POR · 2026 season

Branden Carlson

42 games played · averaging 5.8 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 5.5 · POINTS · 2024–2026

HIT RATE31.1%23 of 74 games

INTERVAL21.7%–42.3%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+221at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+361if the rate is 21.7%

Branden has cleared 5.5 points in 31.1% of 74 games since 2024, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +221 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-12

PHX

HOME

42.2MIN

26POINTS

10 · 1 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 5-10
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/9
TS%: 62.3
USG%: 22.8
STL: 2
BLK: 5
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -18
PRA: 37

2026-04-10

DEN

AWAY

37.4MIN

23POINTS

12 · 5 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 3-10
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 3/9
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 21.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -21
PRA: 40

2026-04-07

LAL

AWAY

7.5MIN

8POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 29.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 11

2026-04-05

UTAH

HOME

8.1MIN

11POINTS

2 · 0 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 91.7
USG%: 31.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 13

2026-04-02

LAL

HOME

12.0MIN

4POINTS

4 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 58.1
USG%: 18.5
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2026-03-27

CHI

HOME

2.8MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 1

2026-03-23

PHI

AWAY

1.8MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 24.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 1

2026-02-25

DET

AWAY

3.7MIN

4POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 54.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +11
PRA: 10

2026-02-04

AWAY

15.9MIN

3POINTS

7 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 5.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 10

2026-01-27

HOME

6.3MIN

2POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 2

2026-01-23

IND

HOME

7.2MIN

2POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 25.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 2

2026-01-21

MIL

AWAY

16.2MIN

9POINTS

6 · 1 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 22.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 16

2026-01-11

MIA

HOME

1.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 22.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 0

2026-01-09

MEM

AWAY

15.8MIN

5POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 6

2026-01-07

UTAH

HOME

11.2MIN

3POINTS

5 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 30.7
USG%: 21.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 9

2026-01-05

CHA

HOME

18.4MIN

3POINTS

4 · 0 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 25.5
USG%: 13.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 7

2026-01-04

PHX

AWAY

7.0MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 1

2026-01-02

AWAY

21.6MIN

15POINTS

11 · 2 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 21.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 28

2025-12-31

POR

HOME

19.7MIN

12POINTS

7 · 1 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 25.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 20

2025-12-29

ATL

HOME

10.8MIN

6POINTS

0 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 14.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 6

2025-12-28

PHI

HOME

5.5MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 23.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 6

2025-12-25

HOME

1.7MIN

2POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 50.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 2

2025-12-23

AWAY

3.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 1

2025-12-22

MEM

HOME

24.7MIN

11POINTS

3 · 2 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 78.6
USG%: 15.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 16

2025-12-18

LAC

HOME

16.0MIN

4POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 10.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +21
PRA: 8

2025-12-10

PHX

HOME

12.0MIN

11POINTS

2 · 0 · 5-5

ABOVE

FG: 5-5
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 110.0
USG%: 18.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +11
PRA: 13

2025-12-07

UTAH

AWAY

24.2MIN

13POINTS

6 · 0 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 19.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 19

2025-12-05

DAL

HOME

21.8MIN

9POINTS

6 · 3 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 12.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 18

2025-12-02

AWAY

2.6MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 17.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 3

2025-11-23

POR

HOME

8.6MIN

8POINTS

1 · 2 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 20.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 11

2025-11-21

UTAH

AWAY

9.3MIN

7POINTS

0 · 1 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 21.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 8

2025-11-19

SAC

HOME

4.9MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 25.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 3

2025-11-17

AWAY

10.6MIN

7POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 26.5
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 13

2025-11-15

CHA

AWAY

16.6MIN

7POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 16.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2025-11-12

LAL

HOME

17.0MIN

0POINTS

5 · 1 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 10.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 6

2025-11-05

POR

AWAY

8.2MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 19.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 1

2025-11-04

LAC

AWAY

3.8MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 3

2025-11-02

HOME

19.7MIN

11POINTS

5 · 1 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 68.8
USG%: 22.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 17

2025-10-30

WAS

HOME

3.7MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 11.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 6

2025-10-28

SAC

HOME

3.5MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 3

2025-10-25

ATL

AWAY

2.1MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 0

2025-10-23

IND

AWAY

1.1MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 0

every game on file — nothing hidden