OKC leads · PHX record 11–17 · average score 112.4–115.9 · PHX has lost by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Apr · OKC 131 at PHX 122PHX lost

25 Apr · OKC 121 at PHX 109PHX lost

22 Apr · PHX 107 at OKC 120PHX lost

19 Apr · PHX 84 at OKC 119PHX lost

12 Apr · PHX 135 at OKC 103PHX won

11 Feb · OKC 136 at PHX 109PHX lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Bovada first had OKC expected to win by 9.5, expected total 214.5 (Thu 16:01 UTC) and later OKC expected to win by 9, expected total 214.5 (Sat 00:38 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 81

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 123 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 132 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 276 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 281 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 296 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 314 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 315 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 333 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 334 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 343 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 675 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2001 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 451 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1330 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1383 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1386 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1559 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1561 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1563 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1564 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1815 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1814 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1816 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1816 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1819 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1820 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1818 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2347 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2388 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.