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2 games played · averaging 13.0 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 13.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026
HIT RATE46.6%139 of 298 games
INTERVAL41.1%–52.3%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN+114at that rate
AT THE FLOOR+144if the rate is 41.1%
Jalen has cleared 13.5 points in 46.6% of 298 games since 2022, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +114 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.