GSW · 2026 season

Stephen Curry

43 games played · averaging 26.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 26.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE54.2%226 of 417 games

INTERVAL49.4%–58.9%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-119at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+102if the rate is 49.4%

Stephen has cleared 26.5 points in 54.2% of 417 games since 2019, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -119 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-12

LAC

AWAY

28.7MIN

24POINTS

6 · 3 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 4-9
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 68.5
USG%: 31.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +13
PRA: 33

2026-04-10

SAC

AWAY

27.3MIN

11POINTS

3 · 5 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 2-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 59.0
USG%: 19.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 19

2026-04-07

SAC

HOME

25.0MIN

17POINTS

5 · 2 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 4-11
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 63.8
USG%: 28.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 24

2026-04-05

HOU

HOME

26.1MIN

29POINTS

2 · 4 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 5-10
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 65.0
USG%: 41.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 35

2026-01-30

DET

HOME

25.4MIN

23POINTS

1 · 2 · 7-16

BELOW

FG: 7-16
3PT: 4-10
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 63.2
USG%: 34.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 26

2026-01-28

UTAH

AWAY

28.0MIN

27POINTS

1 · 2 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 4-10
FT: 9-10
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 73.4
USG%: 33.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 30

2026-01-25

MIN

AWAY

27.6MIN

26POINTS

2 · 7 · 7-18

BELOW

FG: 7-18
3PT: 3-10
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 59.2
USG%: 36.6
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 35

2026-01-22

DAL

AWAY

34.4MIN

38POINTS

4 · 1 · 14-27

ABOVE

FG: 14-27
3PT: 8-15
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 68.1
USG%: 36.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -24
PRA: 43

2026-01-20

TOR

HOME

24.7MIN

16POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 2-7
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 46.2
USG%: 29.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -25
PRA: 22

2026-01-19

MIA

HOME

27.8MIN

19POINTS

3 · 11 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 5-10
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 68.4
USG%: 25.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: +3
PRA: 33

2026-01-17

CHA

HOME

29.6MIN

14POINTS

3 · 5 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 22.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 22

2026-01-15

HOME

33.9MIN

27POINTS

3 · 7 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 4-9
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 73.7
USG%: 28.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 37

2026-01-13

POR

HOME

24.5MIN

7POINTS

4 · 11 · 2-9

BELOW

FG: 2-9
3PT: 2-8
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 37.1
USG%: 18.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 22

2026-01-11

ATL

HOME

32.6MIN

31POINTS

3 · 5 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 3-11
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 65.6
USG%: 34.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -9
PRA: 39

2026-01-09

SAC

HOME

31.9MIN

27POINTS

0 · 10 · 10-21

ABOVE

FG: 10-21
3PT: 6-12
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 63.0
USG%: 31.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +14
PRA: 37

2026-01-07

MIL

HOME

34.1MIN

31POINTS

6 · 7 · 12-21

ABOVE

FG: 12-21
3PT: 3-9
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 66.8
USG%: 32.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +16
PRA: 44

2026-01-05

LAC

AWAY

33.6MIN

27POINTS

4 · 6 · 9-23

ABOVE

FG: 9-23
3PT: 4-15
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 53.6
USG%: 33.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 6
+/−: +5
PRA: 37

2026-01-03

UTAH

HOME

34.3MIN

31POINTS

2 · 5 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 6-12
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 70.6
USG%: 30.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 38

2025-12-31

CHA

AWAY

33.1MIN

26POINTS

2 · 4 · 9-16

BELOW

FG: 9-16
3PT: 5-10
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.1
USG%: 29.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 4
+/−: +11
PRA: 32

2025-12-29

BKN

AWAY

28.6MIN

27POINTS

2 · 5 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 5-12
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 74.7
USG%: 32.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 34

2025-12-28

TOR

AWAY

41.1MIN

39POINTS

3 · 4 · 12-30

ABOVE

FG: 12-30
3PT: 4-11
FT: 11-11
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 56.0
USG%: 39.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 46

2025-12-25

DAL

HOME

32.9MIN

23POINTS

3 · 4 · 6-18

BELOW

FG: 6-18
3PT: 2-10
FT: 9-9
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 52.4
USG%: 30.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 30

2025-12-22

ORL

HOME

31.1MIN

26POINTS

3 · 6 · 10-23

BELOW

FG: 10-23
3PT: 4-13
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 54.4
USG%: 36.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 35

2025-12-20

PHX

HOME

35.1MIN

28POINTS

10 · 6 · 9-19

ABOVE

FG: 9-19
3PT: 4-11
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 63.4
USG%: 29.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 44

2025-12-18

PHX

AWAY

33.2MIN

15POINTS

9 · 7 · 3-13

BELOW

FG: 3-13
3PT: 2-9
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 46.6
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 31

2025-12-14

POR

AWAY

35.4MIN

48POINTS

3 · 2 · 16-26

ABOVE

FG: 16-26
3PT: 12-19
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 86.5
USG%: 36.3
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 53

2025-12-12

MIN

HOME

32.2MIN

39POINTS

5 · 5 · 14-28

ABOVE

FG: 14-28
3PT: 6-15
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 62.7
USG%: 41.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 49

2025-11-26

HOU

HOME

32.8MIN

14POINTS

6 · 5 · 4-13

BELOW

FG: 4-13
3PT: 2-9
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 47.4
USG%: 29.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 7
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 25

2025-11-24

UTAH

HOME

29.0MIN

31POINTS

4 · 2 · 12-24

ABOVE

FG: 12-24
3PT: 6-17
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 63.4
USG%: 37.3
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 37

2025-11-21

POR

HOME

33.7MIN

38POINTS

2 · 4 · 14-23

ABOVE

FG: 14-23
3PT: 9-17
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 81.1
USG%: 34.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 44

2025-11-18

ORL

AWAY

34.2MIN

34POINTS

3 · 9 · 12-23

ABOVE

FG: 12-23
3PT: 7-15
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 67.5
USG%: 39.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 46

2025-11-16

AWAY

28.1MIN

9POINTS

5 · 3 · 2-11

BELOW

FG: 2-11
3PT: 1-6
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 34.1
USG%: 24.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +18
PRA: 17

2025-11-14

AWAY

36.1MIN

49POINTS

4 · 2 · 16-26

ABOVE

FG: 16-26
3PT: 9-17
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 83.0
USG%: 38.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 55

2025-11-12

AWAY

33.5MIN

46POINTS

5 · 5 · 13-25

ABOVE

FG: 13-25
3PT: 5-16
FT: 15-16
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 71.8
USG%: 40.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 56

2025-11-11

OKC

AWAY

20.0MIN

11POINTS

1 · 0 · 4-13

BELOW

FG: 4-13
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 38.4
USG%: 34.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -23
PRA: 12

2025-11-04

PHX

HOME

33.5MIN

28POINTS

4 · 3 · 9-23

ABOVE

FG: 9-23
3PT: 5-12
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 36.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 35

2025-11-01

IND

AWAY

29.1MIN

24POINTS

0 · 2 · 8-23

BELOW

FG: 8-23
3PT: 4-16
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 47.6
USG%: 43.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -21
PRA: 26

2025-10-30

MIL

AWAY

34.9MIN

27POINTS

6 · 4 · 8-19

ABOVE

FG: 8-19
3PT: 4-10
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 59.9
USG%: 32.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 37

2025-10-28

LAC

HOME

25.5MIN

19POINTS

2 · 8 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 34.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 29

2025-10-27

MEM

HOME

29.7MIN

16POINTS

4 · 3 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 4-9
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 67.3
USG%: 18.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 23

2025-10-24

POR

AWAY

27.3MIN

35POINTS

6 · 3 · 12-22

ABOVE

FG: 12-22
3PT: 7-14
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 73.7
USG%: 40.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 44

2025-10-23

DEN

HOME

37.0MIN

42POINTS

6 · 7 · 14-25

ABOVE

FG: 14-25
3PT: 6-12
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 73.6
USG%: 37.1
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +15
PRA: 55

2025-10-21

LAL

AWAY

32.1MIN

23POINTS

1 · 4 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 3-9
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 65.6
USG%: 26.8
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +1
PRA: 28

every game on file — nothing hidden