POR · 2026 season

Robert Williams III

64 games played, 5 in the postseason · averaging 7.0 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 6.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE52.2%164 of 314 games

INTERVAL46.7%–57.7%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-110at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+114if the rate is 46.7%

Robert has cleared 6.5 points in 52.2% of 314 games since 2019, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -110 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-28PLAYOFF R1 G5

AWAY

16.9MIN

11POINTS

7 · 1 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 55.0
USG%: 25.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 19

2026-04-26PLAYOFF R1 G4

HOME

26.4MIN

4POINTS

6 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 6.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 12

2026-04-24PLAYOFF R1 G3

HOME

25.0MIN

11POINTS

9 · 2 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 6/3
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 18.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 22

2026-04-21PLAYOFF R1 G2

AWAY

23.5MIN

11POINTS

9 · 4 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 85.4
USG%: 11.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 24

2026-04-19PLAYOFF R1 G1

AWAY

16.6MIN

11POINTS

6 · 4 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 78.6
USG%: 19.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 21

2026-04-12

SAC

HOME

22.5MIN

6POINTS

10 · 1 · 3-4

BELOW

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 7.1
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 17

2026-04-10

LAC

HOME

17.6MIN

13POINTS

10 · 0 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 74.2
USG%: 23.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +25
PRA: 23

2026-04-08

AWAY

12.8MIN

4POINTS

7 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 19.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 12

2026-04-06

DEN

AWAY

23.0MIN

6POINTS

6 · 3 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 15

2026-04-02

HOME

23.1MIN

6POINTS

9 · 1 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 9.2
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 16

2026-03-31

LAC

AWAY

18.0MIN

6POINTS

7 · 1 · 3-3

BELOW

FG: 3-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 9.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +22
PRA: 14

2026-03-29

WAS

HOME

14.9MIN

4POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 8.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 11

2026-03-27

DAL

HOME

10.8MIN

4POINTS

5 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 11.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2026-03-25

MIL

HOME

13.5MIN

6POINTS

6 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 21.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 12

2026-03-22

DEN

AWAY

18.9MIN

16POINTS

5 · 1 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 76.6
USG%: 23.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 22

2026-03-20

MIN

AWAY

16.9MIN

2POINTS

12 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 16.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 14

2026-03-18

IND

AWAY

21.5MIN

2POINTS

10 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 6/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 5.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 14

2026-03-15

PHI

AWAY

20.3MIN

6POINTS

12 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 6/6
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 9.9
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 18

2026-03-10

CHA

HOME

21.3MIN

6POINTS

10 · 0 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 42.9
USG%: 16.6
STL: 0
BLK: 4
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 16

2026-03-08

IND

HOME

20.2MIN

12POINTS

7 · 2 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 16.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +30
PRA: 21

2026-03-06

HOU

AWAY

22.9MIN

8POINTS

8 · 0 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-4
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 59.2
USG%: 16.2
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 16

2026-03-04

MEM

AWAY

23.5MIN

20POINTS

11 · 0 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 77.6
USG%: 25.6
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 31

2026-02-28

CHA

AWAY

16.8MIN

5POINTS

6 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 66.5
USG%: 14.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 13

2026-02-26

CHI

AWAY

22.6MIN

14POINTS

14 · 1 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 5/9
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 20.9
STL: 2
BLK: 4
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +21
PRA: 29

2026-02-22

PHX

AWAY

15.4MIN

4POINTS

5 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 14.2
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 9

2026-02-20

DEN

HOME

11.9MIN

2POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -17
PRA: 6

2026-02-11

MIN

AWAY

11.6MIN

5POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 12.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 11

2026-02-09

PHI

HOME

15.0MIN

8POINTS

6 · 2 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 17.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 16

2026-02-06

MEM

HOME

19.1MIN

13POINTS

7 · 2 · 6-6

ABOVE

FG: 6-6
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 108.3
USG%: 17.2
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 22

2026-02-03

PHX

HOME

19.0MIN

14POINTS

8 · 3 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 88.8
USG%: 22.9
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 25

2026-02-01

CLE

HOME

18.4MIN

10POINTS

12 · 2 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 16.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 24

2026-01-30

AWAY

20.3MIN

4POINTS

11 · 3 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 4.3
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 18

2026-01-26

BOS

AWAY

19.7MIN

6POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-3

BELOW

FG: 3-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 8.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 8

2026-01-22

MIA

HOME

19.3MIN

4POINTS

10 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 6.2
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 14

2026-01-17

LAL

HOME

17.1MIN

8POINTS

6 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 106.4
USG%: 11.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 14

2026-01-15

ATL

HOME

19.6MIN

6POINTS

11 · 2 · 3-4

BELOW

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 8.2
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +22
PRA: 19

2026-01-13

AWAY

15.9MIN

11POINTS

8 · 0 · 5-5

ABOVE

FG: 5-5
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 110.0
USG%: 21.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 19

2026-01-11

HOME

15.8MIN

12POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-5

ABOVE

FG: 5-5
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 110.3
USG%: 17.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +15
PRA: 18

2026-01-09

HOU

HOME

6.6MIN

0POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 6.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 4

2026-01-07

HOU

HOME

17.5MIN

3POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 7.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 9

2026-01-05

UTAH

HOME

12.4MIN

2POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 3.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 6

2026-01-02

AWAY

18.5MIN

4POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 6.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 11

2025-12-31

OKC

AWAY

16.2MIN

8POINTS

8 · 0 · 4-4

ABOVE

FG: 4-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 16

2025-12-29

DAL

HOME

19.8MIN

8POINTS

8 · 2 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 18

2025-12-26

LAC

HOME

19.6MIN

4POINTS

12 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 11.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -19
PRA: 17

2025-12-22

DET

HOME

14.4MIN

8POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-3

ABOVE

FG: 3-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 103.1
USG%: 11.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 13

2025-12-20

SAC

AWAY

17.9MIN

10POINTS

9 · 1 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 85.0
USG%: 16.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 20

2025-12-18

SAC

HOME

17.2MIN

2POINTS

6 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 9.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 10

2025-12-14

HOME

19.2MIN

11POINTS

11 · 3 · 4-4

ABOVE

FG: 4-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 95.5
USG%: 18.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 25

2025-12-05

DET

AWAY

30.3MIN

8POINTS

14 · 1 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 7/7
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.5
STL: 0
BLK: 5
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -6
PRA: 23

2025-12-02

TOR

AWAY

16.6MIN

6POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-3

BELOW

FG: 3-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 7.7
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 11

2025-11-30

OKC

HOME

19.2MIN

7POINTS

9 · 1 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 71.7
USG%: 10.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 17

2025-11-26

HOME

19.6MIN

10POINTS

5 · 1 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 14.3
STL: 1
BLK: 4
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 16

2025-11-24

MIL

AWAY

16.1MIN

8POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 16.3
STL: 1
BLK: 4
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 13

2025-11-21

AWAY

20.5MIN

8POINTS

11 · 2 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 21

2025-11-18

PHX

HOME

8.1MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 14.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 6

2025-11-16

DAL

AWAY

16.6MIN

6POINTS

5 · 1 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 11.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 12

2025-11-14

HOU

AWAY

14.8MIN

4POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 16.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 7

2025-11-12

AWAY

16.7MIN

6POINTS

6 · 1 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 16.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 13

2025-11-10

ORL

AWAY

14.5MIN

7POINTS

4 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 12.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 11

2025-11-08

MIA

AWAY

7.5MIN

0POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 4

2025-11-05

OKC

HOME

3.8MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 21.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 3

2025-11-03

LAL

HOME

14.5MIN

6POINTS

3 · 2 · 3-3

BELOW

FG: 3-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 8.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 11

2025-10-31

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11.3MIN

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BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 8.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 9

every game on file — nothing hidden