MEM · 2026 season

Santi Aldama

41 games played · averaging 14.0 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 14.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE24.8%71 of 286 games

INTERVAL20.2%–30.1%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+302at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+396if the rate is 20.2%

Santi has cleared 14.5 points in 24.8% of 286 games since 2021, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +302 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-02-04

SAC

AWAY

24.1MIN

12POINTS

6 · 0 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-6
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 51.0
USG%: 22.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 18

2026-01-26

HOU

AWAY

27.4MIN

17POINTS

7 · 2 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 63.8
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 26

2026-01-11

BKN

HOME

33.2MIN

15POINTS

8 · 3 · 7-10

ABOVE

FG: 7-10
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 14.5
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +8
PRA: 26

2026-01-09

OKC

HOME

28.8MIN

15POINTS

7 · 7 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 29

2026-01-07

PHX

HOME

22.2MIN

7POINTS

3 · 0 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 39.4
USG%: 16.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -18
PRA: 10

2026-01-06

HOME

23.9MIN

10POINTS

9 · 2 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 1-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 44.2
USG%: 24.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -23
PRA: 21

2026-01-04

LAL

AWAY

30.7MIN

12POINTS

10 · 7 · 4-13

BELOW

FG: 4-13
3PT: 0-4
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 38.4
USG%: 22.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +3
PRA: 29

2026-01-02

LAL

AWAY

29.8MIN

15POINTS

7 · 3 · 5-12

ABOVE

FG: 5-12
3PT: 3-9
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 17.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 25

2025-12-30

PHI

HOME

36.3MIN

15POINTS

6 · 2 · 6-11

ABOVE

FG: 6-11
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 17.7
STL: 0
BLK: 4
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 23

2025-12-28

WAS

AWAY

35.5MIN

14POINTS

10 · 3 · 5-14

BELOW

FG: 5-14
3PT: 1-4
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 19.8
STL: 5
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 27

2025-12-26

MIL

HOME

30.0MIN

12POINTS

7 · 3 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 1-5
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 53.0
USG%: 17.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 22

2025-12-23

UTAH

AWAY

34.4MIN

37POINTS

5 · 7 · 13-21

ABOVE

FG: 13-21
3PT: 7-13
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 76.8
USG%: 32.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 49

2025-12-22

OKC

AWAY

24.7MIN

9POINTS

7 · 1 · 4-13

BELOW

FG: 4-13
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 34.6
USG%: 25.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 17

2025-12-20

WAS

HOME

35.7MIN

37POINTS

10 · 2 · 15-23

ABOVE

FG: 15-23
3PT: 5-9
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 6/4
TS%: 76.1
USG%: 28.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 49

2025-12-17

MIN

AWAY

34.3MIN

8POINTS

11 · 3 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 22

2025-12-15

LAC

AWAY

30.8MIN

3POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 25.5
USG%: 10.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 7

2025-12-12

UTAH

HOME

35.8MIN

22POINTS

7 · 2 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 4-8
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 65.6
USG%: 19.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 31

2025-12-07

POR

HOME

28.1MIN

22POINTS

7 · 1 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 3-6
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 78.1
USG%: 18.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +34
PRA: 30

2025-12-05

LAC

HOME

24.6MIN

7POINTS

6 · 4 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 35.4
USG%: 24.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 17

2025-12-02

AWAY

24.4MIN

4POINTS

3 · 5 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 34.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -18
PRA: 12

2025-11-30

SAC

AWAY

22.1MIN

7POINTS

6 · 4 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 55.4
USG%: 15.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -20
PRA: 17

2025-11-28

LAC

AWAY

22.2MIN

13POINTS

7 · 5 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 74.2
USG%: 16.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 25

2025-11-26

AWAY

24.4MIN

14POINTS

5 · 4 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 2-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 18.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -21
PRA: 23

2025-11-24

DEN

HOME

32.7MIN

12POINTS

6 · 6 · 5-16

BELOW

FG: 5-16
3PT: 0-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 35.5
USG%: 23.7
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 24

2025-11-22

DAL

AWAY

34.8MIN

20POINTS

8 · 4 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 58.8
USG%: 20.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 32

2025-11-20

SAC

HOME

27.6MIN

29POINTS

5 · 3 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 5-11
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 75.1
USG%: 30.1
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +28
PRA: 37

2025-11-18

AWAY

25.9MIN

10POINTS

6 · 2 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 46.0
USG%: 18.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 18

2025-11-15

CLE

AWAY

25.0MIN

12POINTS

11 · 2 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/10
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 16.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -13
PRA: 25

2025-11-12

BOS

AWAY

23.6MIN

14POINTS

6 · 4 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 2-7
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 51.3
USG%: 25.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 24

2025-11-11

AWAY

30.2MIN

19POINTS

7 · 3 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 80.8
USG%: 16.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 29

2025-11-09

OKC

HOME

29.6MIN

12POINTS

9 · 4 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 1-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 57.5
USG%: 20.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 25

2025-11-07

DAL

HOME

28.1MIN

16POINTS

2 · 2 · 5-12

ABOVE

FG: 5-12
3PT: 3-7
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 58.1
USG%: 24.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 20

2025-11-05

HOU

HOME

26.3MIN

16POINTS

4 · 1 · 5-12

ABOVE

FG: 5-12
3PT: 1-5
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 54.6
USG%: 22.4
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 21

2025-11-03

DET

HOME

22.7MIN

11POINTS

5 · 1 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 61.1
USG%: 21.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -14
PRA: 17

2025-11-02

TOR

AWAY

28.4MIN

15POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-14

ABOVE

FG: 5-14
3PT: 2-7
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 47.6
USG%: 24.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 21

2025-10-31

LAL

HOME

26.4MIN

7POINTS

10 · 3 · 3-12

BELOW

FG: 3-12
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 29.2
USG%: 22.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -9
PRA: 20

2025-10-29

PHX

AWAY

30.7MIN

14POINTS

10 · 5 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 17.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 29

2025-10-27

AWAY

22.4MIN

14POINTS

6 · 4 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 50.4
USG%: 30.0
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 24

2025-10-25

IND

HOME

20.9MIN

9POINTS

8 · 1 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 17.9
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 18

2025-10-24

MIA

HOME

19.7MIN

13POINTS

8 · 0 · 6-9

BELOW

FG: 6-9
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 68.9
USG%: 20.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 21

2025-10-22

HOME

24.2MIN

5POINTS

6 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 17.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +9
PRA: 13

every game on file — nothing hidden