OKC · 2026 season

Alex Caruso

70 games played, 15 in the postseason · averaging 7.2 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 7.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE42.1%195 of 463 games

INTERVAL37.7%–46.7%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+137at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+165if the rate is 37.7%

Alex has cleared 7.5 points in 42.1% of 463 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +137 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-05-30

HOME

38.6MIN

12POINTS

5 · 4 · 3-14

ABOVE

FG: 3-14
3PT: 1-6
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 36.1
USG%: 23.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 21

2026-05-28

AWAY

21.1MIN

7POINTS

0 · 0 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 14.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 7

2026-05-26

HOME

28.1MIN

22POINTS

2 · 6 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 4-8
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 81.4
USG%: 22.9
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 30

2026-05-24

AWAY

14.0MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 3.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -22
PRA: 3

2026-05-22

AWAY

24.4MIN

15POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 3-5
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 77.8
USG%: 19.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +28
PRA: 19

2026-05-20

HOME

25.5MIN

17POINTS

3 · 5 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 3-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 97.0
USG%: 14.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 25

2026-05-18

HOME

31.7MIN

31POINTS

2 · 1 · 11-19

ABOVE

FG: 11-19
3PT: 8-14
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 76.3
USG%: 33.1
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 34

2026-05-11

LAL

AWAY

21.8MIN

9POINTS

4 · 1 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 17.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +7
PRA: 14

2026-05-09

LAL

AWAY

20.2MIN

6POINTS

2 · 2 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +11
PRA: 10

2026-05-07

LAL

HOME

22.5MIN

5POINTS

4 · 4 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 14.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +17
PRA: 13

2026-05-05

LAL

HOME

20.4MIN

5POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 11.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +15
PRA: 9

2026-04-27

PHX

AWAY

25.1MIN

14POINTS

4 · 1 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 4-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 17.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 19

2026-04-25

PHX

AWAY

22.4MIN

13POINTS

5 · 1 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 72.2
USG%: 20.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 19

2026-04-22

PHX

HOME

23.5MIN

7POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 12.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 10

2026-04-19

PHX

HOME

13.3MIN

2POINTS

5 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 9.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 8

2026-04-08

LAC

AWAY

13.4MIN

2POINTS

4 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 10.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 6

2026-04-07

LAL

AWAY

10.2MIN

6POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 22.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 9

2026-04-05

UTAH

HOME

13.3MIN

5POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 15.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 9

2026-03-30

DET

HOME

27.1MIN

3POINTS

1 · 4 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 5.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 8

2026-03-29

HOME

18.1MIN

6POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 15.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 10

2026-03-27

CHI

HOME

15.3MIN

6POINTS

5 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 69.4
USG%: 11.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 13

2026-03-25

BOS

AWAY

21.2MIN

9POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-11

ABOVE

FG: 3-11
3PT: 1-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 37.9
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 15

2026-03-23

PHI

AWAY

15.6MIN

4POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 69.4
USG%: 8.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 8

2026-03-21

WAS

AWAY

19.7MIN

4POINTS

1 · 5 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.2
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +19
PRA: 10

2026-03-18

BKN

AWAY

4.6MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 37.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 3

2026-03-17

ORL

AWAY

23.7MIN

2POINTS

8 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 7.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +19
PRA: 11

2026-03-15

MIN

HOME

21.8MIN

17POINTS

2 · 1 · 6-10

ABOVE

FG: 6-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 72.3
USG%: 22.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 20

2026-03-12

BOS

HOME

22.8MIN

7POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-11

BELOW

FG: 3-11
3PT: 1-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 31.8
USG%: 24.4
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 13

2026-03-04

AWAY

11.9MIN

3POINTS

4 · 1 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 79.8
USG%: 11.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 8

2026-03-03

CHI

AWAY

19.3MIN

8POINTS

4 · 1 · 2-9

ABOVE

FG: 2-9
3PT: 0-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 37.2
USG%: 24.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 13

2026-03-01

DAL

AWAY

21.7MIN

4POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 12.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 11

2026-02-27

DEN

HOME

28.4MIN

12POINTS

1 · 1 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 54.5
USG%: 18.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 14

2026-02-24

TOR

AWAY

22.5MIN

16POINTS

2 · 4 · 6-10

ABOVE

FG: 6-10
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 73.5
USG%: 27.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +22
PRA: 22

2026-02-20

BKN

HOME

10.9MIN

0POINTS

0 · 3 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 23.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 3

2026-02-12

MIL

HOME

19.6MIN

9POINTS

3 · 1 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 18.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 13

2026-02-11

PHX

AWAY

7.8MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +12
PRA: 1

2026-02-09

LAL

AWAY

24.1MIN

17POINTS

1 · 2 · 7-8

ABOVE

FG: 7-8
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.7
USG%: 14.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +19
PRA: 20

2026-02-07

HOU

HOME

26.4MIN

8POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-9

ABOVE

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 42.4
USG%: 17.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -16
PRA: 11

2026-02-03

ORL

HOME

18.9MIN

6POINTS

0 · 3 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 13.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +13
PRA: 9

2026-01-19

CLE

AWAY

7.4MIN

1POINTS

1 · 2 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 8.5
USG%: 34.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 4

2026-01-17

MIA

AWAY

21.0MIN

5POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 52.5
USG%: 12.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 11

2026-01-15

HOU

AWAY

18.4MIN

5POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 35.7
USG%: 19.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +12
PRA: 11

2026-01-13

HOME

19.9MIN

13POINTS

2 · 4 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 77.0
USG%: 19.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +27
PRA: 19

2026-01-11

MIA

HOME

14.5MIN

7POINTS

1 · 2 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 14.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +8
PRA: 10

2026-01-09

MEM

AWAY

23.9MIN

7POINTS

3 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 11.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 12

2026-01-04

PHX

AWAY

22.4MIN

2POINTS

1 · 3 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 8.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 6

2026-01-02

AWAY

10.7MIN

4POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 15.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 7

2025-12-31

POR

HOME

8.6MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 14.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 4

2025-12-29

ATL

HOME

24.0MIN

16POINTS

8 · 2 · 7-8

ABOVE

FG: 7-8
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 14.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 26

2025-12-28

PHI

HOME

15.6MIN

7POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 8

2025-12-25

HOME

19.7MIN

12POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-13

ABOVE

FG: 3-13
3PT: 2-12
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 40.7
USG%: 34.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 13

2025-12-23

AWAY

18.9MIN

2POINTS

4 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 12.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 7

2025-12-19

MIN

AWAY

22.5MIN

7POINTS

12 · 1 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/10
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 14.5
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 20

2025-12-18

LAC

HOME

15.4MIN

4POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.7
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +26
PRA: 9

2025-12-10

PHX

HOME

12.8MIN

3POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 17.4
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 5

2025-11-28

PHX

HOME

24.1MIN

4POINTS

7 · 3 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 12.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 14

2025-11-26

MIN

HOME

21.9MIN

5POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 42.5
USG%: 14.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 7

2025-11-23

POR

HOME

14.2MIN

5POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 9.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +25
PRA: 10

2025-11-21

UTAH

AWAY

18.4MIN

11POINTS

0 · 3 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 2-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 93.5
USG%: 16.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +29
PRA: 14

2025-11-19

SAC

HOME

20.7MIN

2POINTS

4 · 5 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 0-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 14.3
USG%: 14.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 11

2025-11-15

CHA

AWAY

1.7MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 0

2025-11-12

LAL

HOME

16.9MIN

10POINTS

4 · 3 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 20.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +19
PRA: 17

2025-11-11

HOME

15.3MIN

8POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 24.4
STL: 5
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +25
PRA: 13

2025-11-09

MEM

AWAY

21.0MIN

5POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 1-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 36.3
USG%: 18.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 11

2025-11-07

SAC

AWAY

22.0MIN

3POINTS

2 · 5 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 38.7
USG%: 7.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +16
PRA: 10

2025-11-04

LAC

AWAY

23.7MIN

8POINTS

1 · 3 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 11.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +22
PRA: 12

2025-11-02

HOME

12.2MIN

8POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 22.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 10

2025-10-30

WAS

HOME

16.7MIN

0POINTS

2 · 2 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +11
PRA: 4

2025-10-28

SAC

HOME

23.6MIN

8POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 12.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 13

2025-10-21

HOU

HOME

30.2MIN

8POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-9

ABOVE

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 13.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 13

every game on file — nothing hidden