GSW · 2026 season

Al Horford

45 games played · averaging 8.3 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 8.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE53.5%245 of 458 games

INTERVAL48.9%–58.0%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-116at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+104if the rate is 48.9%

Al has cleared 8.5 points in 53.5% of 458 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -116 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-12

LAC

AWAY

18.7MIN

5POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 14.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 11

2026-04-10

SAC

AWAY

17.8MIN

10POINTS

0 · 2 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 19.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 12

2026-03-13

MIN

HOME

4.9MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 33.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 4

2026-03-10

CHI

HOME

34.1MIN

13POINTS

9 · 5 · 5-18

ABOVE

FG: 5-18
3PT: 3-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 36.1
USG%: 23.6
STL: 0
BLK: 4
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 27

2026-03-07

OKC

AWAY

28.7MIN

4POINTS

5 · 4 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 10.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 13

2026-03-05

HOU

AWAY

32.7MIN

17POINTS

6 · 5 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 21.7
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 28

2026-03-02

LAC

HOME

27.1MIN

17POINTS

6 · 3 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 4-8
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 20.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 26

2026-02-28

LAL

HOME

22.2MIN

8POINTS

5 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 103.1
USG%: 8.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 15

2026-02-25

MEM

AWAY

26.7MIN

10POINTS

7 · 3 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 20

2026-02-22

DEN

HOME

27.0MIN

22POINTS

1 · 7 · 8-11

ABOVE

FG: 8-11
3PT: 6-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 20.2
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +14
PRA: 30

2026-02-19

BOS

HOME

27.5MIN

5POINTS

8 · 4 · 2-10

BELOW

FG: 2-10
3PT: 1-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 19.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 17

2026-02-11

HOME

26.4MIN

6POINTS

4 · 1 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 42.9
USG%: 13.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 11

2026-02-09

MEM

HOME

26.3MIN

16POINTS

9 · 6 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 19.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +24
PRA: 31

2026-02-07

LAL

AWAY

22.6MIN

4POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 17.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 8

2026-02-05

PHX

AWAY

27.9MIN

13POINTS

4 · 4 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-5
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 53.3
USG%: 24.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 21

2026-02-03

PHI

HOME

20.1MIN

10POINTS

0 · 2 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 16.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -27
PRA: 12

2026-01-30

DET

HOME

23.3MIN

13POINTS

7 · 3 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 18.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 23

2026-01-28

UTAH

AWAY

24.1MIN

9POINTS

5 · 8 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 90.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +22
PRA: 22

2026-01-25

MIN

AWAY

22.6MIN

10POINTS

5 · 2 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 13.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 17

2026-01-22

DAL

AWAY

26.1MIN

3POINTS

8 · 3 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 9.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 14

2026-01-19

MIA

HOME

19.0MIN

10POINTS

8 · 2 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 19.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +26
PRA: 20

2026-01-17

CHA

HOME

18.9MIN

11POINTS

2 · 1 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 73.9
USG%: 19.5
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +20
PRA: 14

2026-01-15

HOME

21.2MIN

5POINTS

5 · 5 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 12.7
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 15

2026-01-13

POR

HOME

20.1MIN

6POINTS

2 · 4 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 15.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +18
PRA: 12

2026-01-11

ATL

HOME

15.9MIN

5POINTS

8 · 2 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 18.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 15

2026-01-09

SAC

HOME

16.4MIN

9POINTS

5 · 2 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 15.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 16

2026-01-07

MIL

HOME

19.1MIN

8POINTS

10 · 6 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 19.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 24

2026-01-05

LAC

AWAY

15.7MIN

5POINTS

5 · 0 · 1-8

BELOW

FG: 1-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 28.2
USG%: 24.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -14
PRA: 10

2026-01-02

OKC

HOME

15.8MIN

13POINTS

6 · 0 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 3-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 94.5
USG%: 20.6
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 19

2025-12-31

CHA

AWAY

13.1MIN

8POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 23.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 10

2025-12-28

TOR

AWAY

16.9MIN

7POINTS

7 · 0 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 14.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 14

2025-12-25

DAL

HOME

11.4MIN

14POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 4-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 24.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 20

2025-12-04

PHI

AWAY

17.9MIN

3POINTS

6 · 4 · 1-8

BELOW

FG: 1-8
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 18.8
USG%: 19.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 13

2025-11-21

POR

HOME

18.1MIN

7POINTS

6 · 3 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 16.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 16

2025-11-18

ORL

AWAY

27.2MIN

9POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 58.0
USG%: 15.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 16

2025-11-16

AWAY

20.2MIN

6POINTS

2 · 6 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 11.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 14

2025-11-14

AWAY

23.5MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.3
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 3

2025-11-12

AWAY

22.5MIN

9POINTS

3 · 3 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 14.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -14
PRA: 15

2025-11-09

IND

HOME

18.0MIN

12POINTS

4 · 1 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 4-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 18.7
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 17

2025-11-05

SAC

AWAY

26.5MIN

0POINTS

7 · 2 · 0-8

BELOW

FG: 0-8
3PT: 0-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 9

2025-11-01

IND

AWAY

15.2MIN

4POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 11

2025-10-30

MIL

AWAY

20.3MIN

3POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 16.4
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -20
PRA: 7

2025-10-28

LAC

HOME

20.5MIN

2POINTS

4 · 0 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 20.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 6

2025-10-23

DEN

HOME

29.0MIN

13POINTS

3 · 2 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 81.3
USG%: 15.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 18

2025-10-21

LAL

AWAY

20.2MIN

5POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 35.7
USG%: 19.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -10
PRA: 11

every game on file — nothing hidden