SAS · F · 2026 season

Julian Champagnie

Next game: at CHI, Thu 01:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 19:02 UTC · lines as of 18:36 UTC

Projected 25.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 10.5 · Over -108 / Under -123 · 10 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 11.0 points, above the 10.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 129.3 points a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 62.3 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 7 vs 6.6 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 6 and 11 vs 8.0 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 11 vs 5.2 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +3.0 points against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Rebounds 4.5 · Over -114 / Under -119 · 14 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 4.7 rebounds, above the 4.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 10.1% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 8.4% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 49.7 rebounds a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 27.7 a game, the 2nd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI miss 52.2 shots a game, the 2nd-most of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 4.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 3, 4, 7, 4, 6, 3, 6, 3, 5, 3).
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.172 rebounds per minute projects 4.3, -4% against the 4.5 line.

Assists 1.5 · Over +114 / Under -160 · 4 books

Case for the over

CHI have allowed 29.7 assists a game over 9 games, the 2nd-most of 30; to forwards, 12.4 a game, the 7th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 48.5% shooting from the field, the 6th-highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 4 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 2 and 1 vs 1.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 0 vs 1.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 1 more; mean +1.1 assists against their own averages over 5 games from 4 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 1.3 assists, below the 1.5 line. a hint, not a finding
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 57% (4 books at 1.5).

Threes 2.5 · Over +115 / Under -153 · 12 books

Case for the over

He averages 2.9 threes made over 10 games, above the 2.5 line.
His last 3 games average 3.0 threes made, above the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.114 threes per minute projects 2.8, +14% against the 2.5 line.
CHI have allowed 14.9 threes made a game over 9 games, the 3rd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Sam Hauser (BOS) 2 and 3 vs 2.2 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Kyle Kuzma (MIL) 2 vs 1.6 in his other games (Oct 23); mean +0.3 threes made against their own averages over 3 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

To forwards, CHI have allowed 5.6 threes made a game over 9 games, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 56% (12 books at 2.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 16.5 · Over -107 / Under -122 · 6 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 17.0 points + rebounds + assists, above the 16.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 208.7 points + rebounds + assists a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 102.4 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 15 vs 12.5 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 11 and 16 vs 12.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 15 vs 12.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +5.0 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 16.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 16, 18, 17, 7, 14, 16, 12, 32, 20, 12).

Pts+Reb 14.5 · Over -124 / Under -108 · 8 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 15.7 points + rebounds, above the 14.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 179.0 points + rebounds a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 90.0 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 11 vs 10.4 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 9 and 15 vs 11.0 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 15 vs 11.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +4.3 points + rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Pts+Ast 11.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 5 books

Case for the over

He averages 12.0 points + assists over 10 games, above the 11.5 line.
His last 3 games average 12.3 points + assists, above the 11.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 159.0 points + assists a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 74.8 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 11 vs 8.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 8 and 12 vs 9.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 11 vs 6.2 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +3.7 points + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Reb+Ast 5.5 · Over -147 / Under +110 · 4 books

Case for the over

Over 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 5, 4, 9, 7, 6, 4, 6, 6, 8, 4); season average 5.9, last 3 average 6.0.
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.231 RA per minute projects 5.8, +5% against the 5.5 line.
He has grabbed 10.1% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 8.4% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 79.3 rebounds + assists a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 40.1 a game, the most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 8 vs 5.9 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 5 and 5 vs 4.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 4 vs 6.8 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +2.0 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (4 books at 5.5).

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Steals 0.5 · Over -180 / Under +130 · 1 book

Case for the over

He averages 0.7 steals over 10 games, above the 0.5 line.
His last 3 games average 0.7 steals, above the 0.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.027 steals per minute projects 0.7, +37% against the 0.5 line.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the over at 60% (1 book at 0.5).

Case for the under

To forwards, CHI have allowed 3.2 steals a game over 9 games, the 6th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 1 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 0 and 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 0 vs 1.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean -0.4 steals against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +163 / Under -230 · 1 book

Case for the over

CHI take 90.7 shots a game, the 5th-most of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3); last 3 average 0.0.
To forwards, CHI have allowed 2.2 blocks a game over 9 games, the 6th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 0 vs 0.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 0 and 0 vs 0.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 1 vs 0.9 in his other games (Oct 30) and 2 more; mean -0.3 blocks against their own averages over 6 games from 5 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 65% (1 book at 0.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

10 games played · averaging 10.5 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 10.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE42.3%121 of 286 games

INTERVAL36.7%–48.1%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+136at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+172if the rate is 36.7%

Julian has cleared 10.5 points in 42.3% of 286 games since 2022, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +136 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-09

PHX

AWAY

27.3MIN

11POINTS

3 · 2 · 4-11

ABOVE

FG: 4-11
3PT: 3-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 20.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 16

2026-11-07

POR

AWAY

21.3MIN

14POINTS

4 · 0 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 4-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 88.8
USG%: 14.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +15
PRA: 18

2026-11-06

SAC

AWAY

22.1MIN

8POINTS

7 · 2 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 12.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +12
PRA: 17

2026-11-04

DAL

HOME

20.7MIN

0POINTS

4 · 3 · 0-6

BELOW

FG: 0-6
3PT: 0-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 11.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -4
PRA: 7

2026-11-02

UTAH

HOME

22.5MIN

8POINTS

6 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 63.3
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +13
PRA: 14

2026-10-31

MIN

HOME

27.0MIN

12POINTS

3 · 1 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-7
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 72.1
USG%: 12.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +3
PRA: 16

2026-10-28

UTAH

AWAY

31.5MIN

6POINTS

6 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 7.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 12

2026-10-27

SAC

HOME

24.8MIN

26POINTS

3 · 3 · 9-14

ABOVE

FG: 9-14
3PT: 8-13
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 92.9
USG%: 26.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +14
PRA: 32

2026-10-24

DAL

AWAY

28.2MIN

12POINTS

5 · 3 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 3-7
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 71.1
USG%: 11.9
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 20

2026-10-20

OKC

HOME

30.0MIN

8POINTS

3 · 1 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.9
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -24
PRA: 12

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: at CHI, Thu 01:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 19:02 UTC · lines as of 18:36 UTC

Projected 25.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 10.5 · Over -108 / Under -123 · 10 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 11.0 points, above the 10.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 129.3 points a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 62.3 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 7 vs 6.6 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 6 and 11 vs 8.0 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 11 vs 5.2 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +3.0 points against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Rebounds 4.5 · Over -114 / Under -119 · 14 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 4.7 rebounds, above the 4.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 10.1% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 8.4% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 49.7 rebounds a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 27.7 a game, the 2nd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI miss 52.2 shots a game, the 2nd-most of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 4.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 3, 4, 7, 4, 6, 3, 6, 3, 5, 3).
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.172 rebounds per minute projects 4.3, -4% against the 4.5 line.

Assists 1.5 · Over +114 / Under -160 · 4 books

Case for the over

CHI have allowed 29.7 assists a game over 9 games, the 2nd-most of 30; to forwards, 12.4 a game, the 7th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 48.5% shooting from the field, the 6th-highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 4 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 2 and 1 vs 1.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 0 vs 1.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 1 more; mean +1.1 assists against their own averages over 5 games from 4 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 1.3 assists, below the 1.5 line. a hint, not a finding
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 57% (4 books at 1.5).

Threes 2.5 · Over +115 / Under -153 · 12 books

Case for the over

He averages 2.9 threes made over 10 games, above the 2.5 line.
His last 3 games average 3.0 threes made, above the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.114 threes per minute projects 2.8, +14% against the 2.5 line.
CHI have allowed 14.9 threes made a game over 9 games, the 3rd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Sam Hauser (BOS) 2 and 3 vs 2.2 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Kyle Kuzma (MIL) 2 vs 1.6 in his other games (Oct 23); mean +0.3 threes made against their own averages over 3 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

To forwards, CHI have allowed 5.6 threes made a game over 9 games, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 56% (12 books at 2.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 16.5 · Over -107 / Under -122 · 6 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 17.0 points + rebounds + assists, above the 16.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 208.7 points + rebounds + assists a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 102.4 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 15 vs 12.5 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 11 and 16 vs 12.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 15 vs 12.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +5.0 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 16.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 16, 18, 17, 7, 14, 16, 12, 32, 20, 12).

Pts+Reb 14.5 · Over -124 / Under -108 · 8 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 15.7 points + rebounds, above the 14.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 179.0 points + rebounds a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 90.0 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 11 vs 10.4 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 9 and 15 vs 11.0 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 15 vs 11.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +4.3 points + rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Pts+Ast 11.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 5 books

Case for the over

He averages 12.0 points + assists over 10 games, above the 11.5 line.
His last 3 games average 12.3 points + assists, above the 11.5 line. a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 159.0 points + assists a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 74.8 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI allow 120.7 points per 100 possessions, the highest of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 11 vs 8.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 8 and 12 vs 9.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 11 vs 6.2 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +3.7 points + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Reb+Ast 5.5 · Over -147 / Under +110 · 4 books

Case for the over

Over 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 5, 4, 9, 7, 6, 4, 6, 6, 8, 4); season average 5.9, last 3 average 6.0.
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.231 RA per minute projects 5.8, +5% against the 5.5 line.
He has grabbed 10.1% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 8.4% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CHI have allowed 79.3 rebounds + assists a game over 9 games, the most of 30; to forwards, 40.1 a game, the most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 8 vs 5.9 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 5 and 5 vs 4.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 4 vs 6.8 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean +2.0 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (4 books at 5.5).

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Steals 0.5 · Over -180 / Under +130 · 1 book

Case for the over

He averages 0.7 steals over 10 games, above the 0.5 line.
His last 3 games average 0.7 steals, above the 0.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 25.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.5 a game so far; 0.027 steals per minute projects 0.7, +37% against the 0.5 line.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the over at 60% (1 book at 0.5).

Case for the under

To forwards, CHI have allowed 3.2 steals a game over 9 games, the 6th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 1 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 0 and 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 0 vs 1.0 in his other games (Oct 30) and 3 more; mean -0.4 steals against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +163 / Under -230 · 1 book

Case for the over

CHI take 90.7 shots a game, the 5th-most of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CHI average 107.1 possessions a game, the fastest pace of 30 (9 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3); last 3 average 0.0.
To forwards, CHI have allowed 2.2 blocks a game over 9 games, the 6th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CHI (forwards; usage 9% to 19%, 17.5 to 33.5 min a game, at least 17.0 min in the game): Mikal Bridges (NYK) 0 vs 0.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Sam Hauser (BOS) 0 and 0 vs 0.1 in his other games (Oct 30, Oct 26); Mitchell Robinson (BOS) 1 vs 0.9 in his other games (Oct 30) and 2 more; mean -0.3 blocks against their own averages over 6 games from 5 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 65% (1 book at 0.5).