LAL · 2026 season

Austin Reaves

57 games played, 6 in the postseason · averaging 22.9 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 22.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE20.1%73 of 363 games

INTERVAL16.3%–24.5%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+397at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+513if the rate is 16.3%

Austin has cleared 22.5 points in 20.1% of 363 games since 2021, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +397 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-05-11

OKC

HOME

43.0MIN

27POINTS

7 · 6 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 3-7
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 67.6
USG%: 29.5
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 8
PF: 5
+/−: -6
PRA: 40

2026-05-09

OKC

HOME

39.0MIN

17POINTS

3 · 9 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 1-5
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 24.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -23
PRA: 29

2026-05-07

OKC

AWAY

38.4MIN

31POINTS

2 · 6 · 10-16

ABOVE

FG: 10-16
3PT: 3-6
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 76.0
USG%: 29.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 5
+/−: -20
PRA: 39

2026-05-05

OKC

AWAY

35.9MIN

8POINTS

5 · 6 · 3-16

BELOW

FG: 3-16
3PT: 0-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 23.7
USG%: 26.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 19

2026-05-01

HOU

AWAY

30.7MIN

15POINTS

3 · 2 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 51.9
USG%: 23.4
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 20

2026-04-29

HOU

HOME

33.7MIN

22POINTS

4 · 6 · 4-16

BELOW

FG: 4-16
3PT: 2-8
FT: 12-13
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 34.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 32

2026-04-02

OKC

AWAY

26.6MIN

15POINTS

4 · 1 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 2-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 23.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -23
PRA: 20

2026-03-31

CLE

HOME

36.8MIN

19POINTS

6 · 4 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-9
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 52.2
USG%: 29.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 29

2026-03-30

WAS

HOME

27.2MIN

19POINTS

3 · 9 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 0-4
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 58.4
USG%: 34.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 31

2026-03-27

BKN

HOME

40.1MIN

26POINTS

8 · 5 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 4-7
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 23.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +26
PRA: 39

2026-03-25

IND

AWAY

38.0MIN

25POINTS

1 · 8 · 7-16

ABOVE

FG: 7-16
3PT: 2-7
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 62.6
USG%: 23.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 34

2026-03-23

DET

AWAY

39.6MIN

24POINTS

2 · 5 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-6
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 63.3
USG%: 25.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 31

2026-03-21

ORL

AWAY

40.1MIN

26POINTS

7 · 5 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 2-8
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 59.7
USG%: 26.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +8
PRA: 38

2026-03-19

MIA

AWAY

40.0MIN

18POINTS

5 · 4 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-7
FT: 6-10
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 19.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 27

2026-03-18

HOU

AWAY

38.5MIN

14POINTS

3 · 8 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 1-3
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 60.1
USG%: 15.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 25

2026-03-16

HOU

AWAY

40.2MIN

15POINTS

3 · 5 · 5-18

BELOW

FG: 5-18
3PT: 0-8
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 37.1
USG%: 24.2
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 23

2026-03-14

DEN

HOME

45.5MIN

32POINTS

7 · 6 · 12-21

ABOVE

FG: 12-21
3PT: 3-8
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 67.7
USG%: 25.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 45

2026-03-12

CHI

HOME

38.6MIN

30POINTS

5 · 7 · 13-20

ABOVE

FG: 13-20
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 24.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 42

2026-03-10

MIN

HOME

38.5MIN

31POINTS

7 · 8 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 4-10
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 28.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 46

2026-03-08

HOME

38.8MIN

25POINTS

4 · 5 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 3-6
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 65.5
USG%: 23.2
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 34

2026-03-06

IND

HOME

28.6MIN

19POINTS

2 · 5 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 1-4
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 31.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 6
+/−: -12
PRA: 26

2026-03-05

DEN

AWAY

38.0MIN

16POINTS

5 · 7 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 1-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 62.7
USG%: 15.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 28

2026-03-03

HOME

36.8MIN

15POINTS

8 · 3 · 4-15

BELOW

FG: 4-15
3PT: 2-7
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 43.6
USG%: 25.1
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 26

2026-03-01

SAC

HOME

27.1MIN

12POINTS

0 · 5 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 55.8
USG%: 20.1
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +15
PRA: 17

2026-02-28

AWAY

27.8MIN

18POINTS

1 · 3 · 7-11

BELOW

FG: 7-11
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.8
USG%: 20.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +22
PRA: 22

2026-02-26

PHX

AWAY

36.4MIN

14POINTS

3 · 2 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 54.3
USG%: 22.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: +9
PRA: 19

2026-02-24

ORL

HOME

34.8MIN

18POINTS

2 · 3 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.7
USG%: 25.4
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 23

2026-02-22

BOS

HOME

32.5MIN

15POINTS

7 · 2 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 1-4
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 57.3
USG%: 20.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -14
PRA: 24

2026-02-20

LAC

HOME

32.7MIN

29POINTS

6 · 2 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 4-5
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 80.2
USG%: 28.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 37

2026-02-12

DAL

HOME

28.5MIN

18POINTS

4 · 6 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 64.5
USG%: 25.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 28

2026-02-09

OKC

HOME

28.9MIN

16POINTS

2 · 7 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 1-5
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 52.2
USG%: 30.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -14
PRA: 25

2026-02-07

HOME

24.0MIN

16POINTS

5 · 8 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-2
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 61.2
USG%: 34.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 29

2026-02-05

PHI

HOME

25.1MIN

35POINTS

6 · 2 · 12-17

ABOVE

FG: 12-17
3PT: 5-8
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 87.2
USG%: 42.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 43

2026-02-03

BKN

AWAY

20.6MIN

15POINTS

4 · 1 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 1-5
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 56.0
USG%: 31.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +10
PRA: 20

2025-12-25

HOU

HOME

14.8MIN

12POINTS

1 · 1 · 5-8

BELOW

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 33.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 14

2025-12-23

PHX

AWAY

21.7MIN

17POINTS

2 · 2 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 32.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -17
PRA: 21

2025-12-10

HOME

39.8MIN

15POINTS

8 · 7 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 45.6
USG%: 21.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: -5
PRA: 30

2025-12-07

PHI

AWAY

39.1MIN

11POINTS

4 · 4 · 3-16

BELOW

FG: 3-16
3PT: 2-6
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 30.2
USG%: 23.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 19

2025-12-05

BOS

AWAY

33.3MIN

36POINTS

3 · 8 · 9-18

ABOVE

FG: 9-18
3PT: 3-8
FT: 15-17
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 70.6
USG%: 40.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 47

2025-12-04

TOR

AWAY

40.8MIN

44POINTS

5 · 10 · 13-21

ABOVE

FG: 13-21
3PT: 5-11
FT: 13-15
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 79.7
USG%: 34.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 59

2025-12-01

PHX

HOME

33.4MIN

16POINTS

4 · 3 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 3-7
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 23.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 23

2025-11-30

HOME

39.6MIN

33POINTS

5 · 8 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 4-7
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 81.4
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 46

2025-11-28

DAL

HOME

41.3MIN

38POINTS

8 · 3 · 12-15

ABOVE

FG: 12-15
3PT: 6-8
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 100.2
USG%: 22.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 49

2025-11-25

LAC

HOME

35.1MIN

31POINTS

9 · 3 · 11-16

ABOVE

FG: 11-16
3PT: 2-4
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 81.2
USG%: 25.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +19
PRA: 43

2025-11-23

UTAH

AWAY

40.0MIN

22POINTS

10 · 4 · 7-17

BELOW

FG: 7-17
3PT: 1-8
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 1/9
TS%: 53.6
USG%: 25.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 36

2025-11-18

UTAH

HOME

33.4MIN

26POINTS

5 · 1 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 1-4
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 79.9
USG%: 24.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +10
PRA: 32

2025-11-15

MIL

AWAY

36.1MIN

25POINTS

6 · 8 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 5-9
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 26.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +14
PRA: 39

2025-11-14

AWAY

38.9MIN

31POINTS

4 · 7 · 9-16

ABOVE

FG: 9-16
3PT: 2-6
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 28.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +16
PRA: 42

2025-11-12

OKC

AWAY

30.4MIN

13POINTS

5 · 3 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 0-5
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 28.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -24
PRA: 21

2025-11-10

CHA

AWAY

29.4MIN

24POINTS

5 · 7 · 7-17

ABOVE

FG: 7-17
3PT: 2-10
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 34.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 36

2025-11-02

MIA

HOME

37.7MIN

26POINTS

4 · 11 · 9-22

ABOVE

FG: 9-22
3PT: 4-14
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 53.7
USG%: 29.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 41

2025-10-31

MEM

AWAY

36.1MIN

21POINTS

4 · 4 · 5-14

BELOW

FG: 5-14
3PT: 2-8
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 58.5
USG%: 25.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 29

2025-10-29

MIN

AWAY

39.6MIN

28POINTS

1 · 16 · 9-24

ABOVE

FG: 9-24
3PT: 3-11
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 51.7
USG%: 32.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 45

2025-10-27

POR

HOME

39.2MIN

41POINTS

4 · 5 · 13-22

ABOVE

FG: 13-22
3PT: 3-8
FT: 12-14
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 72.8
USG%: 36.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 8
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 50

2025-10-26

SAC

AWAY

39.1MIN

51POINTS

11 · 9 · 12-22

ABOVE

FG: 12-22
3PT: 6-10
FT: 21-22
OREB/DREB: 1/10
TS%: 80.5
USG%: 35.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +22
PRA: 71

2025-10-24

MIN

HOME

36.6MIN

25POINTS

7 · 11 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 2-5
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 43

2025-10-21

HOME

36.3MIN

26POINTS

5 · 9 · 9-16

ABOVE

FG: 9-16
3PT: 1-5
FT: 7-10
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 63.7
USG%: 31.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 5
+/−: -14
PRA: 40

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