NYK · G-F · 2026 season

Mikal Bridges

Next game: vs CLE, Thu 00:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 18:02 UTC · lines as of 17:36 UTC

Projected 27.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 9.5 · Over -105 / Under -125 · 14 books

Case for the over

To guards, CLE have allowed 69.5 points a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 11 vs 5.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Micah Peavy (OKC) 2 vs 3.2 in his other games (Nov 4); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 13 and 12 vs 5.1 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 10 more; mean +3.5 points against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 9.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 4, 9, 7, 6, 12, 3, 12, 6, 0, 4); season average 6.3, last 3 average 6.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.251 points per minute projects 6.8, -29% against the 9.5 line.

Rebounds 2.5 · Over -144 / Under +107 · 13 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 5, 6, 4, 2, 5, 0, 3, 5, 1, 3); season average 3.4, last 3 average 5.0.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.135 rebounds per minute projects 3.7, +46% against the 2.5 line.
He has grabbed 9.9% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 6.6% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CLE have allowed 46.4 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 7th-most of 30; to guards, 19.5 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 4 vs 3.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 2 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 9 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 4) and 10 more; mean +0.8 rebounds against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 55% (13 books at 2.5).

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Assists 2.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 13 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 3.0 assists, above the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 18.4% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, up from 14.2% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
To guards, CLE have allowed 17.4 assists a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 4 vs 2.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 2 vs 1.2 in his other games (Nov 6); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 2 and 1 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 7 more; mean +0.7 assists against their own averages over 11 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 2.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 1, 4, 4, 0, 2, 0, 4, 1, 4, 1); season average 2.1.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.084 assists per minute projects 2.3, -10% against the 2.5 line.
CLE allow 44.4% shooting from the field, the 7th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Threes 1.5 · Over +139 / Under -193 · 14 books

Case for the over

CLE have allowed 14.2 threes made a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 9.5 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CLE allow 40.0 three-point attempts a game, the 8th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 3 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Micah Peavy (OKC) 0 vs 0.4 in his other games (Nov 4); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 3 and 2 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 10 more; mean +0.9 threes made against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 1, 1, 0, 2, 1, 4, 0, 0, 0); season average 0.9, last 3 average 0.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.036 threes per minute projects 1.0, -35% against the 1.5 line.
Shot volume is down: 2.7 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 3.4 on the season. a hint, not a finding
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 61% (14 books at 1.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 15.5 · Over -105 / Under -130 · 7 books

Case for the over

To guards, CLE have allowed 106.4 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 19 vs 11.3 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 10 vs 14.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 12 vs 5.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 11 more; mean +4.4 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 15 games from 14 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 15.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 10, 19, 15, 8, 19, 3, 19, 12, 5, 8); season average 11.8, last 3 average 14.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.470 PRA per minute projects 12.7, -18% against the 15.5 line.

Pts+Reb 12.5 · Over -107 / Under -125 · 9 books

Case for the over

CLE have allowed 161.4 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 89.0 a game, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 15 vs 8.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 8 vs 12.9 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 11 vs 5.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 11 more; mean +3.8 points + rebounds against their own averages over 15 games from 14 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 12.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 9, 15, 11, 8, 17, 3, 15, 11, 1, 7); season average 9.7, last 3 average 11.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.386 PR per minute projects 10.4, -17% against the 12.5 line.

Pts+Ast 11.5 · Over -130 / Under -100 · 4 books

Case for the over

To guards, CLE have allowed 86.9 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 15 vs 8.3 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 8 vs 12.0 in his other games (Nov 6); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 15 and 13 vs 6.1 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 10 more; mean +3.9 points + assists against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 53% (4 books at 11.5).

Case for the under

Under 11.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 5, 13, 11, 6, 14, 3, 16, 7, 4, 5); season average 8.4, last 3 average 9.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.335 PA per minute projects 9.0, -21% against the 11.5 line.

Reb+Ast 5.5 · Over -112 / Under -119 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 6, 10, 8, 2, 7, 0, 7, 6, 5, 4); last 3 average 8.0.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.219 RA per minute projects 5.9, +8% against the 5.5 line.
He has grabbed 9.9% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 6.6% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CLE have allowed 72.5 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 36.8 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 8 vs 5.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 4 vs 3.3 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 10 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 4) and 10 more; mean +1.6 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Steals 1.5 · Over +155 / Under -225 · 2 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 3, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0); season average 1.0, last 3 average 1.3.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.040 steals per minute projects 1.1, -28% against the 1.5 line.
CLE have allowed 7.1 steals a game over 11 games, the 6th-fewest of 30; to guards, 4.0 a game, the 7th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CLE commit 13.2 turnovers a game, the 4th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 64% (2 books at 1.5).

Blocks 0.5 · Over +125 / Under -175 · 1 book

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 1.0 blocks, above the 0.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.024 blocks per minute projects 0.6, +29% against the 0.5 line.

Case for the under

CLE have allowed 3.8 blocks a game over 11 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 1.4 a game, the 8th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 0 vs 0.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 12 more; mean -0.2 blocks against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 59% (1 book at 0.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

10 games played · averaging 6.3 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 6.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE87.7%547 of 624 games

INTERVAL84.8%–90.0%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-711at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-556if the rate is 84.8%

Mikal has cleared 6.5 points in 87.7% of 624 games since 2019, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -711 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-10

MIL

HOME

17.3MIN

4POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 15.1
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 10

2026-11-07

CLE

AWAY

31.4MIN

9POINTS

6 · 4 · 4-13

ABOVE

FG: 4-13
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 34.6
USG%: 18.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 19

2026-11-04

CHI

HOME

22.0MIN

7POINTS

4 · 4 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 13.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +31
PRA: 15

2026-11-02

BKN

HOME

16.1MIN

6POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 0-2
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 34.2
USG%: 28.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 8

2026-10-30

PHI

AWAY

29.6MIN

12POINTS

5 · 2 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 19

2026-10-28

CHI

AWAY

13.0MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 14.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 3

2026-10-27

DET

HOME

31.7MIN

12POINTS

3 · 4 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 15.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 19

2026-10-25

ORL

HOME

35.0MIN

6POINTS

5 · 1 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 42.9
USG%: 8.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -23
PRA: 12

2026-10-23

BOS

AWAY

21.9MIN

0POINTS

1 · 4 · 0-8

BELOW

FG: 0-8
3PT: 0-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 18.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 5

2026-10-20

PHI

HOME

33.1MIN

4POINTS

3 · 1 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 9.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 8

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: vs CLE, Thu 00:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 18:02 UTC · lines as of 17:36 UTC

Projected 27.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 9.5 · Over -105 / Under -125 · 14 books

Case for the over

To guards, CLE have allowed 69.5 points a game over 11 games, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 11 vs 5.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Micah Peavy (OKC) 2 vs 3.2 in his other games (Nov 4); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 13 and 12 vs 5.1 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 10 more; mean +3.5 points against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 9.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 4, 9, 7, 6, 12, 3, 12, 6, 0, 4); season average 6.3, last 3 average 6.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.251 points per minute projects 6.8, -29% against the 9.5 line.

Rebounds 2.5 · Over -144 / Under +107 · 13 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 5, 6, 4, 2, 5, 0, 3, 5, 1, 3); season average 3.4, last 3 average 5.0.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.135 rebounds per minute projects 3.7, +46% against the 2.5 line.
He has grabbed 9.9% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 6.6% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CLE have allowed 46.4 rebounds a game over 11 games, the 7th-most of 30; to guards, 19.5 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 4 vs 3.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 2 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 9 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 4) and 10 more; mean +0.8 rebounds against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 55% (13 books at 2.5).

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Assists 2.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 13 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 3.0 assists, above the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 18.4% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, up from 14.2% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
To guards, CLE have allowed 17.4 assists a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 4 vs 2.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 2 vs 1.2 in his other games (Nov 6); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 2 and 1 vs 1.0 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 7 more; mean +0.7 assists against their own averages over 11 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 2.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 1, 4, 4, 0, 2, 0, 4, 1, 4, 1); season average 2.1.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.084 assists per minute projects 2.3, -10% against the 2.5 line.
CLE allow 44.4% shooting from the field, the 7th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Threes 1.5 · Over +139 / Under -193 · 14 books

Case for the over

CLE have allowed 14.2 threes made a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 9.5 a game, the 6th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CLE allow 40.0 three-point attempts a game, the 8th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 3 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Micah Peavy (OKC) 0 vs 0.4 in his other games (Nov 4); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 3 and 2 vs 1.1 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 10 more; mean +0.9 threes made against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 1, 1, 0, 2, 1, 4, 0, 0, 0); season average 0.9, last 3 average 0.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.036 threes per minute projects 1.0, -35% against the 1.5 line.
Shot volume is down: 2.7 three-point attempts a game over his last 3, against 3.4 on the season. a hint, not a finding
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 61% (14 books at 1.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 15.5 · Over -105 / Under -130 · 7 books

Case for the over

To guards, CLE have allowed 106.4 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 19 vs 11.3 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 10 vs 14.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 12 vs 5.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 11 more; mean +4.4 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 15 games from 14 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 15.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 10, 19, 15, 8, 19, 3, 19, 12, 5, 8); season average 11.8, last 3 average 14.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.470 PRA per minute projects 12.7, -18% against the 15.5 line.

Pts+Reb 12.5 · Over -107 / Under -125 · 9 books

Case for the over

CLE have allowed 161.4 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 89.0 a game, the 4th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 15 vs 8.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 8 vs 12.9 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 11 vs 5.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 11 more; mean +3.8 points + rebounds against their own averages over 15 games from 14 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 12.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 9, 15, 11, 8, 17, 3, 15, 11, 1, 7); season average 9.7, last 3 average 11.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.386 PR per minute projects 10.4, -17% against the 12.5 line.

Pts+Ast 11.5 · Over -130 / Under -100 · 4 books

Case for the over

To guards, CLE have allowed 86.9 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-most of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 15 vs 8.3 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 8 vs 12.0 in his other games (Nov 6); Kenrich Williams (OKC) 15 and 13 vs 6.1 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 10 more; mean +3.9 points + assists against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 53% (4 books at 11.5).

Case for the under

Under 11.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 5, 13, 11, 6, 14, 3, 16, 7, 4, 5); season average 8.4, last 3 average 9.7.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.335 PA per minute projects 9.0, -21% against the 11.5 line.

Reb+Ast 5.5 · Over -112 / Under -119 · 8 books

Case for the over

Over 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 6, 10, 8, 2, 7, 0, 7, 6, 5, 4); last 3 average 8.0.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.219 RA per minute projects 5.9, +8% against the 5.5 line.
He has grabbed 9.9% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 6.6% on the season (9 of 10 games with on-court counts). a hint, not a finding
CLE have allowed 72.5 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 10th-most of 30; to guards, 36.8 a game, the 5th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 8 vs 5.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 4 vs 3.3 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 10 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 4) and 10 more; mean +1.6 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 14 games from 13 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Steals 1.5 · Over +155 / Under -225 · 2 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 8 of 10 games this season (newest first: 3, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0); season average 1.0, last 3 average 1.3.
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.040 steals per minute projects 1.1, -28% against the 1.5 line.
CLE have allowed 7.1 steals a game over 11 games, the 6th-fewest of 30; to guards, 4.0 a game, the 7th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
CLE commit 13.2 turnovers a game, the 4th-fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 64% (2 books at 1.5).

Blocks 0.5 · Over +125 / Under -175 · 1 book

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 1.0 blocks, above the 0.5 line. a hint, not a finding
Projected for 27.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 25.1 a game so far; 0.024 blocks per minute projects 0.6, +29% against the 0.5 line.

Case for the under

CLE have allowed 3.8 blocks a game over 11 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 1.4 a game, the 8th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs CLE (guards; usage 9.7% to 19.7%, 17.1 to 33.1 min a game, at least 19.0 min in the game): Sion James (CHA) 0 vs 0.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Anfernee Simons (PHI) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 6); Micah Peavy (OKC) 0 vs 0.2 in his other games (Nov 4) and 12 more; mean -0.2 blocks against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 59% (1 book at 0.5).