IND · 2026 season

Larry Nance Jr.

37 games played, 2 in the postseason · averaging 3.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 3.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE72.5%232 of 320 games

INTERVAL67.4%–77.1%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-264at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-208if the rate is 67.4%

Larry has cleared 3.5 points in 72.5% of 320 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -264 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-23PLAYOFF R1 G3

TOR

AWAY

2.6MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 0

2026-04-18PLAYOFF R1 G1

TOR

HOME

2.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 22.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 0

2026-04-12

WAS

HOME

20.1MIN

10POINTS

6 · 3 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 14.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 19

2026-04-10

ATL

AWAY

16.5MIN

4POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 12.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -17
PRA: 5

2026-04-06

MEM

AWAY

21.5MIN

10POINTS

3 · 1 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 18.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 14

2026-04-05

IND

HOME

21.8MIN

6POINTS

3 · 1 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 43.6
USG%: 17.9
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 10

2026-03-31

LAL

AWAY

12.0MIN

2POINTS

4 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 14.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +13
PRA: 7

2026-03-27

MIA

HOME

4.2MIN

4POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-1

ABOVE

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 106.4
USG%: 27.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 6

2026-03-13

DAL

AWAY

6.9MIN

6POINTS

4 · 1 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 12.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 11

2026-03-09

PHI

HOME

3.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 12.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 0

2026-02-25

MIL

AWAY

7.5MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 3

2026-02-19

BKN

HOME

12.0MIN

0POINTS

5 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 5

2026-02-11

WAS

HOME

5.1MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 6

2026-02-04

LAC

AWAY

8.1MIN

8POINTS

1 · 1 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 21.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 10

2026-02-01

POR

AWAY

9.5MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 3

2026-01-30

PHX

AWAY

10.2MIN

9POINTS

3 · 2 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/0
TS%: 76.5
USG%: 22.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 14

2026-01-28

LAL

HOME

12.0MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -14
PRA: 3

2026-01-26

ORL

HOME

6.0MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 3

2026-01-23

SAC

HOME

13.7MIN

2POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 12.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 5

2026-01-21

CHA

AWAY

12.6MIN

5POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 9.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 8

2026-01-14

PHI

AWAY

5.0MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 16.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 4

2025-11-28

ATL

AWAY

9.9MIN

0POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 4.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 4

2025-11-24

TOR

AWAY

18.1MIN

6POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 10.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 9

2025-11-23

LAC

HOME

12.5MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 4

2025-11-21

IND

HOME

19.2MIN

4POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 8.7
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 7

2025-11-15

MEM

HOME

4.6MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 27.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -7
PRA: 0

2025-11-13

TOR

HOME

7.1MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 11.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 1

2025-11-12

MIA

AWAY

19.4MIN

3POINTS

5 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 7.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +3
PRA: 10

2025-11-07

WAS

AWAY

14.3MIN

5POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 7.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 8

2025-11-05

PHI

HOME

15.1MIN

7POINTS

5 · 1 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 19.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -6
PRA: 13

2025-11-02

ATL

HOME

24.5MIN

2POINTS

4 · 4 · 1-9

BELOW

FG: 1-9
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 11.1
USG%: 16.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 10

2025-10-31

TOR

HOME

19.5MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-6

BELOW

FG: 0-6
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 2

2025-10-29

BOS

AWAY

13.8MIN

0POINTS

2 · 2 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 9.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -7
PRA: 4

2025-10-27

DET

AWAY

17.6MIN

3POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 9.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +4
PRA: 9

2025-10-26

MIL

HOME

12.0MIN

5POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 13.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 11

2025-10-24

BKN

AWAY

15.8MIN

9POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 48.3
USG%: 24.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 13

2025-10-22

AWAY

17.0MIN

10POINTS

6 · 1 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 20.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 17

every game on file — nothing hidden