PHI · 2026 season
Joel Embiid
45 games played, 7 in the postseason · averaging 26.4 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 26.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026
HIT RATE63.8%234 of 367 games
INTERVAL58.7%–68.5%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-176at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-143if the rate is 58.7%
Joel has cleared 26.5 points in 63.8% of 367 games since 2019, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -176 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-05-10PLAYOFF R2 G4
NY
HOME
27.6MIN
24POINTS
5 · 4 · 8-8
BELOW
- FG
- 8-8
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 108.3
- USG%
- 22.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 33
›2026-05-08PLAYOFF R2 G3
NY
HOME
34.8MIN
18POINTS
6 · 5 · 7-17
BELOW
- FG
- 7-17
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 45.8
- USG%
- 30.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 29
›2026-05-04PLAYOFF R2 G1
NY
AWAY
24.5MIN
14POINTS
4 · 1 · 3-11
BELOW
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 46.8
- USG%
- 29.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 19
›2026-05-02PLAYOFF R1 G7
BOS
AWAY
39.1MIN
34POINTS
12 · 6 · 12-26
ABOVE
- FG
- 12-26
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 2/10
- TS%
- 55.1
- USG%
- 38.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 52
›2026-04-30PLAYOFF R1 G6
BOS
HOME
34.2MIN
19POINTS
10 · 8 · 6-18
BELOW
- FG
- 6-18
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 45.1
- USG%
- 28.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 37
›2026-04-28PLAYOFF R1 G5
BOS
AWAY
38.9MIN
33POINTS
4 · 8 · 12-23
ABOVE
- FG
- 12-23
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 60.2
- USG%
- 38.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 45
›2026-04-26PLAYOFF R1 G4
BOS
HOME
34.1MIN
26POINTS
10 · 6 · 9-21
BELOW
- FG
- 9-21
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 7-9
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 52.1
- USG%
- 40.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -25
- PRA
- 42
›2026-04-06
SA
AWAY
39.2MIN
34POINTS
12 · 1 · 8-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 8-19
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 16-19
- OREB/DREB
- 5/7
- TS%
- 62.1
- USG%
- 34.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 47
›2026-04-03
MIN
HOME
34.5MIN
19POINTS
13 · 7 · 6-17
BELOW
- FG
- 6-17
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/11
- TS%
- 47.3
- USG%
- 26.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 39
›2026-03-30
MIA
AWAY
34.1MIN
26POINTS
7 · 3 · 10-25
BELOW
- FG
- 10-25
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 47.8
- USG%
- 37.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 36
›2026-03-28
CHA
AWAY
35.8MIN
29POINTS
6 · 2 · 8-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 8-19
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 10-13
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 58.7
- USG%
- 31.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 37
›2026-03-25
CHI
HOME
28.1MIN
35POINTS
6 · 7 · 12-17
ABOVE
- FG
- 12-17
- 3PT
- 3-3
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 83.5
- USG%
- 33.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +33
- PRA
- 48
›2026-02-26
MIA
HOME
31.2MIN
26POINTS
11 · 4 · 8-20
BELOW
- FG
- 8-20
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 34.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 41
›2026-02-24
IND
AWAY
26.3MIN
27POINTS
6 · 5 · 11-17
ABOVE
- FG
- 11-17
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 70.3
- USG%
- 36.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 38
›2026-02-07
PHX
AWAY
33.0MIN
33POINTS
9 · 3 · 9-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 11-13
- OREB/DREB
- 1/8
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 36.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 45
›2026-02-05
LAL
AWAY
38.6MIN
35POINTS
7 · 7 · 13-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 13-19
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 77.7
- USG%
- 29.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 49
›2026-02-02
LAC
AWAY
32.2MIN
24POINTS
5 · 3 · 8-19
BELOW
- FG
- 8-19
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 31.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 32
›2026-01-31
NO
HOME
39.0MIN
40POINTS
11 · 4 · 13-27
ABOVE
- FG
- 13-27
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 11-14
- OREB/DREB
- 4/7
- TS%
- 60.3
- USG%
- 41.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 55
›2026-01-29
SAC
HOME
35.9MIN
37POINTS
5 · 8 · 13-21
ABOVE
- FG
- 13-21
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 10-13
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 69.2
- USG%
- 40.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 50
›2026-01-27
MIL
HOME
29.1MIN
29POINTS
9 · 5 · 11-24
ABOVE
- FG
- 11-24
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 6/3
- TS%
- 54.4
- USG%
- 41.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 43
›2026-01-24
NY
HOME
36.4MIN
38POINTS
11 · 5 · 13-21
ABOVE
- FG
- 13-21
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 9-12
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 72.3
- USG%
- 38.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 54
›2026-01-22
HOU
HOME
45.6MIN
32POINTS
15 · 10 · 10-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-19
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 11-12
- OREB/DREB
- 3/12
- TS%
- 65.9
- USG%
- 29.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 57
›2026-01-19
IND
HOME
33.3MIN
30POINTS
9 · 4 · 10-17
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-17
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 70.1
- USG%
- 28.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 43
›2026-01-16
CLE
HOME
33.1MIN
33POINTS
5 · 3 · 10-22
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-22
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 11-12
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 60.5
- USG%
- 37.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 41
›2026-01-14
CLE
HOME
25.0MIN
20POINTS
4 · 3 · 7-14
BELOW
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 63.5
- USG%
- 37.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 27
›2026-01-12
TOR
AWAY
35.7MIN
27POINTS
8 · 4 · 9-17
ABOVE
- FG
- 9-17
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 65.8
- USG%
- 37.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 7
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 39
›2026-01-09
ORL
AWAY
31.4MIN
22POINTS
9 · 3 · 7-17
BELOW
- FG
- 7-17
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 3/6
- TS%
- 52.5
- USG%
- 32.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 34
›2026-01-07
WAS
HOME
25.4MIN
28POINTS
7 · 2 · 10-14
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-14
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 79.9
- USG%
- 34.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 37
›2026-01-05
DEN
HOME
40.1MIN
32POINTS
10 · 2 · 13-22
ABOVE
- FG
- 13-22
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 6/4
- TS%
- 66.1
- USG%
- 33.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 44
›2026-01-03
NY
AWAY
33.1MIN
26POINTS
10 · 5 · 9-15
BELOW
- FG
- 9-15
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 8-12
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 64.1
- USG%
- 29.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 41
›2026-01-01
DAL
AWAY
35.3MIN
22POINTS
4 · 6 · 9-18
BELOW
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 54.5
- USG%
- 27.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 32
›2025-12-30
MEM
AWAY
38.1MIN
34POINTS
10 · 8 · 11-28
ABOVE
- FG
- 11-28
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 11-12
- OREB/DREB
- 5/5
- TS%
- 51.1
- USG%
- 39.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 52
›2025-12-26
CHI
AWAY
32.2MIN
31POINTS
5 · 1 · 10-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-19
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 9-9
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 67.5
- USG%
- 33.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 37
›2025-12-23
BKN
HOME
31.5MIN
27POINTS
6 · 4 · 8-13
ABOVE
- FG
- 8-13
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 10-12
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 73.9
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 37
›2025-12-14
ATL
AWAY
30.2MIN
22POINTS
14 · 1 · 8-20
BELOW
- FG
- 8-20
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 6/8
- TS%
- 48.6
- USG%
- 32.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 37
›2025-12-12
IND
HOME
31.9MIN
39POINTS
9 · 3 · 12-23
ABOVE
- FG
- 12-23
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 13-18
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 63.1
- USG%
- 46.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 51
›2025-12-07
LAL
HOME
30.3MIN
16POINTS
7 · 2 · 4-21
BELOW
- FG
- 4-21
- 3PT
- 0-6
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 32.6
- USG%
- 32.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 25
›2025-12-04
GS
HOME
25.2MIN
12POINTS
6 · 3 · 5-13
BELOW
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 43.2
- USG%
- 29.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 21
›2025-11-30
ATL
HOME
30.0MIN
18POINTS
4 · 2 · 6-14
BELOW
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 51.4
- USG%
- 27.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 24
›2025-11-08
TOR
HOME
26.0MIN
29POINTS
6 · 4 · 10-16
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 72.6
- USG%
- 33.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 39
›2025-11-04
CHI
AWAY
25.6MIN
20POINTS
6 · 2 · 7-21
BELOW
- FG
- 7-21
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 42.3
- USG%
- 41.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 28
›2025-10-31
BOS
HOME
25.1MIN
20POINTS
6 · 3 · 6-13
BELOW
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 62.2
- USG%
- 35.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 29
›2025-10-28
WAS
AWAY
23.0MIN
25POINTS
7 · 5 · 9-17
BELOW
- FG
- 9-17
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 63.6
- USG%
- 40.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 37
›2025-10-25
CHA
HOME
20.1MIN
20POINTS
2 · 4 · 7-11
BELOW
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 75.8
- USG%
- 35.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 26
›2025-10-22
BOS
AWAY
20.3MIN
4POINTS
6 · 2 · 1-9
BELOW
- FG
- 1-9
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 20.2
- USG%
- 20.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 12