CHI · 2026 season

Buddy Hield

53 games played, 2 in the postseason · averaging 7.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 7.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE78.1%406 of 520 games

INTERVAL74.3%–81.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-357at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-286if the rate is 74.3%

Buddy has cleared 7.5 points in 78.1% of 520 games since 2019, and in 20.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -357 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-30PLAYOFF R1 G6

HOME

8.9MIN

5POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 125.0
USG%: 14.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 7

2026-04-28PLAYOFF R1 G5

AWAY

4.2MIN

5POINTS

0 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 45.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 5

2026-04-12

MIA

AWAY

21.4MIN

31POINTS

3 · 3 · 12-18

ABOVE

FG: 12-18
3PT: 7-11
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 86.1
USG%: 36.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 37

2026-04-03

BKN

AWAY

4.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 21.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 0

2026-03-23

MEM

HOME

6.6MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 14.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 6

2026-03-21

HOME

4.4MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 47.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 3

2026-03-20

HOU

AWAY

8.2MIN

2POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 21.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 3

2026-03-18

DAL

AWAY

2.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 0

2026-02-09

MIN

AWAY

4.6MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 0

2026-02-03

PHI

HOME

27.5MIN

9POINTS

3 · 3 · 4-11

ABOVE

FG: 4-11
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 37.9
USG%: 24.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 15

2026-01-30

DET

HOME

17.1MIN

10POINTS

4 · 2 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 46.0
USG%: 27.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 16

2026-01-28

UTAH

AWAY

17.2MIN

13POINTS

3 · 4 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 81.3
USG%: 21.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 20

2026-01-26

MIN

AWAY

28.9MIN

5POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-10

BELOW

FG: 2-10
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 23.0
USG%: 16.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -20
PRA: 10

2026-01-25

MIN

AWAY

16.5MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 6

2026-01-22

DAL

AWAY

14.5MIN

6POINTS

1 · 1 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 40.3
USG%: 21.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 8

2026-01-20

TOR

HOME

19.3MIN

25POINTS

1 · 2 · 7-8

ABOVE

FG: 7-8
3PT: 6-6
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 122.5
USG%: 21.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 28

2026-01-19

MIA

HOME

23.0MIN

16POINTS

4 · 2 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 88.9
USG%: 16.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 22

2026-01-17

CHA

HOME

17.7MIN

14POINTS

3 · 1 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 22.0
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 18

2026-01-13

POR

HOME

5.8MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 30.7
USG%: 44.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 4

2026-01-11

ATL

HOME

7.3MIN

0POINTS

1 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 2

2026-01-09

SAC

HOME

4.5MIN

6POINTS

3 · 1 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 38.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 10

2026-01-02

OKC

HOME

23.7MIN

11POINTS

2 · 1 · 4-11

ABOVE

FG: 4-11
3PT: 3-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 22.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -18
PRA: 14

2025-12-29

BKN

AWAY

11.0MIN

6POINTS

3 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 20.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 9

2025-12-28

TOR

AWAY

14.3MIN

3POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 8.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 7

2025-12-22

ORL

HOME

3.3MIN

3POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 25.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 6

2025-12-18

PHX

AWAY

10.0MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 16.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 3

2025-12-14

POR

AWAY

16.4MIN

10POINTS

1 · 1 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 20.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 12

2025-12-12

MIN

HOME

19.0MIN

6POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 10

2025-12-07

CHI

AWAY

22.4MIN

9POINTS

7 · 1 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 21.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 17

2025-12-06

CLE

AWAY

26.4MIN

13POINTS

7 · 3 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 18.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 23

2025-12-04

PHI

AWAY

25.5MIN

14POINTS

8 · 2 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 20.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -3
PRA: 24

2025-12-02

OKC

HOME

28.5MIN

13POINTS

1 · 4 · 4-15

ABOVE

FG: 4-15
3PT: 2-9
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 39.8
USG%: 24.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 18

2025-11-29

HOME

16.6MIN

8POINTS

4 · 0 · 3-9

ABOVE

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 26.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -14
PRA: 12

2025-11-26

HOU

HOME

15.1MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 11.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 3

2025-11-24

UTAH

HOME

22.7MIN

20POINTS

5 · 4 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 76.9
USG%: 26.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 29

2025-11-21

POR

HOME

15.6MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 1

2025-11-19

MIA

AWAY

30.8MIN

18POINTS

6 · 3 · 7-20

ABOVE

FG: 7-20
3PT: 4-15
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 30.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -11
PRA: 27

2025-11-18

ORL

AWAY

15.2MIN

2POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 11.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 2

2025-11-16

AWAY

19.8MIN

11POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 68.8
USG%: 17.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 15

2025-11-14

AWAY

14.3MIN

0POINTS

4 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 6.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 5

2025-11-12

AWAY

15.5MIN

4POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 15.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 5

2025-11-11

OKC

AWAY

11.7MIN

4POINTS

0 · 4 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 46.3
USG%: 24.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 8

2025-11-09

IND

HOME

19.8MIN

8POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 50.8
USG%: 16.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 14

2025-11-07

DEN

AWAY

19.7MIN

8POINTS

0 · 0 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 19.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -17
PRA: 8

2025-11-05

SAC

AWAY

13.8MIN

9POINTS

1 · 2 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 76.5
USG%: 20.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -13
PRA: 12

2025-11-04

PHX

HOME

19.9MIN

12POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 3-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 80.6
USG%: 19.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 16

2025-11-01

IND

AWAY

15.4MIN

3POINTS

1 · 4 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 8

2025-10-30

MIL

AWAY

16.9MIN

8POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 14.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 9

2025-10-28

LAC

HOME

10.2MIN

2POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 9.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 5

2025-10-27

MEM

HOME

18.4MIN

5POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.6
USG%: 17.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +1
PRA: 9

2025-10-24

POR

AWAY

11.6MIN

2POINTS

0 · 3 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 13.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 5

2025-10-23

DEN

HOME

23.0MIN

11POINTS

2 · 2 · 5-13

ABOVE

FG: 5-13
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 42.3
USG%: 27.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 15

2025-10-21

LAL

AWAY

22.3MIN

17POINTS

1 · 0 · 6-11

ABOVE

FG: 6-11
3PT: 5-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 25.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 18

every game on file — nothing hidden