TOR · G · 2026 season

Immanuel Quickley

Next game: vs BOS, Thu 00:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 88 minutes before tip, 22:32 UTC · lines as of 22:15 UTC

Projected 33.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 8 games this season

Points 17.5 · Over -114 / Under -116 · 13 books

Case for the over

Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.547 points per minute projects 18.1, +3% against the 17.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 17.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 13, 27, 12, 17, 16, 19, 12, 23).
BOS have allowed 104.0 points a game over 11 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 53.3 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 8 vs 13.2 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 13 vs 22.3 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) 18 vs 16.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 7 more; mean -0.8 points against their own averages over 10 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 3.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 14 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 3.7 rebounds, above the 3.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.110 rebounds per minute projects 3.6, +4% against the 3.5 line.

Case for the under

BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): Fred VanVleet (HOU) 2 vs 3.4 in his other games (Nov 2); Desmond Bane (ORL) 2 vs 4.4 in his other games (Nov 1); Norman Powell (CHI) 2 vs 2.8 in his other games (Oct 30); mean -1.5 rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 5.5 · Over -139 / Under +102 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 5.5 in 6 of 8 games this season (newest first: 7, 2, 7, 8, 7, 2, 6, 7); season average 5.8.
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.181 assists per minute projects 6.0, +9% against the 5.5 line.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 5 vs 2.9 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 2 vs 4.0 in his other games (Nov 10); Fred VanVleet (HOU) 9 vs 5.1 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +0.4 assists against their own averages over 6 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 54% (14 books at 5.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 5.3 assists, below the 5.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 21.3% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, down from 26% on the season. a hint, not a finding
BOS have allowed 25.0 assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 42.3% shooting from the field, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Threes 2.5 · Over -130 / Under -104 · 15 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 2, 1, 3, 4, 4, 3, 0, 4); season average 2.6.
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.083 threes per minute projects 2.7, +9% against the 2.5 line.
BOS have allowed 14.5 threes made a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 43.2 three-point attempts a game, the 2nd-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.0 threes made, below the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
To guards, BOS have allowed 7.6 threes made a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 0 vs 1.9 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 1 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) 4 vs 1.7 in his other games (Nov 4) and 5 more; mean -0.3 threes made against their own averages over 8 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb+Ast 27.5 · Over -112 / Under -118 · 10 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 27.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 21, 33, 25, 31, 26, 24, 19, 34); season average 26.6, last 3 average 26.3.
BOS have allowed 172.4 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-fewest of 30; to guards, 85.2 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 21.5 · Over -110 / Under -120 · 8 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

BOS have allowed 147.4 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 3rd-fewest of 30; to guards, 69.6 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 12 vs 19.7 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 18 vs 29.0 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) 20 vs 22.8 in his other games (Nov 4) and 7 more; mean -1.5 points + rebounds against their own averages over 10 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 23.5 · Over -119 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 23.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 20, 29, 19, 25, 23, 21, 18, 30); last 3 average 22.7.
BOS have allowed 129.0 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 3rd-fewest of 30; to guards, 68.8 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 9.5 · Over -118 / Under -113 · 9 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 9.0 rebounds + assists, below the 9.5 line. a hint, not a finding
To guards, BOS have allowed 31.9 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 1.5 · Over +160 / Under -225 · 4 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 2, 1, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 2); season average 1.1, last 3 average 1.3.
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.035 steals per minute projects 1.2, -22% against the 1.5 line.
BOS have allowed 6.9 steals a game over 11 games, the 5th-fewest of 30; to guards, 3.9 a game, the 6th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS commit 13.7 turnovers a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 64% (4 books at 1.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

8 games played · averaging 17.4 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 17.5 · POINTS · 2020–2026

HIT RATE32.8%136 of 415 games

INTERVAL28.4%–37.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+205at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+252if the rate is 28.4%

Immanuel has cleared 17.5 points in 32.8% of 415 games since 2020, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +205 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-04

DEN

AWAY

32.2MIN

13POINTS

1 · 7 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-8
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 52.3
USG%: 18.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -29
PRA: 21

2026-11-02

LAC

AWAY

38.0MIN

27POINTS

4 · 2 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 1-4
FT: 10-11
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 75.7
USG%: 21.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 33

2026-11-01

LAL

AWAY

33.2MIN

12POINTS

6 · 7 · 3-13

BELOW

FG: 3-13
3PT: 3-11
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 41.9
USG%: 16.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 25

2026-10-30

ORL

HOME

36.6MIN

17POINTS

6 · 8 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 4-9
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 17.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 31

2026-10-28

ORL

HOME

28.6MIN

16POINTS

3 · 7 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 4-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.4
USG%: 24.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +26
PRA: 26

2026-10-25

MIN

AWAY

28.2MIN

19POINTS

3 · 2 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 3-8
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 26.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -16
PRA: 24

2026-10-23

WAS

AWAY

29.1MIN

12POINTS

1 · 6 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 0-6
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 36.8
USG%: 22.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +1
PRA: 19

2026-10-21

CHI

HOME

28.2MIN

23POINTS

4 · 7 · 6-13

ABOVE

FG: 6-13
3PT: 4-9
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 69.6
USG%: 21.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +38
PRA: 34

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: vs BOS, Thu 00:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 88 minutes before tip, 22:32 UTC · lines as of 22:15 UTC

Projected 33.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 8 games this season

Points 17.5 · Over -114 / Under -116 · 13 books

Case for the over

Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.547 points per minute projects 18.1, +3% against the 17.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 17.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 13, 27, 12, 17, 16, 19, 12, 23).
BOS have allowed 104.0 points a game over 11 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 53.3 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 8 vs 13.2 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 13 vs 22.3 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) 18 vs 16.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 7 more; mean -0.8 points against their own averages over 10 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 3.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 14 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 3.7 rebounds, above the 3.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.110 rebounds per minute projects 3.6, +4% against the 3.5 line.

Case for the under

BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): Fred VanVleet (HOU) 2 vs 3.4 in his other games (Nov 2); Desmond Bane (ORL) 2 vs 4.4 in his other games (Nov 1); Norman Powell (CHI) 2 vs 2.8 in his other games (Oct 30); mean -1.5 rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 5.5 · Over -139 / Under +102 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 5.5 in 6 of 8 games this season (newest first: 7, 2, 7, 8, 7, 2, 6, 7); season average 5.8.
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.181 assists per minute projects 6.0, +9% against the 5.5 line.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 5 vs 2.9 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 2 vs 4.0 in his other games (Nov 10); Fred VanVleet (HOU) 9 vs 5.1 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +0.4 assists against their own averages over 6 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 54% (14 books at 5.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 5.3 assists, below the 5.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 21.3% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, down from 26% on the season. a hint, not a finding
BOS have allowed 25.0 assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 42.3% shooting from the field, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Threes 2.5 · Over -130 / Under -104 · 15 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 2, 1, 3, 4, 4, 3, 0, 4); season average 2.6.
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.083 threes per minute projects 2.7, +9% against the 2.5 line.
BOS have allowed 14.5 threes made a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 43.2 three-point attempts a game, the 2nd-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.0 threes made, below the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
To guards, BOS have allowed 7.6 threes made a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 0 vs 1.9 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 1 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) 4 vs 1.7 in his other games (Nov 4) and 5 more; mean -0.3 threes made against their own averages over 8 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb+Ast 27.5 · Over -112 / Under -118 · 10 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 27.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 21, 33, 25, 31, 26, 24, 19, 34); season average 26.6, last 3 average 26.3.
BOS have allowed 172.4 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-fewest of 30; to guards, 85.2 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 21.5 · Over -110 / Under -120 · 8 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

BOS have allowed 147.4 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 3rd-fewest of 30; to guards, 69.6 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs BOS (guards; usage 16.1% to 26.1%, 23.8 to 39.8 min a game, at least 25.0 min in the game): VJ Edgecombe (PHI) 12 vs 19.7 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaylen Brown (PHI) 18 vs 29.0 in his other games (Nov 10); Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) 20 vs 22.8 in his other games (Nov 4) and 7 more; mean -1.5 points + rebounds against their own averages over 10 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 23.5 · Over -119 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 23.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 20, 29, 19, 25, 23, 21, 18, 30); last 3 average 22.7.
BOS have allowed 129.0 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 3rd-fewest of 30; to guards, 68.8 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 6th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 9.5 · Over -118 / Under -113 · 9 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 9.0 rebounds + assists, below the 9.5 line. a hint, not a finding
To guards, BOS have allowed 31.9 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 1.5 · Over +160 / Under -225 · 4 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 5 of 8 games this season (newest first: 2, 1, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 2); season average 1.1, last 3 average 1.3.
Projected for 33.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 31.8 a game so far; 0.035 steals per minute projects 1.2, -22% against the 1.5 line.
BOS have allowed 6.9 steals a game over 11 games, the 5th-fewest of 30; to guards, 3.9 a game, the 6th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS commit 13.7 turnovers a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
BOS average 99.0 possessions a game, the 5th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 64% (4 books at 1.5).