CHI · G · 2026 season

Josh Giddey

Next game: vs SAS, Thu 01:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 19:02 UTC · lines as of 18:36 UTC

Projected 32.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 9 games this season

Points 13.5 · Over -105 / Under -125 · 7 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 14.0 points, above the 13.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 13.5 in 8 of 9 games this season (newest first: 19, 10, 13, 13, 10, 11, 9, 6, 2); season average 10.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.372 points per minute projects 11.9, -12% against the 13.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 106.3 points a game over 10 games, the 6th-fewest of 30; to guards, 58.1 a game, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 6 vs 12.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 7 vs 15.8 in his other games (Nov 9); De'Andre Hunter (SAC) 24 vs 12.1 in his other games (Oct 27) and 1 more; mean -1.5 points against their own averages over 4 games from 4 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 6.5 · Over -102 / Under -132 · 13 books

Case for the over

To guards, SAS have allowed 18.6 rebounds a game over 10 games, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS miss 49.4 shots a game, the 7th-most of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 5 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 4 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 4 and 5 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +1.8 rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 6.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 7, 1, 4, 4, 8, 1, 8, 4, 7); season average 4.9, last 3 average 4.0.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.176 rebounds per minute projects 5.6, -13% against the 6.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
He has grabbed 6.5% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 7.9% on the season. a hint, not a finding

Assists 8.5 · Over -100 / Under -132 · 11 books

Case for the over

Over 8.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 15, 6, 10, 5, 11, 4, 10, 9, 6); last 3 average 10.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.304 assists per minute projects 9.7, +14% against the 8.5 line.

Case for the under

The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 24.3 assists a game over 10 games, the 7th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 42.7% shooting from the field, the 3rd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 53% (11 books at 8.5).

Threes 1.5 · Over +114 / Under -152 · 13 books

Case for the over

Shot volume is up: 4.3 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 3.6 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0); season average 1.0, last 3 average 1.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.036 threes per minute projects 1.2, -23% against the 1.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 12.2 threes made a game over 10 games, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 0 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 1 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 2 vs 1.9 in his other games (Oct 31) and 1 more; mean -0.5 threes made against their own averages over 4 games from 4 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 56% (13 books at 1.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 28.5 · Over -108 / Under -121 · 6 books

Case for the over

Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 15 vs 18.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 11 vs 22.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 24 and 26 vs 23.3 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +2.1 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 28.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 41, 17, 27, 22, 29, 16, 27, 19, 15); season average 23.7.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.851 PRA per minute projects 27.2, -4% against the 28.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 173.6 points + rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 19.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 9 books

Case for the over

Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 19.5 in 8 of 9 games this season (newest first: 26, 11, 17, 17, 18, 12, 17, 10, 9); season average 15.2, last 3 average 18.0.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.547 PR per minute projects 17.5, -10% against the 19.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 149.3 points + rebounds a game over 10 games, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 21.5 · Over -119 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 24.3 points + assists, above the 21.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 21.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 34, 16, 23, 18, 21, 15, 19, 15, 8); season average 18.8.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 130.6 points + assists a game over 10 games, the 6th-fewest of 30; to guards, 73.5 a game, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 14.5 · Over -125 / Under -106 · 9 books

Case for the over

Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.479 RA per minute projects 15.3, +6% against the 14.5 line.
SAS miss 49.4 shots a game, the 7th-most of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 9 vs 6.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 10 and 8 vs 7.7 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28); Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 12 vs 8.6 in his other games (Oct 31) and 1 more; mean +2.0 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 5 games from 4 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 14.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 22, 7, 14, 9, 19, 5, 18, 13, 13); season average 13.3.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
He has grabbed 6.5% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 7.9% on the season. a hint, not a finding
SAS have allowed 67.3 rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 0.5 · Over -198 / Under +140 · 5 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0); last 3 average 0.7.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.020 steals per minute projects 0.6, +28% against the 0.5 line.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 0 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 0 vs 0.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 3 and 1 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +0.5 steals against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 61% (5 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 6.6 steals a game over 10 games, the 3rd-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team; to guards, 3.4 a game, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS commit 12.2 turnovers a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +163 / Under -230 · 1 book

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 0.7 blocks, above the 0.5 line. a hint, not a finding
SAS take 91.7 shots a game, the 3rd-most of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 0 vs 0.7 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 3 and 0 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +0.3 blocks against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0); season average 0.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.012 blocks per minute projects 0.4, -23% against the 0.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 65% (1 book at 0.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

9 games played · averaging 10.3 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 10.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE68.8%243 of 353 games

INTERVAL63.8%–73.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-221at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-175if the rate is 63.8%

Josh has cleared 10.5 points in 68.8% of 353 games since 2021, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -221 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-08

PHI

HOME

33.5MIN

19POINTS

7 · 15 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 66.9
USG%: 24.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 41

2026-11-04

AWAY

26.5MIN

10POINTS

1 · 6 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 63.5
USG%: 16.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -26
PRA: 17

2026-11-02

PHI

AWAY

32.3MIN

13POINTS

4 · 10 · 5-15

ABOVE

FG: 5-15
3PT: 2-7
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 40.9
USG%: 24.2
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 27

2026-10-30

BOS

AWAY

24.8MIN

13POINTS

4 · 5 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-5
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 21.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 22

2026-10-28

HOME

31.4MIN

10POINTS

8 · 11 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 53.0
USG%: 15.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 29

2026-10-26

BOS

AWAY

23.6MIN

11POINTS

1 · 4 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 69.8
USG%: 16.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 16

2026-10-24

WAS

HOME

29.6MIN

9POINTS

8 · 10 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 10.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 27

2026-10-23

MIL

AWAY

24.6MIN

6POINTS

4 · 9 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 15.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 19

2026-10-21

TOR

AWAY

24.0MIN

2POINTS

7 · 6 · 1-10

BELOW

FG: 1-10
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 9.2
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -39
PRA: 15

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: vs SAS, Thu 01:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 19:02 UTC · lines as of 18:36 UTC

Projected 32.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 9 games this season

Points 13.5 · Over -105 / Under -125 · 7 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 14.0 points, above the 13.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 13.5 in 8 of 9 games this season (newest first: 19, 10, 13, 13, 10, 11, 9, 6, 2); season average 10.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.372 points per minute projects 11.9, -12% against the 13.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 106.3 points a game over 10 games, the 6th-fewest of 30; to guards, 58.1 a game, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 6 vs 12.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 7 vs 15.8 in his other games (Nov 9); De'Andre Hunter (SAC) 24 vs 12.1 in his other games (Oct 27) and 1 more; mean -1.5 points against their own averages over 4 games from 4 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 6.5 · Over -102 / Under -132 · 13 books

Case for the over

To guards, SAS have allowed 18.6 rebounds a game over 10 games, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS miss 49.4 shots a game, the 7th-most of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 5 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 4 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 4 and 5 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +1.8 rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 6.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 7, 1, 4, 4, 8, 1, 8, 4, 7); season average 4.9, last 3 average 4.0.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.176 rebounds per minute projects 5.6, -13% against the 6.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
He has grabbed 6.5% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 7.9% on the season. a hint, not a finding

Assists 8.5 · Over -100 / Under -132 · 11 books

Case for the over

Over 8.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 15, 6, 10, 5, 11, 4, 10, 9, 6); last 3 average 10.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.304 assists per minute projects 9.7, +14% against the 8.5 line.

Case for the under

The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 24.3 assists a game over 10 games, the 7th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 42.7% shooting from the field, the 3rd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 53% (11 books at 8.5).

Threes 1.5 · Over +114 / Under -152 · 13 books

Case for the over

Shot volume is up: 4.3 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 3.6 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0); season average 1.0, last 3 average 1.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.036 threes per minute projects 1.2, -23% against the 1.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 12.2 threes made a game over 10 games, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 0 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 1 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 2 vs 1.9 in his other games (Oct 31) and 1 more; mean -0.5 threes made against their own averages over 4 games from 4 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 56% (13 books at 1.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 28.5 · Over -108 / Under -121 · 6 books

Case for the over

Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 15 vs 18.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 11 vs 22.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 24 and 26 vs 23.3 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +2.1 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 28.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 41, 17, 27, 22, 29, 16, 27, 19, 15); season average 23.7.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.851 PRA per minute projects 27.2, -4% against the 28.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 173.6 points + rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 19.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 9 books

Case for the over

Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 19.5 in 8 of 9 games this season (newest first: 26, 11, 17, 17, 18, 12, 17, 10, 9); season average 15.2, last 3 average 18.0.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.547 PR per minute projects 17.5, -10% against the 19.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 149.3 points + rebounds a game over 10 games, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 21.5 · Over -119 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 24.3 points + assists, above the 21.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Shot volume is up: 11.3 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 9.3 on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 21.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 34, 16, 23, 18, 21, 15, 19, 15, 8); season average 18.8.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 130.6 points + assists a game over 10 games, the 6th-fewest of 30; to guards, 73.5 a game, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS allow 103.9 points per 100 possessions, the 2nd-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 14.5 · Over -125 / Under -106 · 9 books

Case for the over

Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.479 RA per minute projects 15.3, +6% against the 14.5 line.
SAS miss 49.4 shots a game, the 7th-most of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 9 vs 6.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 10 and 8 vs 7.7 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28); Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 12 vs 8.6 in his other games (Oct 31) and 1 more; mean +2.0 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 5 games from 4 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 14.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 22, 7, 14, 9, 19, 5, 18, 13, 13); season average 13.3.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
He has grabbed 6.5% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 7.9% on the season. a hint, not a finding
SAS have allowed 67.3 rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the 9th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 0.5 · Over -198 / Under +140 · 5 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0); last 3 average 0.7.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.020 steals per minute projects 0.6, +28% against the 0.5 line.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 0 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 0 vs 0.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 3 and 1 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +0.5 steals against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 61% (5 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
SAS have allowed 6.6 steals a game over 10 games, the 3rd-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team; to guards, 3.4 a game, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
SAS commit 12.2 turnovers a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +163 / Under -230 · 1 book

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 0.7 blocks, above the 0.5 line. a hint, not a finding
SAS take 91.7 shots a game, the 3rd-most of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs SAS (guards; usage 13.8% to 23.8%, 19.8 to 35.8 min a game, at least 24.0 min in the game): Jalen Green (PHX) 0 vs 0.7 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Darryn Peterson (UTA) 3 and 0 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 2, Oct 28) and 3 more; mean +0.3 blocks against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 7 of 9 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0); season average 0.3.
Projected for 32.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.8 a game so far; 0.012 blocks per minute projects 0.4, -23% against the 0.5 line.
The projection assumes 32.0 minutes, more than his 27.8 a game so far.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 65% (1 book at 0.5).