IND · 2026 season

Obi Toppin

24 games played · averaging 11.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 11.5 · POINTS · 2020–2026

HIT RATE28.0%123 of 440 games

INTERVAL24.0%–32.3%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+257at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+317if the rate is 24.0%

Obi has cleared 11.5 points in 28.0% of 440 games since 2020, and in 70.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +257 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-12

DET

HOME

18.1MIN

21POINTS

2 · 2 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 7-11
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 32.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 25

2026-04-10

PHI

HOME

19.4MIN

7POINTS

7 · 2 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 43.8
USG%: 21.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 16

2026-04-09

BKN

AWAY

18.6MIN

26POINTS

9 · 3 · 11-14

ABOVE

FG: 11-14
3PT: 0-1
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 82.5
USG%: 34.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +24
PRA: 38

2026-04-07

MIN

HOME

22.1MIN

14POINTS

3 · 2 · 4-13

ABOVE

FG: 4-13
3PT: 1-3
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 46.1
USG%: 34.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 19

2026-04-05

CLE

AWAY

23.5MIN

21POINTS

8 · 4 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 3-7
FT: 10-10
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 28.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 33

2026-04-03

CHA

AWAY

20.0MIN

11POINTS

4 · 1 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 61.1
USG%: 22.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 16

2026-04-01

CHI

AWAY

10.8MIN

6POINTS

3 · 3 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 12

2026-03-29

MIA

HOME

14.6MIN

12POINTS

2 · 3 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 71.1
USG%: 25.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 17

2026-03-27

LAC

HOME

22.9MIN

20POINTS

8 · 4 · 8-11

ABOVE

FG: 8-11
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 90.9
USG%: 22.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 32

2026-03-25

LAL

HOME

19.9MIN

15POINTS

3 · 2 · 7-10

ABOVE

FG: 7-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 27.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 20

2026-03-23

ORL

AWAY

16.9MIN

8POINTS

2 · 4 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 17.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 14

2026-03-21

AWAY

19.0MIN

11POINTS

4 · 4 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 52.7
USG%: 35.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 19

2026-03-17

AWAY

18.1MIN

15POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 3-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 93.8
USG%: 22.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +8
PRA: 21

2026-03-15

MIL

AWAY

16.4MIN

11POINTS

4 · 3 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 27.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 18

2026-03-13

HOME

15.9MIN

9POINTS

4 · 1 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 14

2026-03-10

SAC

AWAY

14.7MIN

17POINTS

5 · 1 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 2-5
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 65.6
USG%: 36.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 23

2026-03-08

POR

AWAY

10.6MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 19.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -17
PRA: 6

2026-03-06

LAL

AWAY

11.0MIN

2POINTS

4 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 15.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 7

2026-03-04

LAC

AWAY

9.6MIN

0POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 9.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 4

2026-03-01

MEM

HOME

11.2MIN

4POINTS

4 · 5 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 15.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 13

2026-02-26

CHA

HOME

8.5MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 30.7
USG%: 25.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 6

2025-10-26

MIN

AWAY

16.6MIN

9POINTS

6 · 0 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 58.0
USG%: 23.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 15

2025-10-25

MEM

AWAY

25.6MIN

13POINTS

9 · 2 · 5-12

ABOVE

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 52.3
USG%: 25.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -11
PRA: 24

2025-10-23

OKC

HOME

40.0MIN

20POINTS

5 · 3 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 0-8
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 22.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 28

every game on file — nothing hidden