UTA · 2026 season

Lauri Markkanen

42 games played · averaging 26.7 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 26.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE22.0%81 of 369 games

INTERVAL18.0%–26.5%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+355at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+455if the rate is 18.0%

Lauri has cleared 26.5 points in 22.0% of 369 games since 2019, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +355 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-02-23

HOU

AWAY

32.2MIN

29POINTS

3 · 2 · 10-23

ABOVE

FG: 10-23
3PT: 1-10
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 54.7
USG%: 34.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -14
PRA: 34

2026-02-11

SAC

HOME

20.6MIN

19POINTS

7 · 3 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 60.3
USG%: 33.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 29

2026-02-09

MIA

AWAY

24.6MIN

17POINTS

8 · 1 · 5-14

BELOW

FG: 5-14
3PT: 3-8
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 53.9
USG%: 27.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 26

2026-02-07

ORL

AWAY

26.9MIN

27POINTS

7 · 1 · 12-21

ABOVE

FG: 12-21
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 34.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 35

2026-02-05

ATL

AWAY

23.4MIN

18POINTS

5 · 1 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 3-5
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 67.6
USG%: 24.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 24

2026-02-03

IND

AWAY

26.9MIN

27POINTS

3 · 2 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 2-7
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 62.4
USG%: 37.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 32

2026-02-01

TOR

AWAY

38.6MIN

27POINTS

11 · 2 · 9-23

ABOVE

FG: 9-23
3PT: 2-9
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 4/7
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 25.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 40

2026-01-28

HOME

33.2MIN

18POINTS

3 · 2 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 1-6
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 20.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 23

2026-01-27

LAC

HOME

29.1MIN

19POINTS

5 · 4 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 3-6
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 52.5
USG%: 31.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 28

2026-01-12

CLE

AWAY

36.3MIN

28POINTS

12 · 2 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 3-8
FT: 9-12
OREB/DREB: 0/12
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 26.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +18
PRA: 42

2026-01-08

DAL

HOME

39.7MIN

33POINTS

7 · 4 · 14-26

ABOVE

FG: 14-26
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 57.6
USG%: 34.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 44

2026-01-07

OKC

AWAY

43.8MIN

29POINTS

13 · 1 · 11-19

ABOVE

FG: 11-19
3PT: 3-7
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 4/9
TS%: 68.4
USG%: 21.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 43

2026-01-05

POR

AWAY

31.7MIN

22POINTS

4 · 4 · 8-17

BELOW

FG: 8-17
3PT: 3-5
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 30.9
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -23
PRA: 30

2026-01-03

AWAY

40.8MIN

35POINTS

6 · 1 · 15-27

ABOVE

FG: 15-27
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 60.8
USG%: 32.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 42

2025-12-30

BOS

HOME

38.3MIN

22POINTS

9 · 2 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-6
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 56.4
USG%: 22.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 33

2025-12-27

AWAY

34.3MIN

29POINTS

5 · 1 · 11-16

ABOVE

FG: 11-16
3PT: 5-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 85.9
USG%: 22.9
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 35

2025-12-26

DET

HOME

38.3MIN

30POINTS

4 · 4 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 4-7
FT: 10-10
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 67.0
USG%: 25.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +7
PRA: 38

2025-12-22

DEN

AWAY

36.2MIN

27POINTS

8 · 1 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 2-9
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 60.8
USG%: 28.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -9
PRA: 36

2025-12-15

DAL

HOME

39.8MIN

33POINTS

16 · 5 · 11-23

ABOVE

FG: 11-23
3PT: 1-6
FT: 10-12
OREB/DREB: 2/14
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 31.3
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +27
PRA: 54

2025-12-12

MEM

AWAY

35.6MIN

26POINTS

9 · 2 · 9-22

BELOW

FG: 9-22
3PT: 3-10
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 31.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 37

2025-12-05

AWAY

26.5MIN

18POINTS

9 · 2 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 2-6
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 57.5
USG%: 24.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -33
PRA: 29

2025-12-04

BKN

AWAY

34.6MIN

30POINTS

8 · 1 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 2-5
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 28.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 39

2025-12-01

HOU

HOME

37.3MIN

29POINTS

8 · 0 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 2-3
FT: 9-11
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 66.4
USG%: 23.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 37

2025-11-30

HOU

HOME

30.4MIN

18POINTS

8 · 1 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 1-5
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 59.7
USG%: 22.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 27

2025-11-28

SAC

HOME

38.9MIN

28POINTS

7 · 2 · 9-23

ABOVE

FG: 9-23
3PT: 2-13
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 52.8
USG%: 29.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 37

2025-11-24

AWAY

32.7MIN

17POINTS

6 · 4 · 6-19

BELOW

FG: 6-19
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 40.1
USG%: 28.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -20
PRA: 27

2025-11-23

LAL

HOME

35.7MIN

20POINTS

7 · 2 · 8-19

BELOW

FG: 8-19
3PT: 2-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 50.3
USG%: 24.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +19
PRA: 29

2025-11-21

OKC

HOME

34.6MIN

19POINTS

6 · 3 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 79.4
USG%: 15.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -27
PRA: 28

2025-11-18

LAL

AWAY

32.0MIN

31POINTS

5 · 2 · 12-21

ABOVE

FG: 12-21
3PT: 3-9
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 68.1
USG%: 30.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 38

2025-11-16

CHI

HOME

46.4MIN

47POINTS

7 · 2 · 15-33

ABOVE

FG: 15-33
3PT: 6-17
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 36.0
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 56

2025-11-13

ATL

HOME

35.9MIN

40POINTS

7 · 2 · 15-25

ABOVE

FG: 15-25
3PT: 6-12
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 4/3
TS%: 74.7
USG%: 32.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 49

2025-11-11

IND

HOME

34.6MIN

35POINTS

3 · 2 · 13-19

ABOVE

FG: 13-19
3PT: 5-7
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 3/0
TS%: 82.5
USG%: 24.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +12
PRA: 40

2025-11-10

MIN

HOME

34.8MIN

21POINTS

8 · 3 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 4-7
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 21.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -10
PRA: 32

2025-11-07

MIN

AWAY

21.2MIN

12POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-14

BELOW

FG: 4-14
3PT: 0-4
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 37.0
USG%: 30.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -28
PRA: 16

2025-11-05

DET

AWAY

39.9MIN

25POINTS

4 · 0 · 8-22

BELOW

FG: 8-22
3PT: 3-12
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 50.7
USG%: 28.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 29

2025-11-03

BOS

AWAY

36.8MIN

20POINTS

9 · 2 · 7-17

BELOW

FG: 7-17
3PT: 2-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 53.3
USG%: 26.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 31

2025-11-02

CHA

AWAY

32.8MIN

29POINTS

7 · 3 · 12-28

ABOVE

FG: 12-28
3PT: 3-10
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 50.2
USG%: 38.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -19
PRA: 39

2025-10-31

PHX

AWAY

34.7MIN

33POINTS

4 · 0 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 4-11
FT: 9-12
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 65.3
USG%: 32.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 37

2025-10-29

POR

HOME

37.9MIN

32POINTS

5 · 2 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 2-7
FT: 10-12
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 65.9
USG%: 25.3
STL: 3
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 39

2025-10-27

PHX

HOME

45.0MIN

51POINTS

14 · 3 · 14-32

ABOVE

FG: 14-32
3PT: 6-13
FT: 17-17
OREB/DREB: 5/9
TS%: 64.6
USG%: 33.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +26
PRA: 68

2025-10-24

SAC

AWAY

36.4MIN

33POINTS

4 · 1 · 12-23

ABOVE

FG: 12-23
3PT: 4-13
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 31.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 38

2025-10-22

LAC

HOME

33.5MIN

20POINTS

6 · 5 · 8-13

BELOW

FG: 8-13
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 76.9
USG%: 18.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +19
PRA: 31

every game on file — nothing hidden