BOS · 2026 season

Jayson Tatum

22 games played, 6 in the postseason · averaging 22.2 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 22.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE69.3%365 of 527 games

INTERVAL65.2%–73.0%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-226at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-189if the rate is 65.2%

Jayson has cleared 22.5 points in 69.3% of 527 games since 2019, and in 80.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -226 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-30

PHI

AWAY

28.8MIN

17POINTS

11 · 3 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 2-6
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 0/11
TS%: 55.9
USG%: 28.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 31

2026-04-28

PHI

HOME

40.6MIN

24POINTS

16 · 4 · 8-19

ABOVE

FG: 8-19
3PT: 4-12
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 3/13
TS%: 54.3
USG%: 27.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 44

2026-04-26

PHI

AWAY

34.9MIN

30POINTS

7 · 11 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 5-10
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 75.2
USG%: 30.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +25
PRA: 48

2026-04-24

PHI

AWAY

42.4MIN

25POINTS

5 · 7 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 5-9
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 20.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 37

2026-04-21

PHI

HOME

39.0MIN

19POINTS

14 · 9 · 8-19

BELOW

FG: 8-19
3PT: 2-8
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 3/11
TS%: 47.8
USG%: 26.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: +1
PRA: 42

2026-04-19

PHI

HOME

32.4MIN

25POINTS

11 · 7 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 1-7
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/11
TS%: 63.6
USG%: 28.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +20
PRA: 43

2026-04-09

AWAY

39.8MIN

24POINTS

13 · 8 · 7-22

ABOVE

FG: 7-22
3PT: 2-10
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 1/12
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 38.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 6
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 45

2026-04-07

CHA

HOME

38.9MIN

23POINTS

5 · 4 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 3-7
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 66.9
USG%: 22.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +12
PRA: 32

2026-04-05

TOR

HOME

34.0MIN

23POINTS

13 · 7 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-6
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/13
TS%: 62.1
USG%: 30.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 43

2026-04-03

MIL

AWAY

31.1MIN

23POINTS

11 · 9 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 4-8
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/11
TS%: 64.8
USG%: 28.9
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +30
PRA: 43

2026-04-01

MIA

AWAY

37.2MIN

25POINTS

18 · 11 · 9-21

ABOVE

FG: 9-21
3PT: 4-13
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/18
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 28.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 54

2026-03-29

CHA

AWAY

30.8MIN

32POINTS

5 · 8 · 12-23

ABOVE

FG: 12-23
3PT: 5-10
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 63.5
USG%: 40.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 45

2026-03-27

ATL

HOME

36.6MIN

26POINTS

12 · 5 · 8-24

ABOVE

FG: 8-24
3PT: 2-8
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 0/12
TS%: 45.8
USG%: 37.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 43

2026-03-25

OKC

HOME

35.4MIN

19POINTS

12 · 7 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 3-6
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/12
TS%: 64.9
USG%: 24.9
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 38

2026-03-22

MIN

HOME

30.7MIN

16POINTS

11 · 2 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-7
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/10
TS%: 46.2
USG%: 25.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 29

2026-03-20

MEM

AWAY

30.9MIN

13POINTS

9 · 0 · 3-15

BELOW

FG: 3-15
3PT: 2-9
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 36.8
USG%: 28.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 22

2026-03-18

HOME

31.0MIN

24POINTS

10 · 2 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 5-11
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 1/9
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 28.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 36

2026-03-16

PHX

HOME

32.3MIN

21POINTS

7 · 4 · 8-18

BELOW

FG: 8-18
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 54.3
USG%: 30.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 32

2026-03-14

WAS

HOME

32.2MIN

20POINTS

14 · 7 · 8-19

BELOW

FG: 8-19
3PT: 2-9
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/13
TS%: 50.3
USG%: 27.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 41

2026-03-10

AWAY

26.8MIN

24POINTS

5 · 2 · 10-24

ABOVE

FG: 10-24
3PT: 4-14
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 42.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 31

2026-03-08

CLE

AWAY

27.0MIN

20POINTS

3 · 2 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-9
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 52.4
USG%: 34.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 25

2026-03-06

DAL

HOME

27.2MIN

15POINTS

12 · 7 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 3-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/11
TS%: 46.9
USG%: 27.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +20
PRA: 34

every game on file — nothing hidden