PHX · 2026 season

Mark Williams

60 games played · averaging 11.7 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 11.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE48.2%80 of 166 games

INTERVAL40.7%–55.7%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+107at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+146if the rate is 40.7%

Mark has cleared 11.5 points in 48.2% of 166 games since 2022, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +107 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-10

LAL

AWAY

20.5MIN

7POINTS

5 · 0 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 93.1
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -20
PRA: 12

2026-04-07

HOU

HOME

28.0MIN

19POINTS

8 · 0 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 81.6
USG%: 19.7
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +10
PRA: 27

2026-04-05

CHI

AWAY

25.7MIN

14POINTS

8 · 1 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 17.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 23

2026-04-02

CHA

AWAY

20.1MIN

12POINTS

4 · 1 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 85.7
USG%: 17.8
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 17

2026-03-03

SAC

AWAY

22.2MIN

10POINTS

9 · 0 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 57.9
USG%: 17.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 19

2026-02-26

LAL

HOME

13.3MIN

4POINTS

10 · 0 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 5/5
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 24.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 14

2026-02-24

BOS

HOME

18.5MIN

2POINTS

5 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 14.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -23
PRA: 8

2026-02-22

POR

HOME

15.1MIN

6POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/1
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 26.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 11

2026-02-21

ORL

HOME

28.5MIN

9POINTS

9 · 1 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 43.1
USG%: 17.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 19

2026-02-19

AWAY

22.7MIN

11POINTS

10 · 0 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 24.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 21

2026-02-11

OKC

HOME

16.0MIN

6POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-4

BELOW

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -20
PRA: 7

2026-02-10

DAL

HOME

24.7MIN

13POINTS

9 · 1 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 82.5
USG%: 12.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 23

2026-02-07

PHI

HOME

30.7MIN

11POINTS

11 · 2 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 59.8
USG%: 13.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 24

2026-02-05

HOME

22.8MIN

11POINTS

10 · 0 · 5-6

BELOW

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 85.4
USG%: 16.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 21

2026-02-03

POR

AWAY

26.1MIN

24POINTS

11 · 1 · 11-14

ABOVE

FG: 11-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 78.3
USG%: 26.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 36

2026-02-01

LAC

HOME

23.6MIN

7POINTS

7 · 4 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 50.9
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 6
+/−: -1
PRA: 18

2026-01-30

CLE

HOME

23.4MIN

10POINTS

7 · 2 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 20.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 19

2026-01-29

DET

HOME

24.8MIN

6POINTS

5 · 1 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 10.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 12

2026-01-27

BKN

HOME

30.1MIN

27POINTS

6 · 1 · 13-16

ABOVE

FG: 13-16
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 82.1
USG%: 26.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 34

2026-01-25

MIA

HOME

24.1MIN

11POINTS

8 · 1 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 14.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +10
PRA: 20

2026-01-23

ATL

AWAY

20.9MIN

6POINTS

5 · 1 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 16.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 12

2026-01-20

PHI

AWAY

18.2MIN

4POINTS

9 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 6/3
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 17.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 13

2026-01-19

BKN

AWAY

29.0MIN

16POINTS

8 · 0 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 84.0
USG%: 19.3
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 24

2026-01-17

AWAY

25.5MIN

14POINTS

9 · 1 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 5/4
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 22.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -12
PRA: 24

2026-01-15

DET

AWAY

22.4MIN

5POINTS

6 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 11.3
STL: 1
BLK: 4
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -11
PRA: 13

2026-01-13

MIA

AWAY

31.4MIN

18POINTS

14 · 1 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 6/8
TS%: 64.8
USG%: 18.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 33

2026-01-11

WAS

HOME

22.2MIN

11POINTS

7 · 2 · 5-6

BELOW

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 85.4
USG%: 11.9
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +10
PRA: 20

2026-01-09

HOME

24.8MIN

10POINTS

5 · 0 · 5-6

BELOW

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 13.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 15

2026-01-07

MEM

AWAY

26.6MIN

12POINTS

12 · 1 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 87.2
USG%: 13.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 25

2026-01-05

HOU

AWAY

21.0MIN

4POINTS

8 · 1 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 13.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 13

2026-01-04

OKC

HOME

21.3MIN

8POINTS

6 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 16.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 14

2026-01-02

SAC

HOME

21.7MIN

15POINTS

9 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 9-11
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 84.8
USG%: 19.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 24

2025-12-31

CLE

AWAY

23.7MIN

2POINTS

9 · 2 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 25.8
USG%: 7.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 13

2025-12-27

AWAY

10.6MIN

10POINTS

8 · 0 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 8/0
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 36.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 18

2025-12-26

AWAY

27.1MIN

24POINTS

13 · 2 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 4/9
TS%: 72.6
USG%: 29.1
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 39

2025-12-23

LAL

HOME

21.4MIN

18POINTS

9 · 2 · 7-8

ABOVE

FG: 7-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 92.2
USG%: 20.5
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +19
PRA: 29

2025-12-20

AWAY

18.1MIN

4POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 7.1
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -15
PRA: 10

2025-12-18

HOME

19.0MIN

6POINTS

4 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 10.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 11

2025-12-14

LAL

HOME

28.9MIN

20POINTS

6 · 1 · 9-10

ABOVE

FG: 9-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 88.3
USG%: 18.3
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 27

2025-12-10

OKC

AWAY

19.0MIN

9POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 55.7
USG%: 18.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -30
PRA: 15

2025-12-08

MIN

AWAY

28.6MIN

22POINTS

7 · 3 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 1-1
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 84.9
USG%: 20.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -8
PRA: 32

2025-12-05

HOU

AWAY

17.0MIN

10POINTS

3 · 0 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/0
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 20.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -21
PRA: 13

2025-12-01

LAL

AWAY

24.9MIN

13POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 69.7
USG%: 16.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +14
PRA: 20

2025-11-28

OKC

AWAY

22.4MIN

13POINTS

14 · 0 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 4/10
TS%: 63.0
USG%: 25.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 27

2025-11-26

SAC

AWAY

28.6MIN

21POINTS

16 · 4 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 9/7
TS%: 73.9
USG%: 25.4
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 41

2025-11-23

HOME

28.6MIN

14POINTS

11 · 2 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 4/7
TS%: 75.1
USG%: 14.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 27

2025-11-21

MIN

HOME

26.4MIN

19POINTS

8 · 0 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 20.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -15
PRA: 27

2025-11-18

POR

AWAY

21.3MIN

15POINTS

6 · 1 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 21.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +15
PRA: 22

2025-11-16

ATL

HOME

28.1MIN

8POINTS

4 · 1 · 4-5

BELOW

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 9.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -15
PRA: 13

2025-11-12

DAL

AWAY

26.3MIN

10POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-6

BELOW

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 10.8
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 16

2025-11-10

HOME

20.2MIN

2POINTS

6 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 53.2
USG%: 4.1
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 9

2025-11-08

LAC

AWAY

28.6MIN

19POINTS

6 · 0 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 84.8
USG%: 21.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +18
PRA: 25

2025-11-06

LAC

HOME

27.6MIN

13POINTS

10 · 0 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 61.1
USG%: 16.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +18
PRA: 23

2025-11-04

AWAY

27.4MIN

16POINTS

16 · 4 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 9/7
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 24.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 36

2025-11-02

HOME

25.2MIN

7POINTS

7 · 2 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 11.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +24
PRA: 16

2025-10-31

UTAH

HOME

25.4MIN

9POINTS

7 · 0 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 58.0
USG%: 13.6
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 16

2025-10-29

MEM

HOME

27.7MIN

20POINTS

12 · 1 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 77.6
USG%: 22.7
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +6
PRA: 33

2025-10-27

UTAH

AWAY

30.9MIN

25POINTS

11 · 0 · 9-14

ABOVE

FG: 9-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 69.6
USG%: 23.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 36

2025-10-24

LAC

AWAY

13.9MIN

2POINTS

6 · 0 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 20.0
USG%: 15.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -18
PRA: 8

2025-10-22

SAC

HOME

23.6MIN

6POINTS

11 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 17

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