ORL · 2026 season

Franz Wagner

36 games played, 4 in the postseason · averaging 20.4 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 20.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE41.0%139 of 339 games

INTERVAL35.9%–46.3%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+143at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+179if the rate is 35.9%

Franz has cleared 20.5 points in 41.0% of 339 games since 2021, and in 10.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +143 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-27

DET

HOME

24.2MIN

19POINTS

5 · 3 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 28.4
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 27

2026-04-25

DET

HOME

33.8MIN

17POINTS

5 · 6 · 7-18

BELOW

FG: 7-18
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 24.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +19
PRA: 28

2026-04-22

DET

AWAY

31.6MIN

12POINTS

7 · 1 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 0-2
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 47.0
USG%: 20.2
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -22
PRA: 20

2026-04-19

DET

AWAY

32.2MIN

19POINTS

5 · 4 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 1-2
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 24.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 28

2026-04-12

BOS

AWAY

26.2MIN

20POINTS

4 · 1 · 7-18

BELOW

FG: 7-18
3PT: 2-7
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 30.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 25

2026-04-10

CHI

AWAY

22.9MIN

25POINTS

2 · 4 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 3-5
FT: 6-9
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 73.7
USG%: 35.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 31

2026-04-08

MIN

HOME

21.6MIN

17POINTS

0 · 2 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 61.2
USG%: 29.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +20
PRA: 19

2026-04-05

AWAY

20.3MIN

11POINTS

5 · 2 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 46.8
USG%: 22.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 18

2026-04-03

DAL

AWAY

17.2MIN

18POINTS

4 · 1 · 8-12

BELOW

FG: 8-12
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 69.9
USG%: 38.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +18
PRA: 23

2026-04-01

ATL

HOME

19.8MIN

12POINTS

1 · 2 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 0-6
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 41.9
USG%: 30.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 15

2026-02-11

MIL

HOME

20.6MIN

5POINTS

0 · 3 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 31.7
USG%: 18.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 8

2026-02-09

MIL

HOME

16.6MIN

14POINTS

2 · 5 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 29.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 21

2025-12-07

AWAY

7.3MIN

7POINTS

3 · 1 · 3-4

BELOW

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 22.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 11

2025-12-05

MIA

HOME

34.1MIN

32POINTS

5 · 3 · 12-22

ABOVE

FG: 12-22
3PT: 4-9
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 64.9
USG%: 33.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 40

2025-12-03

HOME

35.9MIN

25POINTS

4 · 6 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 1-1
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 62.3
USG%: 22.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 35

2025-12-01

CHI

HOME

32.3MIN

25POINTS

6 · 2 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 30.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 33

2025-11-28

DET

AWAY

36.0MIN

21POINTS

7 · 1 · 8-19

ABOVE

FG: 8-19
3PT: 0-3
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 48.5
USG%: 24.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -23
PRA: 29

2025-11-25

PHI

AWAY

26.6MIN

21POINTS

5 · 3 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 1-2
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 67.1
USG%: 24.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +22
PRA: 29

2025-11-23

BOS

AWAY

27.7MIN

15POINTS

8 · 5 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 5-8
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 55.5
USG%: 22.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -17
PRA: 28

2025-11-22

HOME

33.7MIN

37POINTS

6 · 7 · 13-19

ABOVE

FG: 13-19
3PT: 4-6
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 83.8
USG%: 29.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 50

2025-11-20

LAC

HOME

29.9MIN

20POINTS

6 · 3 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 0-2
FT: 10-12
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 54.7
USG%: 27.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +16
PRA: 29

2025-11-18

HOME

36.4MIN

18POINTS

8 · 3 · 7-17

BELOW

FG: 7-17
3PT: 0-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 48.0
USG%: 23.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 29

2025-11-16

HOU

AWAY

42.8MIN

29POINTS

5 · 4 · 8-21

ABOVE

FG: 8-21
3PT: 3-8
FT: 10-13
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 54.3
USG%: 31.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 38

2025-11-14

BKN

HOME

37.1MIN

25POINTS

6 · 5 · 7-17

ABOVE

FG: 7-17
3PT: 3-9
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 58.4
USG%: 29.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 36

2025-11-12

AWAY

36.8MIN

28POINTS

9 · 4 · 10-22

ABOVE

FG: 10-22
3PT: 2-7
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 28.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +21
PRA: 41

2025-11-10

POR

HOME

36.4MIN

19POINTS

9 · 6 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 1-2
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 70.3
USG%: 17.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 34

2025-11-09

BOS

HOME

37.2MIN

20POINTS

9 · 3 · 5-17

BELOW

FG: 5-17
3PT: 1-4
FT: 9-10
OREB/DREB: 7/2
TS%: 46.7
USG%: 27.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 32

2025-11-07

BOS

HOME

37.3MIN

27POINTS

6 · 6 · 9-18

ABOVE

FG: 9-18
3PT: 2-7
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 64.0
USG%: 28.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 39

2025-11-04

ATL

AWAY

34.1MIN

18POINTS

6 · 2 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 0-3
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 51.0
USG%: 26.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -19
PRA: 26

2025-11-01

WAS

AWAY

30.8MIN

25POINTS

6 · 6 · 8-19

ABOVE

FG: 8-19
3PT: 2-5
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 56.6
USG%: 30.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +24
PRA: 37

2025-10-30

CHA

AWAY

34.2MIN

21POINTS

5 · 3 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 3-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 62.2
USG%: 24.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +23
PRA: 29

2025-10-29

DET

AWAY

33.4MIN

22POINTS

7 · 2 · 6-14

ABOVE

FG: 6-14
3PT: 3-4
FT: 7-11
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 58.4
USG%: 24.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 31

2025-10-27

PHI

AWAY

36.2MIN

22POINTS

4 · 4 · 8-12

ABOVE

FG: 8-12
3PT: 1-4
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 17.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 30

2025-10-25

CHI

HOME

34.4MIN

17POINTS

7 · 1 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 50.7
USG%: 22.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -16
PRA: 25

2025-10-24

ATL

HOME

35.1MIN

27POINTS

6 · 2 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 2-5
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 68.7
USG%: 27.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: -2
PRA: 35

2025-10-22

MIA

HOME

35.5MIN

24POINTS

4 · 6 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 2-5
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 61.1
USG%: 24.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +5
PRA: 34

every game on file — nothing hidden