HOU · 2026 season

Steven Adams

32 games played · averaging 5.8 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 5.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE58.0%192 of 331 games

INTERVAL52.6%–63.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-139at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-111if the rate is 52.6%

Steven has cleared 5.5 points in 58.0% of 331 games since 2019, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -139 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-01-18

HOME

27.4MIN

5POINTS

10 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 5/5
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 7.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 17

2026-01-15

OKC

HOME

25.0MIN

6POINTS

11 · 0 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 9.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 17

2026-01-13

CHI

HOME

18.2MIN

4POINTS

7 · 1 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 34.0
USG%: 14.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 12

2026-01-11

SAC

AWAY

23.8MIN

3POINTS

6 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 85.2
USG%: 7.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 10

2026-01-09

POR

AWAY

32.7MIN

5POINTS

9 · 3 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 6/3
TS%: 66.5
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -14
PRA: 17

2026-01-07

POR

AWAY

30.1MIN

7POINTS

11 · 4 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 50.9
USG%: 11.3
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 22

2026-01-05

PHX

HOME

31.3MIN

8POINTS

11 · 2 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-4
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 45.7
USG%: 15.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 21

2025-12-29

IND

HOME

22.3MIN

8POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-6
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 60.2
USG%: 13.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 13

2025-12-27

CLE

HOME

22.2MIN

9POINTS

8 · 1 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 22.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +26
PRA: 18

2025-12-25

LAL

AWAY

25.6MIN

4POINTS

9 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 6.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 15

2025-12-23

LAC

AWAY

14.0MIN

2POINTS

4 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 7

2025-12-20

DEN

AWAY

25.2MIN

1POINTS

12 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 5/7
TS%: 10.2
USG%: 8.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 13

2025-12-18

AWAY

27.8MIN

6POINTS

10 · 3 · 2-10

ABOVE

FG: 2-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-5
OREB/DREB: 6/4
TS%: 24.6
USG%: 18.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 19

2025-12-15

DEN

AWAY

15.5MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 79.8
USG%: 8.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 3

2025-12-11

LAC

HOME

17.9MIN

4POINTS

6 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 11.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 12

2025-12-05

PHX

HOME

29.9MIN

4POINTS

8 · 3 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 7.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +18
PRA: 15

2025-12-03

SAC

HOME

17.8MIN

11POINTS

8 · 0 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 79.9
USG%: 22.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 19

2025-11-30

UTAH

AWAY

16.9MIN

13POINTS

12 · 2 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 9-10
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 77.4
USG%: 20.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +24
PRA: 27

2025-11-24

PHX

AWAY

16.5MIN

6POINTS

7 · 0 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 13.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 13

2025-11-21

DEN

HOME

23.1MIN

5POINTS

8 · 2 · 2-2

BELOW

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 75.3
USG%: 7.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +14
PRA: 15

2025-11-19

CLE

AWAY

28.0MIN

6POINTS

11 · 3 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 43.6
USG%: 13.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 20

2025-11-16

ORL

HOME

27.2MIN

3POINTS

13 · 0 · 1-8

BELOW

FG: 1-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 8/5
TS%: 16.9
USG%: 16.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 16

2025-11-14

POR

HOME

17.5MIN

5POINTS

11 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 11.1
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +22
PRA: 16

2025-11-12

WAS

HOME

16.9MIN

5POINTS

8 · 4 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 42.5
USG%: 16.9
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +21
PRA: 17

2025-11-09

MIL

AWAY

22.3MIN

12POINTS

6 · 1 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 5/1
TS%: 76.1
USG%: 16.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 19

2025-11-07

AWAY

20.1MIN

3POINTS

8 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 33.8
USG%: 9.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 12

2025-11-03

DAL

HOME

23.1MIN

4POINTS

9 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 8.5
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 14

2025-11-01

BOS

AWAY

14.5MIN

4POINTS

5 · 3 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 12.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 12

2025-10-29

TOR

AWAY

19.7MIN

12POINTS

12 · 2 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 8/4
TS%: 87.2
USG%: 16.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 26

2025-10-27

BKN

HOME

16.1MIN

4POINTS

8 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 5/3
TS%: 72.5
USG%: 10.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +20
PRA: 13

2025-10-24

DET

HOME

25.2MIN

11POINTS

10 · 0 · 4-4

ABOVE

FG: 4-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 6/4
TS%: 95.5
USG%: 10.6
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 21

2025-10-21

OKC

AWAY

36.5MIN

4POINTS

13 · 3 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 5/8
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 9.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 20

every game on file — nothing hidden