GSW · 2026 season

Jimmy Butler III

38 games played · averaging 20.0 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 20.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE50.0%223 of 446 games

INTERVAL45.4%–54.6%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+100at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+120if the rate is 45.4%

Jimmy has cleared 20.5 points in 50.0% of 446 games since 2019, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +100 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-01-19

MIA

HOME

20.8MIN

17POINTS

3 · 4 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 0-1
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 30.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 24

2026-01-15

HOME

32.0MIN

32POINTS

8 · 4 · 14-22

ABOVE

FG: 14-22
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 7/1
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 34.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +15
PRA: 44

2026-01-13

POR

HOME

26.4MIN

16POINTS

6 · 5 · 5-7

BELOW

FG: 5-7
3PT: 1-2
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 87.0
USG%: 15.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +17
PRA: 27

2026-01-11

ATL

HOME

33.7MIN

30POINTS

7 · 6 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 2-6
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 30.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 43

2026-01-09

SAC

HOME

22.8MIN

15POINTS

6 · 6 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 66.3
USG%: 25.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +20
PRA: 27

2026-01-07

MIL

HOME

32.0MIN

21POINTS

5 · 3 · 6-15

ABOVE

FG: 6-15
3PT: 1-5
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 55.4
USG%: 29.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 29

2026-01-05

LAC

AWAY

33.4MIN

24POINTS

6 · 2 · 7-16

ABOVE

FG: 7-16
3PT: 1-4
FT: 9-11
OREB/DREB: 5/1
TS%: 57.6
USG%: 29.6
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 32

2026-01-03

UTAH

HOME

33.5MIN

15POINTS

3 · 7 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 1-2
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 59.9
USG%: 18.7
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 25

2025-12-31

CHA

AWAY

30.9MIN

19POINTS

5 · 7 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 71.5
USG%: 23.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 31

2025-12-29

BKN

AWAY

31.2MIN

21POINTS

5 · 4 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 73.5
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 30

2025-12-28

TOR

AWAY

37.7MIN

19POINTS

6 · 5 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 0-4
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 49.8
USG%: 24.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 30

2025-12-25

DAL

HOME

31.7MIN

14POINTS

9 · 9 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 19.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 32

2025-12-22

ORL

HOME

29.5MIN

21POINTS

3 · 4 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 1-1
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 86.9
USG%: 18.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 28

2025-12-20

PHX

HOME

34.9MIN

25POINTS

1 · 2 · 10-21

ABOVE

FG: 10-21
3PT: 2-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 56.0
USG%: 26.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 28

2025-12-18

PHX

AWAY

33.9MIN

31POINTS

3 · 3 · 11-17

ABOVE

FG: 11-17
3PT: 1-1
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 74.0
USG%: 27.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 37

2025-12-14

POR

AWAY

35.0MIN

16POINTS

7 · 4 · 3-11

BELOW

FG: 3-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 10-11
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 50.5
USG%: 22.4
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -4
PRA: 27

2025-12-12

MIN

HOME

36.9MIN

15POINTS

8 · 5 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 58.8
USG%: 15.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 28

2025-12-07

CHI

AWAY

28.8MIN

19POINTS

8 · 6 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 2-2
FT: 7-10
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 66.0
USG%: 24.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +29
PRA: 33

2025-12-02

OKC

HOME

15.2MIN

6POINTS

3 · 1 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 40.3
USG%: 20.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 10

2025-11-29

HOME

37.2MIN

24POINTS

8 · 10 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 0-2
FT: 10-14
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 27.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +22
PRA: 42

2025-11-26

HOU

HOME

32.6MIN

21POINTS

5 · 5 · 6-11

ABOVE

FG: 6-11
3PT: 2-4
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 74.6
USG%: 19.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 31

2025-11-24

UTAH

HOME

28.6MIN

18POINTS

6 · 7 · 8-11

BELOW

FG: 8-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 73.1
USG%: 17.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +19
PRA: 31

2025-11-21

POR

HOME

33.9MIN

20POINTS

8 · 5 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 10-11
OREB/DREB: 6/2
TS%: 50.4
USG%: 25.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 33

2025-11-18

ORL

AWAY

38.2MIN

33POINTS

7 · 4 · 10-16

ABOVE

FG: 10-16
3PT: 0-1
FT: 13-15
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 73.0
USG%: 29.7
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 44

2025-11-16

AWAY

31.3MIN

18POINTS

3 · 10 · 6-8

BELOW

FG: 6-8
3PT: 1-1
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 88.2
USG%: 20.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 2
+/−: +21
PRA: 31

2025-11-14

AWAY

34.7MIN

21POINTS

8 · 1 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-1
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 59.9
USG%: 22.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -3
PRA: 30

2025-11-12

AWAY

33.8MIN

28POINTS

6 · 8 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 5-7
FT: 9-12
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 81.0
USG%: 21.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 42

2025-11-11

OKC

AWAY

22.2MIN

12POINTS

3 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 92.0
USG%: 15.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -15
PRA: 17

2025-11-09

IND

HOME

30.1MIN

21POINTS

9 · 7 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 62.6
USG%: 24.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +19
PRA: 37

2025-11-07

DEN

AWAY

30.6MIN

16POINTS

3 · 3 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-3
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 61.2
USG%: 18.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -20
PRA: 22

2025-11-04

PHX

HOME

14.1MIN

2POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 20.0
USG%: 19.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +17
PRA: 8

2025-11-01

IND

AWAY

34.4MIN

20POINTS

6 · 7 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 0-2
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 55.7
USG%: 24.1
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 33

2025-10-30

MIL

AWAY

36.8MIN

23POINTS

10 · 3 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 1-2
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 6/4
TS%: 53.4
USG%: 26.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 36

2025-10-28

LAC

HOME

31.9MIN

21POINTS

5 · 5 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 19.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +20
PRA: 31

2025-10-27

MEM

HOME

31.4MIN

20POINTS

5 · 5 · 6-8

BELOW

FG: 6-8
3PT: 2-2
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 86.8
USG%: 22.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 0
+/−: +8
PRA: 30

2025-10-24

POR

AWAY

26.7MIN

14POINTS

3 · 4 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-2
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 61.4
USG%: 18.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 21

2025-10-23

DEN

HOME

38.6MIN

21POINTS

5 · 6 · 6-15

ABOVE

FG: 6-15
3PT: 2-4
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 21.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 32

2025-10-21

LAL

AWAY

34.7MIN

31POINTS

5 · 4 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 1-2
FT: 16-16
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 73.7
USG%: 28.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +20
PRA: 40

every game on file — nothing hidden