MIL · 2026 season

Giannis Antetokounmpo

36 games played · averaging 27.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 27.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE63.1%296 of 469 games

INTERVAL58.7%–67.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-172at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-143if the rate is 58.7%

Giannis has cleared 27.5 points in 63.1% of 469 games since 2019, and in 20.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -172 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-03-15

IND

HOME

23.1MIN

31POINTS

14 · 8 · 11-22

ABOVE

FG: 11-22
3PT: 0-0
FT: 9-13
OREB/DREB: 6/8
TS%: 55.9
USG%: 55.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 53

2026-03-12

MIA

AWAY

29.2MIN

31POINTS

6 · 3 · 12-24

ABOVE

FG: 12-24
3PT: 0-2
FT: 7-11
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 53.7
USG%: 49.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 40

2026-03-10

PHX

HOME

32.0MIN

22POINTS

6 · 3 · 10-18

BELOW

FG: 10-18
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-5
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 54.5
USG%: 34.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 31

2026-03-07

UTAH

HOME

27.0MIN

27POINTS

9 · 8 · 9-14

BELOW

FG: 9-14
3PT: 0-2
FT: 9-15
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 65.5
USG%: 37.1
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +23
PRA: 44

2026-03-04

ATL

HOME

26.2MIN

24POINTS

5 · 4 · 10-15

BELOW

FG: 10-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-8
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 64.8
USG%: 34.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -24
PRA: 33

2026-03-02

BOS

HOME

25.5MIN

19POINTS

11 · 2 · 7-18

BELOW

FG: 7-18
3PT: 0-2
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 4/7
TS%: 45.1
USG%: 46.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 32

2026-01-23

DEN

HOME

32.2MIN

22POINTS

13 · 7 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 14-16
OREB/DREB: 1/12
TS%: 73.1
USG%: 26.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 42

2026-01-21

OKC

HOME

31.5MIN

19POINTS

14 · 7 · 8-11

BELOW

FG: 8-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 2/12
TS%: 69.6
USG%: 25.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 40

2026-01-19

ATL

AWAY

29.6MIN

21POINTS

17 · 6 · 7-12

BELOW

FG: 7-12
3PT: 0-1
FT: 7-12
OREB/DREB: 3/14
TS%: 60.8
USG%: 31.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 44

2026-01-15

AWAY

22.0MIN

21POINTS

5 · 1 · 7-12

BELOW

FG: 7-12
3PT: 1-1
FT: 6-9
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 37.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -31
PRA: 27

2026-01-13

MIN

HOME

31.0MIN

25POINTS

8 · 5 · 9-13

BELOW

FG: 9-13
3PT: 0-1
FT: 7-14
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 65.2
USG%: 36.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 7
PF: 4
+/−: -11
PRA: 38

2026-01-11

DEN

AWAY

33.0MIN

31POINTS

8 · 11 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 1-3
FT: 10-14
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 66.9
USG%: 35.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +16
PRA: 50

2026-01-09

LAL

AWAY

30.8MIN

21POINTS

6 · 5 · 9-11

BELOW

FG: 9-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 82.3
USG%: 24.9
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 32

2026-01-07

AWAY

30.9MIN

34POINTS

10 · 5 · 15-22

ABOVE

FG: 15-22
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-7
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 67.8
USG%: 41.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +3
PRA: 49

2026-01-04

SAC

AWAY

31.6MIN

37POINTS

11 · 1 · 13-17

ABOVE

FG: 13-17
3PT: 0-0
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 81.4
USG%: 34.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 49

2026-01-02

CHA

HOME

29.8MIN

30POINTS

10 · 5 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 0-0
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 69.7
USG%: 37.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +21
PRA: 45

2025-12-31

WAS

HOME

28.4MIN

33POINTS

15 · 3 · 12-21

ABOVE

FG: 12-21
3PT: 0-1
FT: 9-14
OREB/DREB: 5/10
TS%: 60.8
USG%: 49.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 51

2025-12-29

CHA

AWAY

25.3MIN

24POINTS

4 · 7 · 11-16

BELOW

FG: 11-16
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 67.6
USG%: 36.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 35

2025-12-27

CHI

AWAY

24.7MIN

29POINTS

8 · 1 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 1-3
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 74.7
USG%: 39.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 38

2025-12-03

DET

HOME

3.0MIN

2POINTS

1 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 113.6
USG%: 13.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 4

2025-12-01

WAS

AWAY

31.6MIN

26POINTS

7 · 4 · 10-17

BELOW

FG: 10-17
3PT: 0-1
FT: 6-11
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 37.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 6
+/−: -2
PRA: 37

2025-11-29

BKN

HOME

19.0MIN

29POINTS

8 · 2 · 12-15

ABOVE

FG: 12-15
3PT: 1-2
FT: 4-8
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 78.3
USG%: 50.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +27
PRA: 39

2025-11-28

AWAY

28.1MIN

30POINTS

15 · 8 · 10-14

ABOVE

FG: 10-14
3PT: 0-2
FT: 10-14
OREB/DREB: 2/13
TS%: 74.4
USG%: 40.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: +2
PRA: 53

2025-11-17

CLE

AWAY

13.0MIN

14POINTS

5 · 4 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 61.8
USG%: 49.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 23

2025-11-15

LAL

HOME

31.6MIN

32POINTS

10 · 5 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 1-1
FT: 13-18
OREB/DREB: 5/5
TS%: 69.8
USG%: 39.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 47

2025-11-14

CHA

HOME

40.4MIN

25POINTS

7 · 18 · 12-18

BELOW

FG: 12-18
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 29.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 7
PF: 3
+/−: +18
PRA: 50

2025-11-10

DAL

AWAY

37.4MIN

30POINTS

8 · 6 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 1-2
FT: 7-12
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 31.6
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 5
PF: 5
+/−: +12
PRA: 44

2025-11-09

HOU

HOME

35.6MIN

37POINTS

8 · 3 · 14-25

ABOVE

FG: 14-25
3PT: 0-1
FT: 9-14
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 59.4
USG%: 44.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 48

2025-11-07

CHI

HOME

37.3MIN

41POINTS

15 · 9 · 16-32

ABOVE

FG: 16-32
3PT: 1-3
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 4/11
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 43.1
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 65

2025-11-04

TOR

AWAY

23.7MIN

22POINTS

8 · 3 · 9-14

BELOW

FG: 9-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 33.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 33

2025-11-03

IND

AWAY

31.7MIN

33POINTS

13 · 5 · 14-21

ABOVE

FG: 14-21
3PT: 1-2
FT: 4-9
OREB/DREB: 5/8
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 36.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +8
PRA: 51

2025-11-01

SAC

HOME

32.2MIN

26POINTS

11 · 8 · 8-13

BELOW

FG: 8-13
3PT: 1-1
FT: 9-14
OREB/DREB: 4/7
TS%: 67.8
USG%: 28.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 45

2025-10-28

HOME

33.2MIN

37POINTS

8 · 7 · 16-22

ABOVE

FG: 16-22
3PT: 0-1
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 73.8
USG%: 41.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +18
PRA: 52

2025-10-26

CLE

AWAY

33.3MIN

40POINTS

14 · 9 · 14-20

ABOVE

FG: 14-20
3PT: 1-1
FT: 11-16
OREB/DREB: 5/9
TS%: 74.0
USG%: 38.6
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 63

2025-10-24

TOR

AWAY

37.6MIN

31POINTS

20 · 7 · 11-14

ABOVE

FG: 11-14
3PT: 2-2
FT: 7-12
OREB/DREB: 7/13
TS%: 80.4
USG%: 26.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 58

2025-10-22

WAS

HOME

26.8MIN

37POINTS

14 · 5 · 16-26

ABOVE

FG: 16-26
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 2/12
TS%: 63.6
USG%: 48.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +10
PRA: 56

every game on file — nothing hidden