HOU · G · 2026 season

Fred VanVleet

Next game: vs GSW, Thu 02:30 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 20:32 UTC · lines as of 20:18 UTC

Projected 28.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 8 games this season

Points 11.5 · Over -115 / Under -117 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 11.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 12, 16, 18, 8, 16, 24, 5, 6); season average 13.1, last 3 average 15.3.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.440 points per minute projects 12.3, +7% against the 11.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 18 vs 17.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 13 vs 11.2 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 11 vs 14.7 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.1 points against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Rebounds 2.5 · Over -169 / Under +124 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 1, 3, 3, 2, 5, 6, 4, 2); season average 3.2.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.109 rebounds per minute projects 3.0, +22% against the 2.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jase Richardson (ORL) 4 vs 1.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 1 vs 3.7 in his other games (Nov 5); Davion Mitchell (MIA) 2 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 5) and 7 more; mean +0.7 rebounds against their own averages over 14 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 58% (8 books at 2.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.3 rebounds, below the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 3.3% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3 games (2 with on-court counts), down from 5.7% on the season (7 of 8 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
GSW have allowed 41.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30; to guards, 15.5 a game, the 5th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
GSW miss 45.2 shots a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 4.5 · Over -151 / Under +113 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 2, 4, 3, 9, 6, 5, 5, 11); season average 5.6.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.188 assists per minute projects 5.3, +17% against the 4.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 6 vs 5.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 4 vs 3.5 in his other games (Nov 5); Jalen Green (PHX) 8 and 1 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 24) and 3 more; mean +0.8 assists against their own averages over 8 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (14 books at 4.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 3.0 assists, below the 4.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 15.6% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3 games (2 with on-court counts), down from 26.5% on the season (7 of 8 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding

Threes 2.5 · Over -105 / Under -130 · 15 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 3, 4, 4, 2, 3, 4, 0, 2); season average 2.8, last 3 average 3.7.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 2 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Klay Thompson (MIA) 2 vs 4.0 in his other games (Nov 5); Davion Mitchell (MIA) 4 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 5) and 5 more; mean +0.1 threes made against their own averages over 10 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

To guards, GSW have allowed 7.6 threes made a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb+Ast 19.5 · Over -121 / Under -109 · 12 books

Case for the over

He averages 22.0 points + rebounds + assists over 8 games, above the 19.5 line.
His last 3 games average 20.7 points + rebounds + assists, above the 19.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.737 PRA per minute projects 20.6, +6% against the 19.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 32 vs 27.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 18 vs 18.4 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 14 vs 18.2 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +2.2 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Pts+Reb 14.5 · Over -120 / Under -114 · 9 books

Case for the over

He averages 16.4 points + rebounds over 8 games, above the 14.5 line.
His last 3 games average 17.7 points + rebounds, above the 14.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.548 PR per minute projects 15.4, +6% against the 14.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 26 vs 22.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 14 vs 14.9 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 11 vs 16.4 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.5 points + rebounds against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

To guards, GSW have allowed 75.4 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 8th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 16.5 · Over -117 / Under -115 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 16.5 in 6 of 8 games this season (newest first: 14, 20, 21, 17, 22, 29, 10, 17); season average 18.8, last 3 average 18.3.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.628 PA per minute projects 17.6, +7% against the 16.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 24 vs 22.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 17 vs 14.7 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 14 vs 16.5 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.8 points + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Reb+Ast 8.5 · Over +105 / Under -140 · 7 books

Case for the over

Over 8.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 3, 7, 6, 11, 11, 11, 9, 13); season average 8.9.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jase Richardson (ORL) 8 vs 4.1 in his other games (Nov 7); Anthony Black (ORL) 14 vs 10.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 5 vs 7.2 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.3 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 5.3 rebounds + assists, below the 8.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 3.3% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3 games (2 with on-court counts), down from 5.7% on the season (7 of 8 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
GSW have allowed 68.3 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
GSW miss 45.2 shots a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 54% (7 books at 8.5).

Steals 1.5 · Over +162 / Under -240 · 2 books

Case for the over

GSW have allowed 9.0 steals a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 5.8 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
GSW commit 15.8 turnovers a game, the 10th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jase Richardson (ORL) 0 vs 0.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 3 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 5) and 7 more; mean +0.2 steals against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 6 of 8 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0, 3); season average 0.9, last 3 average 0.0.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.029 steals per minute projects 0.8, -45% against the 1.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 65% (2 books at 1.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

8 games played · averaging 13.1 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 13.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE66.5%258 of 388 games

INTERVAL61.7%–71.0%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-199at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-161if the rate is 61.7%

Fred has cleared 13.5 points in 66.5% of 388 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -199 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-09

DEN

HOME

30.0MIN

12POINTS

1 · 2 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 15

2026-11-07

PHX

AWAY

30.7MIN

16POINTS

3 · 4 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 4-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 18.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +11
PRA: 23

2026-11-04

MIN

HOME

30.5MIN

18POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 4-9
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 69.9
USG%: 23.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 24

2026-11-02

BOS

HOME

26.9MIN

8POINTS

2 · 9 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 18.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 19

2026-10-30

DAL

AWAY

33.0MIN

16POINTS

5 · 6 · 6-17

ABOVE

FG: 6-17
3PT: 3-10
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 44.7
USG%: 21.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +1
PRA: 27

2026-10-28

MIL

AWAY

29.4MIN

24POINTS

6 · 5 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 4-9
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 72.1
USG%: 29.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +19
PRA: 35

2026-10-26

ATL

HOME

28.8MIN

5POINTS

4 · 5 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 33.6
USG%: 13.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 14

2026-10-21

DAL

HOME

29.6MIN

6POINTS

2 · 11 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 11.4
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +19
PRA: 19

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: vs GSW, Thu 02:30 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 20:32 UTC · lines as of 20:18 UTC

Projected 28.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 8 games this season

Points 11.5 · Over -115 / Under -117 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 11.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 12, 16, 18, 8, 16, 24, 5, 6); season average 13.1, last 3 average 15.3.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.440 points per minute projects 12.3, +7% against the 11.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 18 vs 17.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 13 vs 11.2 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 11 vs 14.7 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.1 points against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Rebounds 2.5 · Over -169 / Under +124 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 1, 3, 3, 2, 5, 6, 4, 2); season average 3.2.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.109 rebounds per minute projects 3.0, +22% against the 2.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jase Richardson (ORL) 4 vs 1.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 1 vs 3.7 in his other games (Nov 5); Davion Mitchell (MIA) 2 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 5) and 7 more; mean +0.7 rebounds against their own averages over 14 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 58% (8 books at 2.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.3 rebounds, below the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 3.3% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3 games (2 with on-court counts), down from 5.7% on the season (7 of 8 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
GSW have allowed 41.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30; to guards, 15.5 a game, the 5th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
GSW miss 45.2 shots a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 4.5 · Over -151 / Under +113 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 2, 4, 3, 9, 6, 5, 5, 11); season average 5.6.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.188 assists per minute projects 5.3, +17% against the 4.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 6 vs 5.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 4 vs 3.5 in his other games (Nov 5); Jalen Green (PHX) 8 and 1 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 24) and 3 more; mean +0.8 assists against their own averages over 8 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (14 books at 4.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 3.0 assists, below the 4.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 15.6% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3 games (2 with on-court counts), down from 26.5% on the season (7 of 8 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding

Threes 2.5 · Over -105 / Under -130 · 15 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 3, 4, 4, 2, 3, 4, 0, 2); season average 2.8, last 3 average 3.7.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 2 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Klay Thompson (MIA) 2 vs 4.0 in his other games (Nov 5); Davion Mitchell (MIA) 4 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 5) and 5 more; mean +0.1 threes made against their own averages over 10 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

To guards, GSW have allowed 7.6 threes made a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb+Ast 19.5 · Over -121 / Under -109 · 12 books

Case for the over

He averages 22.0 points + rebounds + assists over 8 games, above the 19.5 line.
His last 3 games average 20.7 points + rebounds + assists, above the 19.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.737 PRA per minute projects 20.6, +6% against the 19.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 32 vs 27.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 18 vs 18.4 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 14 vs 18.2 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +2.2 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Pts+Reb 14.5 · Over -120 / Under -114 · 9 books

Case for the over

He averages 16.4 points + rebounds over 8 games, above the 14.5 line.
His last 3 games average 17.7 points + rebounds, above the 14.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.548 PR per minute projects 15.4, +6% against the 14.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 26 vs 22.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 14 vs 14.9 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 11 vs 16.4 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.5 points + rebounds against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

To guards, GSW have allowed 75.4 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 8th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 16.5 · Over -117 / Under -115 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 16.5 in 6 of 8 games this season (newest first: 14, 20, 21, 17, 22, 29, 10, 17); season average 18.8, last 3 average 18.3.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.628 PA per minute projects 17.6, +7% against the 16.5 line.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Anthony Black (ORL) 24 vs 22.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 17 vs 14.7 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 14 vs 16.5 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.8 points + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Reb+Ast 8.5 · Over +105 / Under -140 · 7 books

Case for the over

Over 8.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 3, 7, 6, 11, 11, 11, 9, 13); season average 8.9.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jase Richardson (ORL) 8 vs 4.1 in his other games (Nov 7); Anthony Black (ORL) 14 vs 10.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 5 vs 7.2 in his other games (Nov 5) and 9 more; mean +1.3 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 12 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 5.3 rebounds + assists, below the 8.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 3.3% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3 games (2 with on-court counts), down from 5.7% on the season (7 of 8 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
GSW have allowed 68.3 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
GSW miss 45.2 shots a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 54% (7 books at 8.5).

Steals 1.5 · Over +162 / Under -240 · 2 books

Case for the over

GSW have allowed 9.0 steals a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 5.8 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
GSW commit 15.8 turnovers a game, the 10th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs GSW (guards; usage 14.1% to 24.1%, 21.8 to 37.8 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jase Richardson (ORL) 0 vs 0.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Pelle Larsson (MIA) 3 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 5); Klay Thompson (MIA) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 5) and 7 more; mean +0.2 steals against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 6 of 8 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0, 3); season average 0.9, last 3 average 0.0.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 29.9 a game so far; 0.029 steals per minute projects 0.8, -45% against the 1.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 65% (2 books at 1.5).