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10 games played · averaging 22.3 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 22.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026
HIT RATE50.0%151 of 302 games
INTERVAL44.4%–55.6%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN+100at that rate
AT THE FLOOR+125if the rate is 44.4%
Cade has cleared 22.5 points in 50.0% of 302 games since 2021, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +100 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.