MIL · 2026 season

Kevin Porter Jr.

38 games played · averaging 17.4 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 17.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE33.4%101 of 302 games

INTERVAL28.4%–38.9%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+199at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+253if the rate is 28.4%

Kevin has cleared 17.5 points in 33.4% of 302 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +199 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-03-17

CLE

HOME

32.6MIN

25POINTS

3 · 10 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 1-4
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 67.5
USG%: 27.8
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -9
PRA: 38

2026-03-14

ATL

AWAY

30.1MIN

18POINTS

7 · 7 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-2
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 61.0
USG%: 27.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -19
PRA: 32

2026-03-12

MIA

AWAY

27.7MIN

6POINTS

7 · 5 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 18.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -12
PRA: 18

2026-03-02

BOS

HOME

31.0MIN

8POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 58.1
USG%: 15.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 14

2026-03-01

CHI

AWAY

31.6MIN

10POINTS

6 · 4 · 4-16

BELOW

FG: 4-16
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 29.6
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -23
PRA: 20

2026-02-27

HOME

27.2MIN

11POINTS

6 · 10 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 42.7
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -16
PRA: 27

2026-02-25

CLE

HOME

37.9MIN

20POINTS

8 · 5 · 10-16

ABOVE

FG: 10-16
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 23.3
STL: 5
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 33

2026-02-24

MIA

HOME

36.6MIN

32POINTS

7 · 7 · 11-20

ABOVE

FG: 11-20
3PT: 2-4
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 27.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 46

2026-02-22

TOR

HOME

30.9MIN

21POINTS

2 · 10 · 8-11

ABOVE

FG: 8-11
3PT: 1-1
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 77.0
USG%: 20.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 33

2026-02-20

AWAY

32.4MIN

25POINTS

2 · 7 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 0-1
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 24.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 34

2026-02-12

OKC

AWAY

31.7MIN

12POINTS

3 · 7 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 25.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +12
PRA: 22

2026-02-11

ORL

AWAY

38.6MIN

18POINTS

10 · 11 · 5-14

ABOVE

FG: 5-14
3PT: 1-3
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 52.7
USG%: 23.4
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 39

2026-02-09

ORL

AWAY

36.1MIN

28POINTS

4 · 7 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 1-5
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 63.4
USG%: 31.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: -21
PRA: 39

2026-02-06

IND

HOME

34.1MIN

23POINTS

7 · 8 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 0-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 53.9
USG%: 30.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 38

2026-02-04

HOME

29.4MIN

18POINTS

6 · 9 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 32.3
STL: 5
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 33

2026-01-19

ATL

AWAY

27.8MIN

9POINTS

6 · 7 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 17.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 22

2026-01-15

AWAY

23.4MIN

0POINTS

1 · 2 · 0-9

BELOW

FG: 0-9
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 18.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -35
PRA: 3

2026-01-13

MIN

HOME

29.1MIN

13POINTS

4 · 8 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 54.7
USG%: 23.3
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -16
PRA: 25

2026-01-11

DEN

AWAY

38.1MIN

10POINTS

9 · 7 · 4-17

BELOW

FG: 4-17
3PT: 1-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 28.7
USG%: 26.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 26

2026-01-09

LAL

AWAY

39.5MIN

22POINTS

5 · 6 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 1-3
FT: 7-10
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 59.8
USG%: 24.8
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 33

2026-01-07

AWAY

40.4MIN

15POINTS

4 · 9 · 7-12

BELOW

FG: 7-12
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 19.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 28

2026-01-04

SAC

AWAY

39.7MIN

25POINTS

4 · 10 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 1-2
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 67.5
USG%: 21.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 39

2026-01-02

CHA

HOME

36.0MIN

10POINTS

4 · 10 · 4-14

BELOW

FG: 4-14
3PT: 0-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 33.6
USG%: 20.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +1
PRA: 24

2025-12-31

WAS

HOME

39.3MIN

19POINTS

6 · 5 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 55.9
USG%: 21.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 30

2025-12-29

CHA

AWAY

37.6MIN

15POINTS

5 · 11 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 54.0
USG%: 18.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 31

2025-12-27

CHI

AWAY

39.0MIN

8POINTS

6 · 9 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 36.8
USG%: 17.2
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +10
PRA: 23

2025-12-26

MEM

AWAY

33.2MIN

16POINTS

8 · 5 · 4-15

BELOW

FG: 4-15
3PT: 1-7
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 42.2
USG%: 32.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 7
PF: 2
+/−: -17
PRA: 29

2025-12-23

IND

AWAY

37.9MIN

24POINTS

6 · 5 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 2-3
FT: 6-9
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 70.8
USG%: 21.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +16
PRA: 35

2025-12-21

MIN

AWAY

37.3MIN

24POINTS

10 · 9 · 8-17

ABOVE

FG: 8-17
3PT: 3-9
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 61.1
USG%: 29.5
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 6
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 43

2025-12-18

TOR

HOME

40.2MIN

22POINTS

4 · 13 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 2-6
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 52.2
USG%: 31.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 7
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 39

2025-12-14

BKN

AWAY

29.7MIN

5POINTS

3 · 7 · 2-13

BELOW

FG: 2-13
3PT: 0-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 18.0
USG%: 30.3
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 3
+/−: -19
PRA: 15

2025-12-11

BOS

HOME

31.9MIN

18POINTS

10 · 13 · 6-10

ABOVE

FG: 6-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 73.8
USG%: 22.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 41

2025-12-06

DET

AWAY

36.5MIN

32POINTS

4 · 6 · 11-16

ABOVE

FG: 11-16
3PT: 7-9
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 87.9
USG%: 22.9
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -30
PRA: 42

2025-12-05

PHI

HOME

36.7MIN

20POINTS

7 · 9 · 5-13

ABOVE

FG: 5-13
3PT: 1-3
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 59.0
USG%: 26.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -20
PRA: 36

2025-12-03

DET

HOME

35.2MIN

26POINTS

2 · 7 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 3-8
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 61.7
USG%: 36.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 7
PF: 4
+/−: +8
PRA: 35

2025-12-01

WAS

AWAY

31.0MIN

30POINTS

4 · 5 · 12-15

ABOVE

FG: 12-15
3PT: 5-6
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 94.5
USG%: 23.9
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 39

2025-11-29

BKN

HOME

24.5MIN

13POINTS

4 · 6 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 3-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 59.7
USG%: 22.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 23

2025-10-22

WAS

HOME

9.4MIN

10POINTS

0 · 2 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 85.0
USG%: 26.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +15
PRA: 12

every game on file — nothing hidden