TOR · 2026 season

RJ Barrett

64 games played, 7 in the postseason · averaging 19.8 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 19.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE48.2%220 of 456 games

INTERVAL43.7%–52.8%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+107at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+129if the rate is 43.7%

RJ has cleared 19.5 points in 48.2% of 456 games since 2019, and in 80.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +107 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-05-03PLAYOFF R1 G7

CLE

AWAY

43.0MIN

23POINTS

4 · 6 · 9-25

ABOVE

FG: 9-25
3PT: 1-6
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 42.3
USG%: 30.0
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 33

2026-05-01PLAYOFF R1 G6

CLE

HOME

43.4MIN

24POINTS

9 · 3 · 8-21

ABOVE

FG: 8-21
3PT: 4-12
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 51.7
USG%: 30.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 4
+/−: +9
PRA: 36

2026-04-29PLAYOFF R1 G5

CLE

AWAY

38.3MIN

25POINTS

12 · 5 · 9-19

ABOVE

FG: 9-19
3PT: 2-5
FT: 5-9
OREB/DREB: 5/7
TS%: 54.4
USG%: 27.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 42

2026-04-26PLAYOFF R1 G4

CLE

HOME

38.7MIN

18POINTS

8 · 1 · 8-22

BELOW

FG: 8-22
3PT: 1-6
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 37.9
USG%: 27.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -2
PRA: 27

2026-04-23PLAYOFF R1 G3

CLE

HOME

39.2MIN

33POINTS

5 · 5 · 12-19

ABOVE

FG: 12-19
3PT: 6-8
FT: 3-7
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 74.7
USG%: 27.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +24
PRA: 43

2026-04-20PLAYOFF R1 G2

CLE

AWAY

37.7MIN

22POINTS

9 · 5 · 10-13

ABOVE

FG: 10-13
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 79.3
USG%: 20.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: -9
PRA: 36

2026-04-18PLAYOFF R1 G1

CLE

AWAY

30.5MIN

24POINTS

2 · 3 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 3-6
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 70.8
USG%: 31.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 29

2026-04-12

BKN

HOME

28.6MIN

26POINTS

3 · 2 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 2-5
FT: 6-9
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 68.6
USG%: 32.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +22
PRA: 31

2026-04-09

MIA

HOME

35.0MIN

22POINTS

6 · 3 · 6-15

ABOVE

FG: 6-15
3PT: 1-5
FT: 9-10
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 25.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 31

2026-04-07

MIA

HOME

31.3MIN

16POINTS

8 · 2 · 7-16

BELOW

FG: 7-16
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 46.2
USG%: 25.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +16
PRA: 26

2026-04-05

BOS

AWAY

35.4MIN

15POINTS

5 · 4 · 6-17

BELOW

FG: 6-17
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 41.9
USG%: 26.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 24

2026-04-03

MEM

AWAY

29.1MIN

25POINTS

3 · 4 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 4-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 29.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +26
PRA: 32

2026-04-01

SAC

HOME

36.3MIN

20POINTS

5 · 6 · 8-19

ABOVE

FG: 8-19
3PT: 1-5
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 47.2
USG%: 33.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 31

2026-03-31

DET

AWAY

30.8MIN

24POINTS

6 · 2 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 8-10
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 73.2
USG%: 24.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -21
PRA: 32

2026-03-29

ORL

HOME

26.5MIN

24POINTS

3 · 3 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 0-4
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 68.5
USG%: 29.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +22
PRA: 30

2026-03-27

HOME

31.2MIN

18POINTS

6 · 4 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 2-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 60.5
USG%: 22.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +26
PRA: 28

2026-03-25

LAC

AWAY

31.9MIN

12POINTS

6 · 4 · 5-19

BELOW

FG: 5-19
3PT: 0-7
FT: 2-5
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 28.3
USG%: 29.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -23
PRA: 22

2026-03-23

UTAH

AWAY

24.7MIN

27POINTS

2 · 6 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 4-5
FT: 3-7
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 74.7
USG%: 30.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 35

2026-03-22

PHX

AWAY

23.2MIN

13POINTS

3 · 3 · 5-8

BELOW

FG: 5-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 25.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -21
PRA: 19

2026-03-20

DEN

AWAY

33.6MIN

18POINTS

5 · 2 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 1-5
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 25.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 25

2026-03-18

CHI

AWAY

27.0MIN

23POINTS

4 · 2 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 72.4
USG%: 27.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +25
PRA: 29

2026-03-15

DET

HOME

39.4MIN

27POINTS

6 · 2 · 11-17

ABOVE

FG: 11-17
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 72.0
USG%: 23.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 35

2026-03-13

PHX

HOME

35.1MIN

22POINTS

6 · 5 · 9-16

ABOVE

FG: 9-16
3PT: 1-4
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 24.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +9
PRA: 33

2026-03-11

AWAY

28.1MIN

16POINTS

7 · 1 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 1-6
FT: 5-8
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 48.4
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 24

2026-03-10

HOU

AWAY

32.4MIN

25POINTS

6 · 1 · 10-18

ABOVE

FG: 10-18
3PT: 2-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 63.3
USG%: 29.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 32

2026-03-08

DAL

HOME

33.7MIN

31POINTS

6 · 3 · 13-19

ABOVE

FG: 13-19
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 74.7
USG%: 28.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +16
PRA: 40

2026-03-05

MIN

AWAY

30.4MIN

25POINTS

6 · 0 · 9-14

ABOVE

FG: 9-14
3PT: 4-5
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 79.3
USG%: 25.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 31

2026-03-03

HOME

37.2MIN

20POINTS

4 · 3 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 72.0
USG%: 20.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 27

2026-02-28

WAS

AWAY

32.7MIN

21POINTS

5 · 3 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 25.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +12
PRA: 29

2026-02-25

HOME

32.9MIN

12POINTS

7 · 3 · 4-14

BELOW

FG: 4-14
3PT: 1-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 38.1
USG%: 22.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 22

2026-02-24

OKC

HOME

33.9MIN

21POINTS

8 · 4 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 4-6
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 23.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 33

2026-02-22

MIL

AWAY

26.5MIN

7POINTS

6 · 3 · 2-10

BELOW

FG: 2-10
3PT: 0-3
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 29.8
USG%: 21.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 16

2026-02-19

CHI

AWAY

24.9MIN

13POINTS

6 · 3 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 48.1
USG%: 22.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +14
PRA: 22

2026-02-11

DET

HOME

30.2MIN

16POINTS

3 · 4 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 1-2
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 84.0
USG%: 18.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 23

2026-02-08

IND

HOME

31.8MIN

20POINTS

8 · 5 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-5
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 55.3
USG%: 26.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +31
PRA: 33

2026-02-04

MIN

HOME

28.4MIN

13POINTS

6 · 1 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 45.8
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -1
PRA: 20

2026-02-01

UTAH

HOME

28.0MIN

21POINTS

6 · 4 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-6
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 28.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 31

2026-01-30

ORL

AWAY

31.1MIN

16POINTS

3 · 5 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 0-5
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 49.4
USG%: 25.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -9
PRA: 24

2026-01-28

HOME

24.0MIN

14POINTS

8 · 3 · 3-13

BELOW

FG: 3-13
3PT: 1-4
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 42.4
USG%: 29.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 25

2026-01-25

OKC

AWAY

21.4MIN

14POINTS

6 · 2 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 29.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 22

2026-01-23

POR

AWAY

21.4MIN

10POINTS

6 · 3 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 0-5
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 46.5
USG%: 26.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -6
PRA: 19

2026-01-09

BOS

AWAY

27.9MIN

19POINTS

4 · 7 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 3-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 29.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -14
PRA: 30

2026-01-07

CHA

AWAY

35.1MIN

28POINTS

7 · 1 · 12-25

ABOVE

FG: 12-25
3PT: 1-7
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 35.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 36

2026-01-05

ATL

HOME

31.5MIN

17POINTS

6 · 4 · 7-17

BELOW

FG: 7-17
3PT: 2-8
FT: 1-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 44.3
USG%: 31.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +21
PRA: 27

2026-01-03

ATL

HOME

29.9MIN

29POINTS

4 · 1 · 11-19

ABOVE

FG: 11-19
3PT: 4-8
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 69.8
USG%: 32.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 34

2025-12-31

DEN

HOME

24.4MIN

17POINTS

6 · 3 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 59.4
USG%: 27.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 26

2025-12-28

HOME

23.8MIN

12POINTS

7 · 4 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 43.2
USG%: 23.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 23

2025-11-23

BKN

HOME

20.2MIN

16POINTS

2 · 1 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-3
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.2
USG%: 28.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 19

2025-11-21

WAS

HOME

29.2MIN

24POINTS

8 · 4 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 2-5
FT: 4-8
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 64.8
USG%: 29.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 36

2025-11-19

PHI

AWAY

33.9MIN

22POINTS

3 · 4 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-5
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 68.9
USG%: 20.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 29

2025-11-17

CHA

HOME

32.9MIN

16POINTS

3 · 3 · 7-16

BELOW

FG: 7-16
3PT: 1-4
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 46.2
USG%: 23.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +1
PRA: 22

2025-11-15

IND

AWAY

28.0MIN

22POINTS

6 · 4 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 3-7
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 58.6
USG%: 28.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 32

2025-11-13

CLE

AWAY

26.9MIN

9POINTS

9 · 4 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-3
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 41.8
USG%: 19.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 22

2025-11-11

BKN

AWAY

28.5MIN

13POINTS

4 · 6 · 6-21

BELOW

FG: 6-21
3PT: 0-7
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 30.3
USG%: 34.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 23

2025-11-08

PHI

AWAY

34.0MIN

22POINTS

3 · 6 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 20.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -14
PRA: 31

2025-11-07

ATL

AWAY

33.3MIN

19POINTS

5 · 4 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 21.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 28

2025-11-04

MIL

HOME

31.1MIN

23POINTS

8 · 4 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 4-8
FT: 7-12
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 25.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 35

2025-11-02

MEM

HOME

35.5MIN

27POINTS

6 · 6 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 2-8
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 61.1
USG%: 28.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +19
PRA: 39

2025-10-31

CLE

AWAY

36.2MIN

20POINTS

3 · 2 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 3-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 64.8
USG%: 21.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 25

2025-10-29

HOU

HOME

32.8MIN

10POINTS

2 · 4 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 18.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -24
PRA: 16

2025-10-27

AWAY

32.2MIN

25POINTS

2 · 2 · 9-18

ABOVE

FG: 9-18
3PT: 2-7
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 31.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 29

2025-10-26

DAL

AWAY

27.9MIN

16POINTS

4 · 3 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 57.6
USG%: 20.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +10
PRA: 23

2025-10-24

MIL

HOME

32.9MIN

20POINTS

6 · 2 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 75.1
USG%: 19.4
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 28

2025-10-22

ATL

AWAY

30.0MIN

25POINTS

8 · 5 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 88.0
USG%: 23.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: 0
PRA: 38

every game on file — nothing hidden