Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.
Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
Brook Lopez Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.34ubet −290 · bet_clv:2405928 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 74.6% · actual 1 · 22.7 min · started
Brook Lopez Under 3.5 REBWIN +1.40ubet +140 · bet_clv:2405927 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.2% · actual 1 · 22.7 min · started
Ajay Mitchell Under 1.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +111 · bet_clv:2405925 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.0% · unexplained · actual 6 · 27.8 min · started
Darius Garland Over 26.5 PAWIN +1.00ubet +100 · bet_clv:2405914 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.4% · actual 27 · 35.6 min · started
Rui Hachimura Over 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +163 · bet_clv:2405910 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.5% · unexplained · actual 0 · 28.8 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 0.5 BLKWIN +0.79ubet −127 · bet_clv:2405908 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.1% · actual 1 · 36.1 min · started
Isaiah Hartenstein Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +119 · bet_clv:2405905 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 52.0% · unexplained · actual 12 · 27.1 min · started
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +104 · bet_clv:2405902 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 52.0% · unexplained · actual 1 · 27.1 min · started
Derrick Jones Over 0.5 STLVOID +0.00ubet −190 · bet_clv:2405900 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.1% · actual 0
Keaton Wagler Over 17.5 PRAWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2398860 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · actual 20 · 25.6 min · started
Keaton Wagler Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −115 · bet_clv:2398859 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.5% · unexplained · actual 11 · 25.6 min · started
Keaton Wagler Over 10.5 PTSWIN +1.25ubet +125 · bet_clv:2398858 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.4% · actual 11 · 25.6 min · started
Chet Holmgren Under 5.5 REBWIN +2.64ubet +264 · bet_clv:2398848 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 37.9% · actual 4 · 31.4 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 2.5 3PMWIN +0.34ubet −290 · bet_clv:2398841 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.0% · actual 1 · 36.1 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +355 · bet_clv:2398840 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 35.5% · unexplained · actual 34 · 36.1 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +154 · bet_clv:2398837 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.8% · unexplained · actual 5 · 36.1 min · started
Alex Caruso Over 1.5 3PMWIN +2.23ubet +223 · bet_clv:2398834 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 36.0% · actual 2 · 22.4 min · started
Kris Dunn Over 4.5 ASTWIN +2.25ubet +225 · bet_clv:2398830 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 38.4% · actual 6 · 32.9 min · started
Brook Lopez Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −488 · bet_clv:2397425 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 82.6% · unexplained · actual 15 · 22.7 min · started
Keaton Wagler Under 18.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet −125 · bet_clv:2397424 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.7% · unexplained · actual 20 · 25.6 min · started
Cason Wallace Under 1.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +106 · bet_clv:2397416 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.2% · blowout_foul_trouble · actual 3 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Jalen Williams Over 18.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +128 · bet_clv:2397411 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.8% · unexplained · actual 8 · 31.7 min · started
Rui Hachimura Under 22.5 PRAWIN +0.95ubet −105 · bet_clv:2397398 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.2% · actual 9 · 28.8 min · started
Rui Hachimura Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.41ubet −245 · bet_clv:2397397 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.6% · actual 5 · 28.8 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +174 · bet_clv:2397392 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.8% · unexplained · actual 5 · 36.1 min · started
Isaiah Hartenstein Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +208 · bet_clv:2397390 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.4% · unexplained · actual 12 · 27.1 min · started
Alex Caruso Under 4.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +190 · bet_clv:2397387 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.7% · unexplained · actual 12 · 22.4 min · started
Alex Caruso Over 6.5 PTSWIN +1.20ubet +120 · bet_clv:2397386 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · actual 12 · 22.4 min · started
Kris Dunn Under 1.5 STLLOSS −1.00ubet +114 · bet_clv:2397385 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 5 · 32.9 min · started
Ajay Mitchell Under 17.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet −123 · bet_clv:2391556 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.7% · unexplained · actual 28 · 27.8 min · started
Cason Wallace Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.21ubet −475 · bet_clv:2391551 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 82.4% · actual 1 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Jalen Williams Under 14.5 PTSWIN +2.00ubet +200 · bet_clv:2391549 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.7% · actual 8 · 31.7 min · started
Isaiah Jackson Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2391540 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.8% · unexplained · actual 10 · 23.9 min · started
Darius Garland Over 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +104 · bet_clv:2391538 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.0% · unexplained · actual 16 · 35.6 min · started
Darius Garland Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +133 · bet_clv:2391537 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.9% · unexplained · actual 16 · 35.6 min · started
Darius Garland Over 7.5 ASTWIN +2.70ubet +270 · bet_clv:2391535 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 35.3% · actual 11 · 35.6 min · started
Rui Hachimura Over 4.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −125 · bet_clv:2391534 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.2% · unexplained · actual 4 · 28.8 min · started
Rui Hachimura Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +163 · bet_clv:2391533 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.4% · unexplained · actual 4 · 28.8 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 7.5 ASTWIN +0.33ubet −300 · bet_clv:2391530 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.3% · actual 5 · 36.1 min · started
Derrick Jones Over 0.5 BLKVOID +0.00ubet −117 · bet_clv:2391528 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.1% · actual 0
Keaton Wagler Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +167 · bet_clv:2389714 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.9% · unexplained · actual 4 · 25.6 min · started
Ajay Mitchell Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +140 · bet_clv:2389713 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.4% · unexplained · actual 18 · 27.8 min · started
Ajay Mitchell Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +194 · bet_clv:2389712 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.3% · unexplained · actual 4 · 27.8 min · started
Ajay Mitchell Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2389711 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 72.6% · unexplained · actual 4 · 27.8 min · started
Cason Wallace Under 1.5 3PMWIN +0.75ubet −133 · bet_clv:2389710 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.1% · actual 0 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Cason Wallace Under 9.5 PTSWIN +0.67ubet −150 · bet_clv:2389707 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.0% · actual 4 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Cason Wallace Under 7.5 PTSWIN +1.30ubet +130 · bet_clv:2389706 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · actual 4 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Jalen Williams Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.53ubet −190 · bet_clv:2389705 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.8% · actual 2 · 31.7 min · started
Jalen Williams Under 3.5 REBWIN +2.05ubet +205 · bet_clv:2389704 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.2% · actual 2 · 31.7 min · started
Jalen Williams Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +145 · bet_clv:2389702 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.9% · unexplained · actual 5 · 31.7 min · started
Chet Holmgren Over 0.5 STLWIN +0.67ubet −150 · bet_clv:2389701 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.7% · actual 1 · 31.4 min · started
Chet Holmgren Under 9.5 REBWIN +0.41ubet −245 · bet_clv:2389700 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 72.4% · actual 4 · 31.4 min · started
Chet Holmgren Under 7.5 REBWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2389699 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.3% · actual 4 · 31.4 min · started
Chet Holmgren Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +239 · bet_clv:2389698 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.1% · unexplained · actual 10 · 31.4 min · started
Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 BLKLOSS −1.00ubet −115 · bet_clv:2389697 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.7% · unexplained · actual 1 · 31.4 min · started
Isaiah Jackson Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +257 · bet_clv:2389695 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.2% · unexplained · actual 6 · 23.9 min · started
Darius Garland Under 1.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +185 · bet_clv:2389694 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.5% · unexplained · actual 4 · 35.6 min · started
Darius Garland Under 19.5 PTSWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2389693 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.7% · actual 16 · 35.6 min · started
Darius Garland Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.38ubet −260 · bet_clv:2389692 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.6% · actual 16 · 35.6 min · started
Darius Garland Under 21.5 PTSWIN +0.74ubet −135 · bet_clv:2389691 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.6% · actual 16 · 35.6 min · started
Darius Garland Under 5.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +180 · bet_clv:2389690 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.6% · unexplained · actual 11 · 35.6 min · started
Rui Hachimura Under 9.5 PTSWIN +3.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2389687 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.3% · actual 5 · 28.8 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −130 · bet_clv:2389686 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.2% · unexplained · actual 34 · 36.1 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +200 · bet_clv:2389685 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.8% · unexplained · actual 34 · 36.1 min · started
Isaiah Hartenstein Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.38ubet −260 · bet_clv:2389683 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.8% · actual 1 · 27.1 min · started
Kris Dunn Over 1.5 STLWIN +0.98ubet −102 · bet_clv:2389682 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.7% · actual 5 · 32.9 min · started
Kris Dunn Under 14.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +120 · bet_clv:2389681 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.3% · unexplained · actual 25 · 32.9 min · started
Isaiah Jackson Under 7.5 REBWIN +0.36ubet −275 · bet_clv:2389696 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 72.6% · actual 6 · 23.9 min · started
Cason Wallace Over 1.5 STLWIN +0.85ubet −117 · bet_clv:2389709 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.4% · actual 2 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Darius Garland Under 7.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −190 · bet_clv:2389689 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.2% · unexplained · actual 11 · 35.6 min · started
Kris Dunn Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2389680 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.0% · unexplained · actual 15 · 32.9 min · started
Keaton Wagler Over 4.5 REBWIN +1.20ubet +120 · bet_clv:2383345 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.8% · actual 5 · 25.6 min · started
Keaton Wagler Over 7.5 RAWIN +1.13ubet +113 · bet_clv:2383344 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 9 · 25.6 min · started
Keaton Wagler Under 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +130 · bet_clv:2383343 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.7% · unexplained · actual 4 · 25.6 min · started
Ajay Mitchell Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −220 · bet_clv:2383342 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.9% · unexplained · actual 6 · 27.8 min · started
Jared McCain Under 9.5 PTSWIN +1.30ubet +130 · bet_clv:2383341 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.2% · actual 3 · 20.6 min · started
Cason Wallace Under 3.5 REBWIN +0.61ubet −165 · bet_clv:2383340 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.5% · actual 3 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Cason Wallace Over 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −152 · bet_clv:2383339 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.3% · blowout_foul_trouble · actual 1 · 5.6 min · bench · excused
Jalen Williams Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.61ubet −165 · bet_clv:2383338 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.3% · actual 8 · 31.7 min · started
Jalen Williams Under 5.5 ASTWIN +0.35ubet −285 · bet_clv:2383337 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.0% · actual 5 · 31.7 min · started
Isaiah Jackson Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +144 · bet_clv:2383336 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.5% · unexplained · actual 6 · 23.9 min · started
Rui Hachimura Over 23.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +125 · bet_clv:2383335 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · unexplained · actual 9 · 28.8 min · started
Rui Hachimura Under 14.5 PTSWIN +1.50ubet +150 · bet_clv:2383334 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.7% · actual 5 · 28.8 min · started
Rui Hachimura Over 15.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −120 · bet_clv:2383333 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.3% · unexplained · actual 5 · 28.8 min · started
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 PTSWIN +0.83ubet −120 · bet_clv:2383332 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.3% · actual 34 · 36.1 min · started
Isaiah Hartenstein Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2383331 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.1% · unexplained · actual 12 · 27.1 min · started
Isaiah Hartenstein Under 1.5 ASTWIN +2.35ubet +235 · bet_clv:2383330 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.1% · actual 1 · 27.1 min · started
Derrick Jones Over 10.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +126 · bet_clv:2383328 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.9% · actual 0
Derrick Jones Under 3.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +110 · bet_clv:2383329 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 0