DEN · 2026 season

Spencer Jones

70 games played, 6 in the postseason · averaging 5.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 5.5 · POINTS · 2024–2026

HIT RATE35.6%32 of 90 games

INTERVAL26.4%–45.9%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+181at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+278if the rate is 26.4%

Spencer has cleared 5.5 points in 35.6% of 90 games since 2024, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +181 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-30

MIN

AWAY

35.3MIN

8POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -9
PRA: 11

2026-04-27

MIN

HOME

36.9MIN

20POINTS

3 · 1 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 4-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 101.2
USG%: 12.9
STL: 3
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +13
PRA: 24

2026-04-25

MIN

AWAY

25.5MIN

0POINTS

4 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 3.4
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -14
PRA: 4

2026-04-23

MIN

AWAY

28.4MIN

6POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 6.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 7

2026-04-20

MIN

HOME

10.0MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 4.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 2

2026-04-18

MIN

HOME

9.3MIN

5POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 107.8
USG%: 10.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 5

2026-03-29

HOME

6.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 1

2026-03-27

UTAH

HOME

13.7MIN

0POINTS

6 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 2.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 6

2026-03-25

DAL

HOME

20.3MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 53.2
USG%: 8.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -8
PRA: 6

2026-03-24

PHX

AWAY

21.8MIN

4POINTS

7 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +8
PRA: 11

2026-03-22

POR

HOME

11.4MIN

5POINTS

0 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 11.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 5

2026-03-20

TOR

HOME

18.0MIN

0POINTS

3 · 4 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 2.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 7

2026-03-18

MEM

AWAY

26.8MIN

6POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 9.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -22
PRA: 11

2026-03-17

PHI

HOME

24.0MIN

7POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 8.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 12

2026-03-14

LAL

AWAY

23.4MIN

5POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 7.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -2
PRA: 8

2026-03-12

AWAY

32.8MIN

19POINTS

4 · 2 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 73.1
USG%: 16.6
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 25

2026-03-11

HOU

HOME

19.7MIN

0POINTS

3 · 2 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 4.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 5

2026-03-09

OKC

AWAY

15.5MIN

6POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 5/0
TS%: 42.9
USG%: 18.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 11

2026-03-06

HOME

9.8MIN

2POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 17.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -15
PRA: 4

2026-02-27

OKC

AWAY

2.4MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 0

2026-02-25

BOS

HOME

25.8MIN

6POINTS

7 · 0 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 51.0
USG%: 10.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +22
PRA: 13

2026-02-22

AWAY

12.9MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 6.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 5

2026-02-20

POR

AWAY

29.9MIN

10POINTS

10 · 2 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 9.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +31
PRA: 22

2026-02-19

LAC

AWAY

16.5MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 7.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -1
PRA: 5

2026-02-04

AWAY

12.0MIN

0POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 11.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 3

2026-02-01

OKC

HOME

27.7MIN

6POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 4.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -22
PRA: 8

2026-01-30

LAC

HOME

35.1MIN

4POINTS

6 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 6.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 11

2026-01-29

BKN

HOME

15.2MIN

1POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 12.9
USG%: 12.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -23
PRA: 2

2026-01-27

DET

HOME

32.7MIN

12POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 4-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 120.0
USG%: 8.1
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 16

2026-01-23

MIL

AWAY

38.3MIN

5POINTS

5 · 2 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 7.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +7
PRA: 12

2026-01-22

WAS

AWAY

28.1MIN

2POINTS

5 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 3.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 7

2026-01-20

LAL

HOME

36.8MIN

16POINTS

5 · 0 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 88.9
USG%: 13.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +6
PRA: 21

2026-01-18

CHA

HOME

31.4MIN

2POINTS

6 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 4.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -27
PRA: 8

2026-01-17

WAS

HOME

29.0MIN

7POINTS

3 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 6.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 10

2026-01-14

DAL

AWAY

32.3MIN

10POINTS

5 · 2 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 85.0
USG%: 9.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: 0
PRA: 17

2026-01-13

AWAY

22.5MIN

2POINTS

5 · 0 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 17.0
USG%: 11.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 6
+/−: -6
PRA: 7

2026-01-11

MIL

HOME

24.7MIN

5POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-9

BELOW

FG: 2-9
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 27.8
USG%: 16.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -17
PRA: 7

2026-01-07

BOS

AWAY

9.1MIN

2POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 53.2
USG%: 9.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 5

2026-01-05

PHI

AWAY

43.5MIN

10POINTS

3 · 2 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 8.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +8
PRA: 15

2026-01-04

BKN

AWAY

26.8MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 6.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -11
PRA: 4

2026-01-02

CLE

AWAY

36.4MIN

13POINTS

6 · 1 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 3-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 81.3
USG%: 10.9
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 20

2025-12-31

TOR

AWAY

37.8MIN

6POINTS

7 · 2 · 0-3

ABOVE

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-3
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 53.2
USG%: 9.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -1
PRA: 15

2025-12-29

MIA

AWAY

33.1MIN

16POINTS

3 · 1 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 5-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 116.3
USG%: 9.2
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -6
PRA: 20

2025-12-27

ORL

AWAY

34.5MIN

14POINTS

6 · 3 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 3-5
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 76.1
USG%: 13.5
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 23

2025-12-25

MIN

HOME

40.9MIN

12POINTS

8 · 1 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 11.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 21

2025-12-23

DAL

AWAY

26.2MIN

6POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 10.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 12

2025-12-22

UTAH

HOME

19.9MIN

3POINTS

1 · 3 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 19.3
USG%: 18.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +26
PRA: 7

2025-12-20

HOU

HOME

27.8MIN

9POINTS

4 · 2 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 12.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 15

2025-12-18

ORL

HOME

18.9MIN

8POINTS

1 · 1 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 16.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 6
+/−: +8
PRA: 10

2025-12-15

HOU

HOME

40.9MIN

11POINTS

3 · 0 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 10.5
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +1
PRA: 14

2025-12-11

SAC

AWAY

21.8MIN

2POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 1.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +25
PRA: 6

2025-12-07

CHA

AWAY

24.6MIN

8POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 11.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +14
PRA: 11

2025-12-05

ATL

AWAY

23.5MIN

6POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 104.2
USG%: 5.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 12

2025-12-03

IND

AWAY

17.4MIN

1POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 26.6
USG%: 5.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +18
PRA: 4

2025-12-01

DAL

HOME

38.9MIN

28POINTS

5 · 0 · 11-15

ABOVE

FG: 11-15
3PT: 4-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/1
TS%: 88.2
USG%: 18.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 33

2025-11-29

PHX

AWAY

27.3MIN

16POINTS

9 · 1 · 6-10

ABOVE

FG: 6-10
3PT: 4-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 19.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +9
PRA: 26

2025-11-28

HOME

22.8MIN

9POINTS

1 · 3 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 19.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 13

2025-11-24

MEM

AWAY

15.0MIN

0POINTS

5 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 5

2025-11-22

SAC

HOME

23.5MIN

1POINTS

4 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 17.4
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -18
PRA: 5

2025-11-21

HOU

AWAY

21.7MIN

3POINTS

4 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 2.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -1
PRA: 7

2025-11-19

AWAY

10.5MIN

0POINTS

0 · 2 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 2

2025-11-17

CHI

HOME

6.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -16
PRA: 0

2025-11-15

MIN

AWAY

17.3MIN

2POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 113.6
USG%: 4.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -11
PRA: 3

2025-11-12

LAC

AWAY

15.4MIN

3POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 2.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +15
PRA: 4

2025-11-08

IND

HOME

19.9MIN

6POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 9.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +14
PRA: 9

2025-11-07

HOME

4.0MIN

2POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 11.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 2

2025-10-29

HOME

5.7MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 38.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 3

2025-10-27

MIN

AWAY

0.3MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 0

2025-10-25

PHX

HOME

3.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 12.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 0

2025-10-23

AWAY

5.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 0

every game on file — nothing hidden