BOS · 2026 season

Paul George

48 games played, 11 in the postseason · averaging 17.1 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 17.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE67.1%253 of 377 games

INTERVAL62.2%–71.7%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-205at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-164if the rate is 62.2%

Paul has cleared 17.5 points in 67.1% of 377 games since 2019, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -205 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-05-10PLAYOFF R2 G4

HOME

26.7MIN

7POINTS

1 · 2 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 15.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -35
PRA: 10

2026-05-08PLAYOFF R2 G3

HOME

38.0MIN

15POINTS

5 · 3 · 6-18

BELOW

FG: 6-18
3PT: 3-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 26.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -14
PRA: 23

2026-05-06PLAYOFF R2 G2

AWAY

43.0MIN

19POINTS

6 · 4 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 5-13
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 21.7
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -4
PRA: 29

2026-05-04PLAYOFF R2 G1

AWAY

26.4MIN

17POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 4-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 74.3
USG%: 21.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -26
PRA: 23

2026-05-02PLAYOFF R1 G7

BOS

AWAY

41.8MIN

13POINTS

3 · 1 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 3-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 65.0
USG%: 14.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +9
PRA: 17

2026-04-30PLAYOFF R1 G6

BOS

HOME

39.6MIN

23POINTS

4 · 3 · 8-17

ABOVE

FG: 8-17
3PT: 5-9
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 24.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 30

2026-04-28PLAYOFF R1 G5

BOS

AWAY

43.3MIN

16POINTS

9 · 7 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 4-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/9
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 17.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +19
PRA: 32

2026-04-26PLAYOFF R1 G4

BOS

HOME

30.6MIN

16POINTS

4 · 1 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 3-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 23.0
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 21

2026-04-24PLAYOFF R1 G3

BOS

HOME

41.0MIN

18POINTS

0 · 5 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 16.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 23

2026-04-21PLAYOFF R1 G2

BOS

AWAY

35.1MIN

19POINTS

4 · 3 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 2-5
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 26

2026-04-19PLAYOFF R1 G1

BOS

AWAY

28.4MIN

17POINTS

4 · 1 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-2
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 71.1
USG%: 20.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 22

2026-04-12

MIL

HOME

21.3MIN

11POINTS

5 · 2 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 69.8
USG%: 17.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 18

2026-04-10

IND

AWAY

33.5MIN

21POINTS

5 · 2 · 9-19

ABOVE

FG: 9-19
3PT: 3-9
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 54.0
USG%: 24.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 28

2026-04-09

HOU

AWAY

24.2MIN

7POINTS

4 · 1 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-5
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 35.9
USG%: 24.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 12

2026-04-06

AWAY

38.1MIN

16POINTS

4 · 4 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 4-5
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 47.7
USG%: 19.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 24

2026-04-04

DET

HOME

28.3MIN

20POINTS

5 · 4 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 3-5
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 63.5
USG%: 31.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -9
PRA: 29

2026-04-03

MIN

HOME

38.0MIN

23POINTS

6 · 6 · 6-15

ABOVE

FG: 6-15
3PT: 3-7
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 59.3
USG%: 29.4
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 6
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 35

2026-04-01

WAS

AWAY

30.4MIN

39POINTS

5 · 6 · 15-22

ABOVE

FG: 15-22
3PT: 6-12
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 82.1
USG%: 32.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +26
PRA: 50

2026-03-30

MIA

AWAY

34.7MIN

19POINTS

4 · 2 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 4-11
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 23.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -22
PRA: 25

2026-03-28

CHA

AWAY

36.4MIN

26POINTS

13 · 2 · 9-19

ABOVE

FG: 9-19
3PT: 4-11
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 1/12
TS%: 61.3
USG%: 30.8
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: -5
PRA: 41

2026-03-25

CHI

HOME

26.3MIN

28POINTS

6 · 4 · 11-22

ABOVE

FG: 11-22
3PT: 6-13
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 63.6
USG%: 32.6
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 38

2026-01-29

SAC

HOME

36.1MIN

15POINTS

2 · 5 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 22.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 22

2026-01-27

MIL

HOME

33.0MIN

32POINTS

5 · 5 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 9-15
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 73.1
USG%: 29.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 42

2026-01-24

HOME

32.3MIN

9POINTS

6 · 2 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 0-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 39.8
USG%: 17.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 17

2026-01-22

HOU

HOME

36.5MIN

10POINTS

6 · 4 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 12.8
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -1
PRA: 20

2026-01-16

CLE

HOME

30.3MIN

14POINTS

4 · 5 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 18.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 23

2026-01-14

CLE

HOME

29.7MIN

17POINTS

4 · 4 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 21.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 25

2026-01-12

TOR

AWAY

28.6MIN

15POINTS

4 · 6 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 1-6
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 49.3
USG%: 27.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 25

2026-01-09

ORL

AWAY

33.2MIN

18POINTS

9 · 3 · 8-21

ABOVE

FG: 8-21
3PT: 0-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 5/4
TS%: 41.1
USG%: 30.6
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +9
PRA: 30

2026-01-07

WAS

HOME

32.9MIN

23POINTS

4 · 5 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 4-8
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 84.3
USG%: 19.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +25
PRA: 32

2026-01-05

DEN

HOME

32.3MIN

8POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 13.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -18
PRA: 13

2026-01-03

AWAY

35.2MIN

15POINTS

8 · 6 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 3-5
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 60.9
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +5
PRA: 29

2026-01-01

DAL

AWAY

33.1MIN

14POINTS

7 · 2 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 23.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +20
PRA: 23

2025-12-30

MEM

AWAY

39.1MIN

17POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-17

BELOW

FG: 6-17
3PT: 3-11
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 47.5
USG%: 21.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: +11
PRA: 23

2025-12-28

OKC

AWAY

29.2MIN

12POINTS

4 · 3 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 54.5
USG%: 20.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 19

2025-12-26

CHI

AWAY

34.5MIN

15POINTS

12 · 5 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 4-9
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/11
TS%: 48.6
USG%: 20.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 32

2025-12-23

BKN

HOME

33.1MIN

19POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-14

ABOVE

FG: 5-14
3PT: 2-7
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 54.2
USG%: 26.2
STL: 4
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 25

2025-12-19

AWAY

33.1MIN

7POINTS

6 · 4 · 2-10

BELOW

FG: 2-10
3PT: 1-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 32.2
USG%: 16.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +16
PRA: 17

2025-12-14

ATL

AWAY

33.4MIN

35POINTS

4 · 3 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 7-10
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 74.0
USG%: 29.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 42

2025-12-12

IND

HOME

33.1MIN

23POINTS

6 · 5 · 8-17

ABOVE

FG: 8-17
3PT: 4-7
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 62.8
USG%: 29.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +19
PRA: 34

2025-12-07

LAL

HOME

32.2MIN

12POINTS

6 · 3 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 58.8
USG%: 14.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 21

2025-12-05

MIL

AWAY

30.0MIN

20POINTS

5 · 5 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 59.7
USG%: 24.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 30

2025-12-02

WAS

HOME

17.7MIN

11POINTS

5 · 0 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 3-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 55.0
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 16

2025-11-30

ATL

HOME

28.0MIN

16POINTS

7 · 4 · 6-17

BELOW

FG: 6-17
3PT: 2-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 44.7
USG%: 28.0
STL: 5
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +1
PRA: 27

2025-11-28

BKN

AWAY

21.4MIN

14POINTS

3 · 2 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 22.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 19

2025-11-23

MIA

HOME

20.2MIN

10POINTS

2 · 5 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 0-5
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 28.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 17

2025-11-20

MIL

AWAY

24.7MIN

21POINTS

5 · 3 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 4-7
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 76.3
USG%: 29.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 29

2025-11-17

LAC

HOME

21.1MIN

9POINTS

7 · 3 · 2-9

BELOW

FG: 2-9
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 37.3
USG%: 28.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 19

every game on file — nothing hidden