WAS · F · 2026 season

Kyshawn George

Next game: at IND, Thu 00:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 88 minutes before tip, 22:32 UTC · lines as of 22:11 UTC

Projected 28.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 11 games this season

Points 14.5 · Over -125 / Under -104 · 11 books

Case for the over

Over 14.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 12, 14, 33, 25, 22, 12, 8, 20, 22, 11, ...); season average 17.9, last 3 average 19.7.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.538 points per minute projects 15.1, +4% against the 14.5 line.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, IND have allowed 63.9 points a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 13 and 20 vs 14.2 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 10 vs 17.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 23 and 10 vs 22.8 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.5 points against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 4.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 14 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 4.7 rebounds, above the 4.5 line. a hint, not a finding
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
IND have allowed 47.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30; to forwards, 26.7 a game, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jaylen Brown (PHI) 10 vs 6.2 in his other games (Oct 28); Zion Williamson (NOP) 3 vs 5.6 in his other games (Oct 21); Saddiq Bey (NOP) 5 vs 3.5 in his other games (Oct 21); mean +0.9 rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 4.5 in 8 of 11 games this season (newest first: 3, 7, 4, 4, 4, 4, 2, 4, 9, 3, ...).
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.134 rebounds per minute projects 3.7, -17% against the 4.5 line.
IND miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 4.5 · Over -110 / Under -122 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 2, 6, 7, 7, 5, 3, 11, 2, 5, 3, ...); season average 4.9, last 3 average 5.0.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
To forwards, IND have allowed 12.6 assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Cameron Boozer (MEM) 4 vs 5.7 in his other games (Nov 4); Julius Randle (BKN) 6 and 7 vs 4.6 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25); Bam Adebayo (MIA) 3 vs 3.3 in his other games (Oct 30) and 4 more; mean +0.3 assists against their own averages over 8 games from 7 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.148 assists per minute projects 4.1, -8% against the 4.5 line.

Threes 2.5 · Over +144 / Under -198 · 12 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 3.0 threes made, above the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 7.0 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 5.9 on the season. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, IND have allowed 6.8 threes made a game over 11 games, the 9th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 2.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 2, 2, 5, 3, 4, 4, 0, 2, 0, 1, ...); season average 2.2.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.066 threes per minute projects 1.8, -27% against the 2.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 62% (12 books at 2.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 24.5 · Over -110 / Under -118 · 12 books

Case for the over

Over 24.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 17, 27, 44, 36, 31, 19, 21, 26, 36, 17, ...); season average 27.3, last 3 average 29.3.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
IND have allowed 189.7 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 7th-most of 30; to forwards, 103.3 a game, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.820 PRA per minute projects 23.0, -6% against the 24.5 line.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 23 and 33 vs 22.4 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 20 vs 32.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 35 and 10 vs 32.2 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.8 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 19.5 · Over -118 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

Over 19.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 15, 21, 37, 29, 26, 16, 10, 24, 31, 14, ...); season average 22.4, last 3 average 24.3.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
IND have allowed 162.6 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30; to forwards, 90.6 a game, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.672 PR per minute projects 18.8, -3% against the 19.5 line.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 22 and 33 vs 21.1 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 16 vs 27.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 32 and 10 vs 31.2 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.7 points + rebounds against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 19.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 19.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 14, 20, 40, 32, 27, 15, 19, 22, 27, 14, ...); season average 22.8, last 3 average 24.7.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, IND have allowed 76.5 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 14 and 20 vs 15.6 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 14 vs 22.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 26 and 10 vs 23.8 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.6 points + assists against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 9.5 · Over +105 / Under -139 · 8 books

Case for the over

The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
IND have allowed 74.5 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30; to forwards, 39.4 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 9.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 5, 13, 11, 11, 9, 7, 13, 6, 14, 6, ...).
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.281 RA per minute projects 7.9, -17% against the 9.5 line.
IND miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 54% (8 books at 9.5).

Steals 0.5 · Over -210 / Under +145 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, ...); season average 0.6, last 3 average 0.7.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 62% (3 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Blocks 0.5 · Over -188 / Under +131 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 9 of 11 games this season (newest first: 1, 3, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 0, ...); season average 1.4, last 3 average 2.0.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.041 blocks per minute projects 1.1, +130% against the 0.5 line.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 2 and 3 vs 0.7 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 0 vs 0.7 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 0 and 0 vs 0.5 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 5 more; mean +0.3 blocks against their own averages over 10 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 60% (2 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

IND have allowed 4.5 blocks a game over 11 games, the 9th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
IND take 86.3 shots a game, the 8th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

11 games played · averaging 17.9 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 17.5 · POINTS · 2024–2026

HIT RATE18.3%23 of 126 games

INTERVAL12.5%–25.9%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+447at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+701if the rate is 12.5%

Kyshawn has cleared 17.5 points in 18.3% of 126 games since 2024, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +447 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-09

DET

AWAY

34.8MIN

12POINTS

3 · 2 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 19.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 4
+/−: -9
PRA: 17

2026-11-07

OKC

AWAY

29.7MIN

14POINTS

7 · 6 · 5-16

BELOW

FG: 5-16
3PT: 2-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 41.5
USG%: 25.0
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -19
PRA: 27

2026-11-06

ATL

AWAY

40.3MIN

33POINTS

4 · 7 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 5-7
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 67.6
USG%: 26.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 44

2026-11-04

ATL

HOME

35.3MIN

25POINTS

4 · 7 · 10-14

ABOVE

FG: 10-14
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 81.6
USG%: 24.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -9
PRA: 36

2026-11-02

ORL

AWAY

36.5MIN

22POINTS

4 · 5 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 71.2
USG%: 22.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +8
PRA: 31

2026-10-30

CHA

HOME

31.6MIN

12POINTS

4 · 3 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 17.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 19

2026-10-28

CLE

AWAY

38.1MIN

8POINTS

2 · 11 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 12.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -14
PRA: 21

2026-10-26

CHA

AWAY

28.9MIN

20POINTS

4 · 2 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 67.2
USG%: 29.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: +14
PRA: 26

2026-10-24

CHI

AWAY

35.9MIN

22POINTS

9 · 5 · 8-17

ABOVE

FG: 8-17
3PT: 0-5
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 53.6
USG%: 26.1
STL: 0
BLK: 4
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 36

2026-10-23

TOR

HOME

26.2MIN

11POINTS

3 · 3 · 2-9

BELOW

FG: 2-9
3PT: 1-4
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 32.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 8
PF: 5
+/−: -17
PRA: 17

2026-10-21

MIL

HOME

28.7MIN

18POINTS

5 · 3 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 1-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 62.3
USG%: 26.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: +13
PRA: 26

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: at IND, Thu 00:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 88 minutes before tip, 22:32 UTC · lines as of 22:11 UTC

Projected 28.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 11 games this season

Points 14.5 · Over -125 / Under -104 · 11 books

Case for the over

Over 14.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 12, 14, 33, 25, 22, 12, 8, 20, 22, 11, ...); season average 17.9, last 3 average 19.7.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.538 points per minute projects 15.1, +4% against the 14.5 line.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, IND have allowed 63.9 points a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 13 and 20 vs 14.2 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 10 vs 17.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 23 and 10 vs 22.8 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.5 points against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 4.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 14 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 4.7 rebounds, above the 4.5 line. a hint, not a finding
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
IND have allowed 47.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30; to forwards, 26.7 a game, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Jaylen Brown (PHI) 10 vs 6.2 in his other games (Oct 28); Zion Williamson (NOP) 3 vs 5.6 in his other games (Oct 21); Saddiq Bey (NOP) 5 vs 3.5 in his other games (Oct 21); mean +0.9 rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 4.5 in 8 of 11 games this season (newest first: 3, 7, 4, 4, 4, 4, 2, 4, 9, 3, ...).
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.134 rebounds per minute projects 3.7, -17% against the 4.5 line.
IND miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 4.5 · Over -110 / Under -122 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 2, 6, 7, 7, 5, 3, 11, 2, 5, 3, ...); season average 4.9, last 3 average 5.0.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
To forwards, IND have allowed 12.6 assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): Cameron Boozer (MEM) 4 vs 5.7 in his other games (Nov 4); Julius Randle (BKN) 6 and 7 vs 4.6 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25); Bam Adebayo (MIA) 3 vs 3.3 in his other games (Oct 30) and 4 more; mean +0.3 assists against their own averages over 8 games from 7 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.148 assists per minute projects 4.1, -8% against the 4.5 line.

Threes 2.5 · Over +144 / Under -198 · 12 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 3.0 threes made, above the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 7.0 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 5.9 on the season. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, IND have allowed 6.8 threes made a game over 11 games, the 9th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 2.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 2, 2, 5, 3, 4, 4, 0, 2, 0, 1, ...); season average 2.2.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.066 threes per minute projects 1.8, -27% against the 2.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 62% (12 books at 2.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 24.5 · Over -110 / Under -118 · 12 books

Case for the over

Over 24.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 17, 27, 44, 36, 31, 19, 21, 26, 36, 17, ...); season average 27.3, last 3 average 29.3.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
IND have allowed 189.7 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 7th-most of 30; to forwards, 103.3 a game, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.820 PRA per minute projects 23.0, -6% against the 24.5 line.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 23 and 33 vs 22.4 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 20 vs 32.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 35 and 10 vs 32.2 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.8 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 19.5 · Over -118 / Under -115 · 7 books

Case for the over

Over 19.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 15, 21, 37, 29, 26, 16, 10, 24, 31, 14, ...); season average 22.4, last 3 average 24.3.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
IND have allowed 162.6 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30; to forwards, 90.6 a game, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.672 PR per minute projects 18.8, -3% against the 19.5 line.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 22 and 33 vs 21.1 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 16 vs 27.1 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 32 and 10 vs 31.2 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.7 points + rebounds against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 19.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 19.5 in 7 of 11 games this season (newest first: 14, 20, 40, 32, 27, 15, 19, 22, 27, 14, ...); season average 22.8, last 3 average 24.7.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Shot volume is up: 16.0 field-goal attempts a game over his last 3, against 13.7 on the season. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, IND have allowed 76.5 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 14 and 20 vs 15.6 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 14 vs 22.8 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 26 and 10 vs 23.8 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 7 more; mean -1.6 points + assists against their own averages over 13 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 9.5 · Over +105 / Under -139 · 8 books

Case for the over

The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
IND have allowed 74.5 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30; to forwards, 39.4 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 9.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 5, 13, 11, 11, 9, 7, 13, 6, 14, 6, ...).
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.281 RA per minute projects 7.9, -17% against the 9.5 line.
IND miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 54% (8 books at 9.5).

Steals 0.5 · Over -210 / Under +145 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 6 of 11 games this season (newest first: 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, ...); season average 0.6, last 3 average 0.7.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 62% (3 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Blocks 0.5 · Over -188 / Under +131 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 0.5 in 9 of 11 games this season (newest first: 1, 3, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 0, ...); season average 1.4, last 3 average 2.0.
Projected for 28.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 33.3 a game so far; 0.041 blocks per minute projects 1.1, +130% against the 0.5 line.
The projection assumes 28.0 minutes, fewer than his 33.3 a game so far.
Role comparables vs IND (forwards; usage 18.5% to 28.5%, 25.3 to 41.3 min a game, at least 20.0 min in the game): P.J. Washington (DAL) 2 and 3 vs 0.7 in his other games (Nov 9, Oct 23); Cameron Boozer (MEM) 0 vs 0.7 in his other games (Nov 4); Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) 0 and 0 vs 0.5 in his other games (Nov 1, Oct 25) and 5 more; mean +0.3 blocks against their own averages over 10 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 60% (2 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

IND have allowed 4.5 blocks a game over 11 games, the 9th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
IND take 86.3 shots a game, the 8th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.