MIN · 2026 season

Mike Conley

66 games played, 12 in the postseason · averaging 4.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 4.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE85.0%418 of 492 games

INTERVAL81.5%–87.8%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-565at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-435if the rate is 81.5%

Mike has cleared 4.5 points in 85.0% of 492 games since 2019, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -565 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-05-15

HOME

18.5MIN

6POINTS

0 · 4 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 6.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 10

2026-05-12

AWAY

15.2MIN

5POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 8.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 8

2026-05-10

HOME

10.7MIN

8POINTS

0 · 2 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 138.9
USG%: 14.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 10

2026-05-08

HOME

4.2MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 19.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 2

2026-05-06

AWAY

15.8MIN

3POINTS

1 · 3 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 9.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 7

2026-05-04

AWAY

24.2MIN

12POINTS

2 · 6 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 14.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 20

2026-04-30

DEN

HOME

26.5MIN

7POINTS

6 · 3 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 16

2026-04-27

DEN

AWAY

16.9MIN

4POINTS

1 · 4 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 12.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 9

2026-04-25

DEN

HOME

20.5MIN

5POINTS

1 · 4 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 10.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +7
PRA: 10

2026-04-23

DEN

HOME

0.7MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 61.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 0

2026-04-20

DEN

AWAY

3.9MIN

0POINTS

0 · 2 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 2

2026-04-18

DEN

AWAY

10.6MIN

3POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 4.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 6

2026-04-10

HOU

AWAY

24.2MIN

9POINTS

1 · 4 · 3-3

ABOVE

FG: 3-3
3PT: 3-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 5.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 14

2026-04-07

IND

AWAY

20.7MIN

8POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 18.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +15
PRA: 13

2026-04-05

CHA

HOME

21.9MIN

11POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 3-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 79.9
USG%: 17.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 13

2026-04-02

DET

AWAY

22.1MIN

14POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 4-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 19.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -12
PRA: 18

2026-03-30

DAL

AWAY

14.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 2 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 9.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 2

2026-03-28

DET

HOME

21.8MIN

3POINTS

1 · 6 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 9.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 10

2026-03-25

HOU

HOME

28.7MIN

5POINTS

5 · 6 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 10.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 16

2026-03-18

UTAH

HOME

6.9MIN

0POINTS

0 · 4 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 4

2026-02-26

LAC

AWAY

3.4MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 1

2026-02-22

PHI

HOME

15.5MIN

0POINTS

1 · 4 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 5

2026-02-02

MEM

AWAY

14.4MIN

0POINTS

1 · 2 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 3

2026-01-31

MEM

AWAY

17.9MIN

0POINTS

3 · 2 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 4.7
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +18
PRA: 5

2026-01-28

DAL

AWAY

22.5MIN

6POINTS

1 · 5 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 12.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 12

2026-01-26

HOME

20.6MIN

2POINTS

2 · 2 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 20.5
USG%: 9.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 6

2026-01-25

HOME

15.7MIN

2POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 113.6
USG%: 5.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -14
PRA: 6

2026-01-22

CHI

HOME

14.3MIN

3POINTS

3 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 17.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 8

2026-01-20

UTAH

AWAY

15.6MIN

0POINTS

1 · 2 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 3

2026-01-17

AWAY

21.2MIN

0POINTS

2 · 3 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 5

2026-01-16

HOU

AWAY

26.2MIN

6POINTS

1 · 1 · 2-8

ABOVE

FG: 2-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 33.8
USG%: 16.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +8
PRA: 8

2026-01-13

MIL

AWAY

20.6MIN

9POINTS

3 · 5 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 16.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 17

2026-01-11

HOME

11.9MIN

4POINTS

0 · 2 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 106.4
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 6

2026-01-08

CLE

HOME

14.0MIN

3POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 9.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 6

2026-01-06

MIA

HOME

15.3MIN

3POINTS

2 · 3 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 30.7
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 8

2026-01-04

WAS

AWAY

12.9MIN

7POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 16.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 12

2026-01-03

MIA

AWAY

14.7MIN

5POINTS

1 · 3 · 1-2

ABOVE

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 86.8
USG%: 11.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 9

2025-12-31

ATL

AWAY

14.5MIN

2POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 8.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 4

2025-12-29

CHI

AWAY

17.7MIN

2POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 7.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 3

2025-12-25

DEN

AWAY

9.6MIN

0POINTS

0 · 2 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 4.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -15
PRA: 2

2025-12-23

HOME

29.7MIN

8POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 2-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 58.1
USG%: 9.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 11

2025-12-21

MIL

HOME

23.9MIN

6POINTS

5 · 6 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 11.3
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +16
PRA: 17

2025-12-08

PHX

HOME

15.3MIN

0POINTS

2 · 4 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 17.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 6

2025-12-06

LAC

HOME

18.0MIN

5POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-2

ABOVE

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 86.8
USG%: 8.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 7

2025-12-04

AWAY

16.8MIN

2POINTS

1 · 3 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 0-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 14.3
USG%: 18.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 6

2025-12-02

AWAY

13.3MIN

5POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-5

ABOVE

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 39.6
USG%: 20.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 7

2025-11-30

HOME

17.1MIN

5POINTS

3 · 4 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 10.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 12

2025-11-29

BOS

HOME

17.5MIN

6POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 5.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 10

2025-11-26

OKC

AWAY

12.5MIN

2POINTS

0 · 2 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -17
PRA: 4

2025-11-24

SAC

AWAY

25.0MIN

3POINTS

2 · 5 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 10

2025-11-21

PHX

AWAY

14.3MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 14.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 6

2025-11-19

WAS

HOME

27.4MIN

10POINTS

1 · 6 · 1-4

ABOVE

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 62.8
USG%: 11.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 17

2025-11-17

DAL

HOME

15.7MIN

5POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 12.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +17
PRA: 10

2025-11-15

DEN

HOME

24.9MIN

5POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 8.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 8

2025-11-14

SAC

HOME

17.8MIN

6POINTS

1 · 3 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 11.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 10

2025-11-10

UTAH

AWAY

17.6MIN

5POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-3

ABOVE

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 14.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -13
PRA: 9

2025-11-09

SAC

AWAY

17.6MIN

6POINTS

3 · 3 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 7.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +17
PRA: 12

2025-11-07

UTAH

HOME

16.6MIN

5POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-2

ABOVE

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 86.8
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 8

2025-11-05

AWAY

18.3MIN

8POINTS

0 · 6 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 138.9
USG%: 9.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 14

2025-11-03

BKN

AWAY

24.0MIN

9POINTS

3 · 7 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 82.7
USG%: 13.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 19

2025-11-01

CHA

AWAY

28.9MIN

10POINTS

3 · 6 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 12.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +18
PRA: 19

2025-10-29

LAL

HOME

28.4MIN

8POINTS

4 · 6 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 12.3
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 18

2025-10-27

DEN

HOME

25.7MIN

10POINTS

3 · 4 · 3-8

ABOVE

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 53.6
USG%: 15.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 17

2025-10-26

IND

HOME

24.5MIN

6POINTS

1 · 4 · 1-4

ABOVE

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 56.4
USG%: 12.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 11

2025-10-24

LAL

AWAY

9.2MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -11
PRA: 3

2025-10-22

POR

AWAY

12.7MIN

3POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 19.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 5

every game on file — nothing hidden