BKN · F-C · 2026 season

Julius Randle

Next game: at NOP, 01:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, Wed 19:03 UTC · lines as of Wed 18:39 UTC

Projected 35.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 20.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 14 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 122.4 points a game over 11 games, the 2nd-most of 30; to forwards, 58.7 a game, the 10th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 23 vs 21.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 21 and 16 vs 17.8 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 18 vs 16.2 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +2.4 points against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 18.0 points, below the 20.5 line. a hint, not a finding

Rebounds 6.5 · Over -118 / Under -114 · 14 books

Case for the over

He averages 6.7 rebounds over 10 games, above the 6.5 line.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.200 rebounds per minute projects 7.0, +8% against the 6.5 line.
To forwards, NOP have allowed 27.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 3rd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 7 vs 7.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 10 and 6 vs 6.2 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 9 vs 9.7 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +1.3 rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 4.3 rebounds, below the 6.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 6.8% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 10.1% on the season. a hint, not a finding
NOP miss 45.5 shots a game, the 4th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 5.5 · Over +110 / Under -146 · 14 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 28.6 assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30; to forwards, 11.7 a game, the 10th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 48.6% shooting from the field, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 4, 8, 4, 2, 6, 3, 4, 7, 5, 7); season average 5.0, last 3 average 5.3.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.149 assists per minute projects 5.2, -5% against the 5.5 line.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 4 vs 4.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 5 vs 5.6 in his other games (Nov 2); Jalen Johnson (ATL) 4 vs 7.8 in his other games (Oct 31) and 1 more; mean -2.0 assists against their own averages over 4 games from 4 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 56% (14 books at 5.5).

Threes 1.5 · Over +120 / Under -160 · 15 books

Case for the over

NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 4 vs 2.3 in his other games (Nov 9); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 2 vs 1.8 in his other games (Nov 2); Jalen Johnson (ATL) 1 vs 0.9 in his other games (Oct 31) and 2 more; mean +0.5 threes made against their own averages over 5 games from 5 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 1.0 threes made, below the 1.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Shot volume is down: 2.3 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 4.4 on the season. a hint, not a finding
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 57% (15 books at 1.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 32.5 · Over -117 / Under -114 · 10 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 195.2 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30; to forwards, 98.0 a game, the 9th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 34 vs 32.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 35 and 25 vs 25.5 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 32 vs 31.4 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +3.3 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 27.7 points + rebounds + assists, below the 32.5 line. a hint, not a finding

Pts+Reb 27.5 · Over -110 / Under -122 · 9 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 166.5 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 3rd-most of 30; to forwards, 86.3 a game, the 9th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 30 vs 28.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 31 and 22 vs 24.0 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 27 vs 25.9 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +3.7 points + rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 27.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 17, 25, 25, 32, 25, 23, 33, 17, 29, 41); last 3 average 22.3.

Pts+Ast 25.5 · Over -120 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

Over 25.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 17, 27, 26, 23, 26, 18, 28, 17, 28, 40).
NOP have allowed 151.0 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 2nd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 27 vs 25.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 25 and 19 vs 19.3 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 23 vs 21.8 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +2.0 points + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 23.3 points + assists, below the 25.5 line. a hint, not a finding

Reb+Ast 11.5 · Over -140 / Under -100 · 7 books

Case for the over

Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.349 RA per minute projects 12.2, +6% against the 11.5 line.
NOP have allowed 72.8 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 9th-most of 30; to forwards, 39.3 a game, the 7th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 11 vs 11.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 14 and 9 vs 7.7 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 14 vs 15.2 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +0.9 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 53% (7 books at 11.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 9.7 rebounds + assists, below the 11.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 6.8% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 10.1% on the season. a hint, not a finding
NOP miss 45.5 shots a game, the 4th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 0.5 · Over -167 / Under +117 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 2, 1, 1, 2, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0); season average 0.9, last 3 average 1.0.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.027 steals per minute projects 0.9, +88% against the 0.5 line.
NOP commit 16.1 turnovers a game, the 7th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 58% (2 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

NOP have allowed 8.0 steals a game over 11 games, the 9th-fewest of 30, tied with 2 other teams.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 1 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 1 and 1 vs 0.5 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 0 vs 0.4 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean -0.1 steals against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +190 / Under -275 · 1 book

Case for the over

To forwards, NOP have allowed 3.3 blocks a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30, tied with 2 other teams.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 0 vs 0.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 2 and 0 vs 0.5 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 2 vs 0.4 in his other games (Nov 2) and 2 more; mean +0.4 blocks against their own averages over 6 games from 5 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1); season average 0.2, last 3 average 0.3.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.006 blocks per minute projects 0.2, -58% against the 0.5 line.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 68% (1 book at 0.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

10 games played · averaging 20.0 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 20.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE53.2%273 of 513 games

INTERVAL48.9%–57.5%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-114at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+105if the rate is 48.9%

Julius has cleared 20.5 points in 53.2% of 513 games since 2019, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -114 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-08

DAL

AWAY

30.3MIN

13POINTS

4 · 4 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 51.4
USG%: 22.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -33
PRA: 21

2026-11-07

ATL

AWAY

34.2MIN

19POINTS

6 · 8 · 8-14

BELOW

FG: 8-14
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 63.8
USG%: 23.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 4
+/−: +1
PRA: 33

2026-11-04

CHA

HOME

30.9MIN

22POINTS

3 · 4 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 2-4
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 68.4
USG%: 27.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 29

2026-11-02

AWAY

36.1MIN

21POINTS

11 · 2 · 5-16

ABOVE

FG: 5-16
3PT: 0-4
FT: 11-15
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 46.5
USG%: 35.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 34

2026-11-01

IND

AWAY

37.3MIN

20POINTS

5 · 6 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 4-9
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 27.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: +17
PRA: 31

2026-10-30

DET

HOME

24.9MIN

15POINTS

8 · 3 · 4-13

BELOW

FG: 4-13
3PT: 3-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 50.8
USG%: 34.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 26

2026-10-27

BOS

AWAY

44.3MIN

24POINTS

9 · 4 · 10-23

ABOVE

FG: 10-23
3PT: 0-7
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 47.6
USG%: 29.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 6
+/−: +8
PRA: 37

2026-10-25

IND

HOME

24.0MIN

10POINTS

7 · 7 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-2
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 43.4
USG%: 24.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -15
PRA: 24

2026-10-24

CLE

AWAY

35.4MIN

23POINTS

6 · 5 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 74.1
USG%: 21.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 34

2026-10-21

CHA

HOME

37.8MIN

33POINTS

8 · 7 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 3-5
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 72.2
USG%: 30.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 48

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: at NOP, 01:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, Wed 19:03 UTC · lines as of Wed 18:39 UTC

Projected 35.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 20.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 14 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 122.4 points a game over 11 games, the 2nd-most of 30; to forwards, 58.7 a game, the 10th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 23 vs 21.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 21 and 16 vs 17.8 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 18 vs 16.2 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +2.4 points against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 18.0 points, below the 20.5 line. a hint, not a finding

Rebounds 6.5 · Over -118 / Under -114 · 14 books

Case for the over

He averages 6.7 rebounds over 10 games, above the 6.5 line.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.200 rebounds per minute projects 7.0, +8% against the 6.5 line.
To forwards, NOP have allowed 27.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 3rd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 7 vs 7.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 10 and 6 vs 6.2 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 9 vs 9.7 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +1.3 rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 4.3 rebounds, below the 6.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 6.8% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 10.1% on the season. a hint, not a finding
NOP miss 45.5 shots a game, the 4th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 5.5 · Over +110 / Under -146 · 14 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 28.6 assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30; to forwards, 11.7 a game, the 10th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 48.6% shooting from the field, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 4, 8, 4, 2, 6, 3, 4, 7, 5, 7); season average 5.0, last 3 average 5.3.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.149 assists per minute projects 5.2, -5% against the 5.5 line.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 4 vs 4.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 5 vs 5.6 in his other games (Nov 2); Jalen Johnson (ATL) 4 vs 7.8 in his other games (Oct 31) and 1 more; mean -2.0 assists against their own averages over 4 games from 4 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 56% (14 books at 5.5).

Threes 1.5 · Over +120 / Under -160 · 15 books

Case for the over

NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 4 vs 2.3 in his other games (Nov 9); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 2 vs 1.8 in his other games (Nov 2); Jalen Johnson (ATL) 1 vs 0.9 in his other games (Oct 31) and 2 more; mean +0.5 threes made against their own averages over 5 games from 5 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 1.0 threes made, below the 1.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Shot volume is down: 2.3 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 4.4 on the season. a hint, not a finding
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 57% (15 books at 1.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 32.5 · Over -117 / Under -114 · 10 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 195.2 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30; to forwards, 98.0 a game, the 9th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 34 vs 32.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 35 and 25 vs 25.5 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 32 vs 31.4 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +3.3 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 27.7 points + rebounds + assists, below the 32.5 line. a hint, not a finding

Pts+Reb 27.5 · Over -110 / Under -122 · 9 books

Case for the over

NOP have allowed 166.5 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 3rd-most of 30; to forwards, 86.3 a game, the 9th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 30 vs 28.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 31 and 22 vs 24.0 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 27 vs 25.9 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +3.7 points + rebounds against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 27.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 17, 25, 25, 32, 25, 23, 33, 17, 29, 41); last 3 average 22.3.

Pts+Ast 25.5 · Over -120 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

Over 25.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 17, 27, 26, 23, 26, 18, 28, 17, 28, 40).
NOP have allowed 151.0 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 2nd-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP allow 115.6 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-highest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 27 vs 25.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 25 and 19 vs 19.3 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 23 vs 21.8 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +2.0 points + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 23.3 points + assists, below the 25.5 line. a hint, not a finding

Reb+Ast 11.5 · Over -140 / Under -100 · 7 books

Case for the over

Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.349 RA per minute projects 12.2, +6% against the 11.5 line.
NOP have allowed 72.8 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 9th-most of 30; to forwards, 39.3 a game, the 7th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 11 vs 11.2 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 14 and 9 vs 7.7 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 14 vs 15.2 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean +0.9 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 53% (7 books at 11.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 9.7 rebounds + assists, below the 11.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 6.8% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, down from 10.1% on the season. a hint, not a finding
NOP miss 45.5 shots a game, the 4th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 0.5 · Over -167 / Under +117 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 2, 1, 1, 2, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0); season average 0.9, last 3 average 1.0.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.027 steals per minute projects 0.9, +88% against the 0.5 line.
NOP commit 16.1 turnovers a game, the 7th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 58% (2 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

NOP have allowed 8.0 steals a game over 11 games, the 9th-fewest of 30, tied with 2 other teams.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 1 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 1 and 1 vs 0.5 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 0 vs 0.4 in his other games (Nov 2) and 3 more; mean -0.1 steals against their own averages over 7 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +190 / Under -275 · 1 book

Case for the over

To forwards, NOP have allowed 3.3 blocks a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30, tied with 2 other teams.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
NOP average 105.8 possessions a game, the 4th-fastest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs NOP (forwards; usage 22.8% to 32.8%, 25.5 to 41.5 min a game, at least 27.0 min in the game): Yaxel Lendeborg (GSW) 0 vs 0.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 2 and 0 vs 0.5 in his other games (Nov 4, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 2 vs 0.4 in his other games (Nov 2) and 2 more; mean +0.4 blocks against their own averages over 6 games from 5 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1); season average 0.2, last 3 average 0.3.
Projected for 35.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.5 a game so far; 0.006 blocks per minute projects 0.2, -58% against the 0.5 line.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 68% (1 book at 0.5).