GSW · G · 2026 season

Stephen Curry

Next game: at HOU, Thu 02:30 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 24 hours before tip, 02:32 UTC · lines as of 02:04 UTC

Projected 28.6 min (season average) · 9 games this season

Points 26.5 · Over -125 / Under -110 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 26.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 25, 41, 29, 34, 31, 44, 24, 24, 23); season average 30.6, last 3 average 31.7.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.068 points per minute projects 30.6, +15% against the 26.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 106.0 points a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 24 vs 26.2 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 19 vs 28.1 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 26 vs 30.3 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -5.2 points against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 3.5 · Over -154 / Under +115 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 3.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 5, 6, 1, 6, 4, 8, 3, 2, 2); season average 4.1, last 3 average 4.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 0.144 rebounds per minute projects 4.1, +17% against the 3.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (3 books at 3.5).

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 40.2 rebounds a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 14.8 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 2 vs 2.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 6 vs 6.0 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 4 vs 3.9 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -0.2 rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 4.5 · Over -110 / Under -125 · 3 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 4.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 2, 6, 4, 7, 6, 6, 3, 4, 1); season average 4.3, last 3 average 4.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 0.151 assists per minute projects 4.3, -4% against the 4.5 line.
HOU have allowed 24.1 assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team; to guards, 13.9 a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 3 vs 5.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 3 vs 5.1 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -2.1 assists against their own averages over 2 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Threes 4.5 · Over +105 / Under -140 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 4, 5, 6, 5, 8, 6, 3, 3, 2); season average 4.7, last 3 average 5.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 0.163 threes per minute projects 4.7, +4% against the 4.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 11.6 threes made a game over 10 games, the 4th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Jayson Tatum (BOS) 1 vs 2.5 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 3 vs 2.7 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -0.6 threes made against their own averages over 2 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 55% (3 books at 4.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 35.5 · Over -118 / Under -115 · 3 books

Case for the over

He averages 39.0 points + rebounds + assists over 9 games, above the 35.5 line.
His last 3 games average 39.7 points + rebounds + assists, above the 35.5 line. a hint, not a finding
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.363 PRA per minute projects 39.0, +10% against the 35.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 35.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 32, 53, 34, 47, 41, 58, 30, 30, 26).
HOU have allowed 170.3 points + rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 90.2 a game, the 8th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 29 vs 34.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 34 vs 41.8 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 33 vs 39.3 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -6.4 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 31.5 · Over -110 / Under -125 · 3 books

Case for the over

He averages 34.7 points + rebounds over 9 games, above the 31.5 line.
His last 3 games average 35.7 points + rebounds, above the 31.5 line. a hint, not a finding
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.211 PR per minute projects 34.7, +10% against the 31.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 31.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 30, 47, 30, 40, 35, 52, 27, 26, 25).
HOU have allowed 146.2 points + rebounds a game over 10 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 76.3 a game, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 26 vs 29.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 25 vs 34.1 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 30 vs 34.2 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -5.4 points + rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 31.5 · Over -118 / Under -115 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 31.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 27, 47, 33, 41, 37, 50, 27, 28, 24); season average 34.9, last 3 average 35.7.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.219 PA per minute projects 34.9, +11% against the 31.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 130.1 points + assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 27 vs 31.2 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 28 vs 35.8 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 29 vs 35.4 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -6.1 points + assists against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 8.5 · Over -110 / Under -120 · 2 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 8.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 7, 12, 5, 13, 10, 14, 6, 6, 3); last 3 average 8.0.
HOU have allowed 64.3 rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 28.7 a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 5 vs 7.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 7 vs 9.0 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -2.4 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 2 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

9 games played · averaging 30.6 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 30.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE36.2%154 of 426 games

INTERVAL31.7%–40.8%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+176at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+215if the rate is 31.7%

Stephen has cleared 30.5 points in 36.2% of 426 games since 2019, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +176 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-09

HOME

20.8MIN

25POINTS

5 · 2 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 4-7
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 89.5
USG%: 31.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +32
PRA: 32

2026-11-07

ORL

HOME

35.8MIN

41POINTS

6 · 6 · 13-19

ABOVE

FG: 13-19
3PT: 5-10
FT: 10-10
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 87.6
USG%: 35.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +11
PRA: 53

2026-11-05

MIA

HOME

28.0MIN

29POINTS

1 · 4 · 9-19

BELOW

FG: 9-19
3PT: 6-12
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 68.4
USG%: 33.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 34

2026-11-02

PHX

HOME

32.8MIN

34POINTS

6 · 7 · 9-21

ABOVE

FG: 9-21
3PT: 5-13
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 37.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +21
PRA: 47

2026-10-30

LAL

HOME

31.0MIN

31POINTS

4 · 6 · 11-23

ABOVE

FG: 11-23
3PT: 8-14
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 35.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +19
PRA: 41

2026-10-28

MIN

AWAY

31.6MIN

44POINTS

8 · 6 · 11-27

ABOVE

FG: 11-27
3PT: 6-16
FT: 16-16
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 64.6
USG%: 44.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 58

2026-10-26

DEN

AWAY

26.6MIN

24POINTS

3 · 3 · 8-8

BELOW

FG: 8-8
3PT: 3-3
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 117.6
USG%: 21.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 30

2026-10-23

MEM

HOME

29.8MIN

24POINTS

2 · 4 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 3-10
FT: 11-11
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 60.5
USG%: 27.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -4
PRA: 30

2026-10-21

LAL

AWAY

21.2MIN

23POINTS

2 · 1 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-7
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 63.6
USG%: 38.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -22
PRA: 26

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: at HOU, Thu 02:30 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 24 hours before tip, 02:32 UTC · lines as of 02:04 UTC

Projected 28.6 min (season average) · 9 games this season

Points 26.5 · Over -125 / Under -110 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 26.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 25, 41, 29, 34, 31, 44, 24, 24, 23); season average 30.6, last 3 average 31.7.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.068 points per minute projects 30.6, +15% against the 26.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 106.0 points a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 24 vs 26.2 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 19 vs 28.1 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 26 vs 30.3 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -5.2 points against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 3.5 · Over -154 / Under +115 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 3.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 5, 6, 1, 6, 4, 8, 3, 2, 2); season average 4.1, last 3 average 4.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 0.144 rebounds per minute projects 4.1, +17% against the 3.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (3 books at 3.5).

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 40.2 rebounds a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 14.8 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 2 vs 2.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 6 vs 6.0 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 4 vs 3.9 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -0.2 rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 4.5 · Over -110 / Under -125 · 3 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 4.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 2, 6, 4, 7, 6, 6, 3, 4, 1); season average 4.3, last 3 average 4.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 0.151 assists per minute projects 4.3, -4% against the 4.5 line.
HOU have allowed 24.1 assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team; to guards, 13.9 a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 3 vs 5.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 3 vs 5.1 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -2.1 assists against their own averages over 2 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Threes 4.5 · Over +105 / Under -140 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 4, 5, 6, 5, 8, 6, 3, 3, 2); season average 4.7, last 3 average 5.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 0.163 threes per minute projects 4.7, +4% against the 4.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 11.6 threes made a game over 10 games, the 4th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Jayson Tatum (BOS) 1 vs 2.5 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 3 vs 2.7 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -0.6 threes made against their own averages over 2 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 55% (3 books at 4.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 35.5 · Over -118 / Under -115 · 3 books

Case for the over

He averages 39.0 points + rebounds + assists over 9 games, above the 35.5 line.
His last 3 games average 39.7 points + rebounds + assists, above the 35.5 line. a hint, not a finding
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.363 PRA per minute projects 39.0, +10% against the 35.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 35.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 32, 53, 34, 47, 41, 58, 30, 30, 26).
HOU have allowed 170.3 points + rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 90.2 a game, the 8th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 29 vs 34.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 34 vs 41.8 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 33 vs 39.3 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -6.4 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 31.5 · Over -110 / Under -125 · 3 books

Case for the over

He averages 34.7 points + rebounds over 9 games, above the 31.5 line.
His last 3 games average 35.7 points + rebounds, above the 31.5 line. a hint, not a finding
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.211 PR per minute projects 34.7, +10% against the 31.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 31.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 30, 47, 30, 40, 35, 52, 27, 26, 25).
HOU have allowed 146.2 points + rebounds a game over 10 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 76.3 a game, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 26 vs 29.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 25 vs 34.1 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 30 vs 34.2 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -5.4 points + rebounds against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 31.5 · Over -118 / Under -115 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 31.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 27, 47, 33, 41, 37, 50, 27, 28, 24); season average 34.9, last 3 average 35.7.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 28.6 minutes stands in; 1.219 PA per minute projects 34.9, +11% against the 31.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 130.1 points + assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 27 vs 31.2 in his other games (Nov 7); Jayson Tatum (BOS) 28 vs 35.8 in his other games (Nov 2); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 29 vs 35.4 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -6.1 points + assists against their own averages over 3 games from 3 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 8.5 · Over -110 / Under -120 · 2 books

Case for the over

Nothing in the numbers points this way

Case for the under

Under 8.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 7, 12, 5, 13, 10, 14, 6, 6, 3); last 3 average 8.0.
HOU have allowed 64.3 rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 28.7 a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 29.2% to 39.2%, 20.6 to 36.6 min a game, at least 20.6 min in the game): Devin Booker (PHX) 5 vs 7.8 in his other games (Nov 7); Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 7 vs 9.0 in his other games (Oct 31); mean -2.4 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 2 games from 2 comparables. a hint, not a findingContext only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.